Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $107.9800 (0.37%) ($107.6200 - $108.3600) on Mon. Sep. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $107.9800(0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(66%)    IVW(65%)    IWF(64%)    IVE(62%)    IWD(62%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    GDXJ(-2%)    SHY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $108.41
5 Day Moving Average   $108.88(-0.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.26(-1.17%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.41(-0.4%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $38.871b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.01%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.43%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.14%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.26%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.87%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.89%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171025

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_25_2017	99.38	108.41	109.26	108.88	108.87	108.05	107.98(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-50	-43	-10	2.03	63%	0.16	52.3	1.3%	0	-0.3	54	INF
2	Sep_22_2017	99.22	108.35	109.36	109.34	109.45	108.65	107.58(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-42	-50	-56	-1	2.17	63%	0.16	61.6	1.3%	0	-0.5	51	INF
3	Sep_21_2017	99.06	108.28	109.51	109.76	109.92	109.68	108.25(-1.8%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-18	-10	-32	26	1.4	63%	0.17	89.6	1.3%	0	-0	65	INF
4	Sep_20_2017	98.89	108.11	109.53	110.11	110.16	110.24	110.23(-0.11%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	22	10	8	63	1.44	64%	0.23	95.1	1.27%	0	1.2	92	INF
5	Sep_19_2017	98.66	107.86	109.32	110	110	110.17	110.35(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	10	12	72	1.06	64%	0.24	103.6	1.28%	0	1.4	93	INF

6	Sep_18_2017	98.42	107.66	109.08	109.71	109.82	110.07	110.27(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	20	20	78	0.95	64%	0.23	119.6	1.29%	0	1.5	88	INF
7	Sep_15_2017	98.19	107.44	108.84	109.4	109.52	109.84	109.69(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	20	18	77	1.9	64%	0.23	139.7	1.29%	0	1.4	77	INF
8	Sep_14_2017	97.96	106.9	108.58	109.22	109.29	109.58	110.01(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	20	27	82	1.23	64%	0.24	84.4	1.28%	0	1.3	83	INF
9	Sep_13_2017	97.73	106.47	108.16	108.87	108.98	109.21	109.66(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	20	20	77	1.3	64%	0.24	71	1.28%	0	1.2	86	INF
10	Sep_12_2017	97.5	106.05	107.76	108.55	108.67	109	108.9(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	20	18	72	2.44	64%	0.24	65.1	1.28%	0	1	75	INF

11	Sep_11_2017	97.27	105.66	107.47	108.36	108.43	108.75	108.74(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	20	26	69	2.55	64%	0.25	62.7	1.29%	0	1.1	62	INF
12	Sep_8_2017	97.03	105.22	107.24	108.2	108.1	108.33	108.81(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	10	19	67	1.39	64%	0.24	60.1	1.29%	0	1.2	65	INF
13	Sep_7_2017	96.8	104.86	106.95	107.83	107.87	108.12	108.23(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	20	28	94	1.47	64%	0.24	63.7	1.29%	0	1.1	83	INF
14	Sep_6_2017	96.57	104.62	106.58	107.32	107.41	107.87	108.07(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	30	30	97	1.52	64%	0.24	70.2	1.29%	0	1.2	69	INF
15	Sep_5_2017	96.34	104.27	106.29	106.85	106.85	107.62	107.95(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	50	44	110	1.64	64%	0.24	71	1.29%	0	1.3	69	INF

16	Sep_1_2017	96.11	103.9	106.12	106.45	106.34	106.95	107.93(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	68	40	49	126	2.36	66%	0.24	67.6	1.29%	0	1.4	69	INF
17	Aug_31_2017	95.88	103.43	105.9	106.16	105.85	106.08	106.99(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	10	19	136	2.09	66%	0.24	64	1.29%	0	1.2	70	INF
18	Aug_30_2017	95.65	102.99	105.1	105.97	105.73	105.73	105.66(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10	10	117	1.81	66%	0.22	60.8	1.28%	0	0.9	61	INF
19	Aug_29_2017	95.44	102.64	104.67	105.72	105.65	105.63	105.7(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-0	3	100	1.83	66%	0.22	57.4	1.28%	0	1	54	INF
20	Aug_28_2017	95.23	102.29	104.22	105.63	105.39	105.74	105.96(-0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	22	20	-3	97	3.84	66%	0.23	57.8	1.29%	0	1.2	60	INF

21	Aug_25_2017	95.01	101.94	103.75	105.73	105.58	105.66	106.5(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	0	25	116	3.17	66%	0.24	62.8	1.29%	0	1.6	63	INF
22	Aug_24_2017	94.78	101.55	103.07	105.61	105.59	105.05	106.01(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-40	12	115	2.51	68%	0.22	68	1.29%	0	1.6	65	INF
23	Aug_23_2017	94.57	101.21	102.61	104.08	105.32	105.5	104.45(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	50	15	94	3.2	64%	0.21	60.3	1.28%	0	1.2	64	INF
24	Aug_22_2017	94.37	100.92	102.5	103.4	104.07	106.13	105.21(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	92	160	81	126	4.66	64%	0.23	58.4	1.29%	0	1.7	65	INF
25	Aug_21_2017	94.15	100.58	102.07	102.57	102.78	105.14	106.48(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	164	170	167	153	3.54	64%		57.4	1.28%	0	2.5	67	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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