Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 22, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $107.5800 (-0.62%) ($107.3000 - $109.1600) on Fri. Sep. 22, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $107.5800(-0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(66%)    IVW(65%)    IWF(64%)    IVE(62%)    IWD(62%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    GDXJ(-2%)    SHY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $108.35
5 Day Moving Average   $109.34(-1.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.36(-1.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $108.35(-0.71%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $38.727b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.01%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.7%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.1%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.14%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.21%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.82%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2017	99.22	108.35	109.36	109.34	109.45	108.65	107.58(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-42	-50	-56	-1	2.17	63%	0.16	61.6	1.3%	0	-0.5	51	INF
2	Sep_21_2017	99.06	108.28	109.51	109.76	109.92	109.68	108.25(-1.8%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-18	-10	-32	26	1.4	63%	0.17	89.6	1.3%	0	-0	65	INF
3	Sep_20_2017	98.89	108.11	109.53	110.11	110.16	110.24	110.23(-0.11%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	22	10	8	63	1.44	64%	0.23	95.1	1.27%	0	1.2	92	INF
4	Sep_19_2017	98.66	107.86	109.32	110	110	110.17	110.35(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	10	12	72	1.06	64%	0.24	103.6	1.28%	0	1.4	93	INF
5	Sep_18_2017	98.42	107.66	109.08	109.71	109.82	110.07	110.27(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	20	20	78	0.95	64%	0.23	119.6	1.29%	0	1.5	88	INF

6	Sep_15_2017	98.19	107.44	108.84	109.4	109.52	109.84	109.69(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	20	18	77	1.9	64%	0.23	139.7	1.29%	0	1.4	77	INF
7	Sep_14_2017	97.96	106.9	108.58	109.22	109.29	109.58	110.01(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	20	27	82	1.23	64%	0.24	84.4	1.28%	0	1.3	83	INF
8	Sep_13_2017	97.73	106.47	108.16	108.87	108.98	109.21	109.66(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	20	20	77	1.3	64%	0.24	71	1.28%	0	1.2	86	INF
9	Sep_12_2017	97.5	106.05	107.76	108.55	108.67	109	108.9(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	20	18	72	2.44	64%	0.24	65.1	1.28%	0	1	75	INF
10	Sep_11_2017	97.27	105.66	107.47	108.36	108.43	108.75	108.74(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	20	26	69	2.55	64%	0.25	62.7	1.29%	0	1.1	62	INF

11	Sep_8_2017	97.03	105.22	107.24	108.2	108.1	108.33	108.81(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	10	19	67	1.39	64%	0.24	60.1	1.29%	0	1.2	65	INF
12	Sep_7_2017	96.8	104.86	106.95	107.83	107.87	108.12	108.23(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	20	28	94	1.47	64%	0.24	63.7	1.29%	0	1.1	83	INF
13	Sep_6_2017	96.57	104.62	106.58	107.32	107.41	107.87	108.07(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	30	30	97	1.52	64%	0.24	70.2	1.29%	0	1.2	69	INF
14	Sep_5_2017	96.34	104.27	106.29	106.85	106.85	107.62	107.95(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	61	50	44	110	1.64	64%	0.24	71	1.29%	0	1.3	69	INF
15	Sep_1_2017	96.11	103.9	106.12	106.45	106.34	106.95	107.93(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	68	40	49	126	2.36	66%	0.24	67.6	1.29%	0	1.4	69	INF

16	Aug_31_2017	95.88	103.43	105.9	106.16	105.85	106.08	106.99(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	10	19	136	2.09	66%	0.24	64	1.29%	0	1.2	70	INF
17	Aug_30_2017	95.65	102.99	105.1	105.97	105.73	105.73	105.66(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10	10	117	1.81	66%	0.22	60.8	1.28%	0	0.9	61	INF
18	Aug_29_2017	95.44	102.64	104.67	105.72	105.65	105.63	105.7(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-0	3	100	1.83	66%	0.22	57.4	1.28%	0	1	54	INF
19	Aug_28_2017	95.23	102.29	104.22	105.63	105.39	105.74	105.96(-0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	22	20	-3	97	3.84	66%	0.23	57.8	1.29%	0	1.2	60	INF
20	Aug_25_2017	95.01	101.94	103.75	105.73	105.58	105.66	106.5(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	0	25	116	3.17	66%	0.24	62.8	1.29%	0	1.6	63	INF

21	Aug_24_2017	94.78	101.55	103.07	105.61	105.59	105.05	106.01(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-40	12	115	2.51	68%	0.22	68	1.29%	0	1.6	65	INF
22	Aug_23_2017	94.57	101.21	102.61	104.08	105.32	105.5	104.45(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	50	15	94	3.2	64%	0.21	60.3	1.28%	0	1.2	64	INF
23	Aug_22_2017	94.37	100.92	102.5	103.4	104.07	106.13	105.21(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	92	160	81	126	4.66	64%	0.23	58.4	1.29%	0	1.7	65	INF
24	Aug_21_2017	94.15	100.58	102.07	102.57	102.78	105.14	106.48(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	164	170	167	153	3.54	64%	0.23	57.4	1.28%	0	2.5	67	INF
25	Aug_18_2017	93.93	100.13	101.43	101.5	101.57	102.01	105.92(7.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	103	30	102	107	8.93	65%		57.5	1.28%	0	2.9	65	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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