Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $126.0200 (-0.24%) ($125.2600 - $126.3100) on Tue. Nov. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $126.0200(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(66%)    SPY(66%)    IWF(65%)    IVE(62%)    IWD(62%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-16%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    GDXJ(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $124.76(1.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $123.22(2.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.21(7.52%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   28.2%
Market Cap   $45.365b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 5.52% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 1.93%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.31%(63%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 2.08%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -3.67%(56%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 4.35%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.12%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2017	106.1	117.21	123.22	124.76	124.76	125.75	126.02(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	86	60	42	216	1.43	79%	0.28	59.6	1.67%	0	1.4	83	0
2	Nov_13_2017	105.8	116.41	121.88	124	124.05	125.02	126.32(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	106	60	67	224	2.03	79%	0.28	59.8	1.67%	0	1.6	85	0
3	Nov_10_2017	105.5	115.63	120.38	122.96	122.99	123.76	124.61(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	81	40	40	204	1.86	70%	0.26	60.8	1.69%	0	1.5	85	0
4	Nov_9_2017	105.23	114.91	119.14	122.38	122.19	123.09	123.78(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	83	50	42	206	1.86	72%	0.26	62.7	1.72%	0	1.6	85	0
5	Nov_8_2017	104.96	114.17	117.95	121.66	121.65	122.21	123.08(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	79	30	38	202	2.23	72%	0.25	62.9	1.74%	0	1.7	80	0

6	Nov_7_2017	104.7	113.47	116.75	121.46	121.09	121.3	122.22(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	72	0	28	204	1.3	73%	0.23	67.3	1.74%	0	1.8	78	0
7	Nov_6_2017	104.46	112.81	115.55	119.38	121	121.09	121.12(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	97	50	67	186	1.33	73%	0.23	61.6	1.75%	0	1.9	75	0
8	Nov_3_2017	104.22	112.2	114.33	117.33	118.57	120.89	121.71(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	83	170	62	145	2.22	73%	0.23	55.7	1.75%	0	2.4	73	0
9	Nov_2_2017	103.98	111.56	113	115.36	116.07	120.92	120.15(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	183	310	191	159	4.2	73%	0.23	52.7	1.75%	0	2.6	72	0
10	Nov_1_2017	103.74	111.01	111.9	113.69	113.72	116.25	122.12(9.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.2	192	160	209	140	7.62	73%	0.24	54.2	1.73%	0	4.2	80	0

11	Oct_31_2017	103.49	110.34	110.58	111.49	111.37	111.22	111.81(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10	9	29	2.26	65%	0.15	94.3	1.33%	0	1.5	61	0
12	Oct_30_2017	103.33	110.17	110.43	111.17	111.18	111.2	110.85(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	0	1	22	1.84	65%	0.15	86.5	1.33%	0	0.7	58	0
13	Oct_27_2017	103.18	110.05	110.46	110.82	110.8	111.52	111.87(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	35	40	35	34	1.64	65%	0.16	71.1	1.32%	0	1.7	64	0
14	Oct_26_2017	103.02	109.84	110.35	110.2	110.23	111.15	111.79(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	54	60	60	35	1.64	65%	0.15	50.5	1.32%	0	1.6	62	0
15	Oct_25_2017	102.87	109.58	110.11	109.79	109.59	110.09	111.12(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	34	30	40	16	1.95	66%	0.15	36.2	1.32%	0	1.3	56	0

16	Oct_24_2017	102.72	109.45	109.96	109.56	109.29	109.31	110.24(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10	4	-5	1.35	66%	0.15	24.3	1.32%	0	0.7	52	0
17	Oct_23_2017	102.57	109.33	109.9	109.61	109.45	109.09	109.07(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-30	-22	-10	1.26	66%	0.13	16.2	1.32%	0	-0.2	57	0
18	Oct_20_2017	102.44	109.29	109.97	110.05	109.85	109.27	108.8(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-30	-40	-40	-1	1.93	67%	0.14	17.3	1.32%	0	-0.4	58	0
19	Oct_19_2017	102.3	109.24	110.08	110.49	110.41	109.82	109.7(-0.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-17	-40	-29	21	1.82	67%	0.16	19.8	1.32%	0	0.4	68	0
20	Oct_18_2017	102.14	109.24	110.12	110.45	110.68	110.44	109.98(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10	-17	40	1.45	67%	0.16	12.4	1.32%	0	0.7	77	0

21	Oct_17_2017	101.98	109.17	110.11	110.4	110.52	111	110.51(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	30	11	56	1.24	68%	0.09	13.2	1.31%	0	1.1	60	0
22	Oct_16_2017	101.89	109.15	109.92	110.22	110.3	110.92	111.28(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	40	47	70	1.24	68%	0.18	15	1.31%	0	1.7	67	0
23	Oct_13_2017	101.71	109.08	109.61	109.89	109.91	110.04	111(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	10	22	54	1.68	68%	0.17	13.3	1.31%	0	1.7	66	0
24	Oct_12_2017	101.54	109	109.3	109.64	109.7	109.68	109.49(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	0	-6	38	1.8	67%	0.17	12.1	1.31%	0	0.5	63	0
25	Oct_11_2017	101.37	109.01	109.01	109.74	109.75	109.78	109.73(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	9	0	0	37	1.03	67%		22	1.31%	0	0.7	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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