Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 31, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $106.9900 (1.26%) ($105.6700 - $107.1000) on Thu. Aug. 31, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $106.9900(1.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(66%)    IVW(65%)    IWF(64%)    IVE(62%)    IWD(62%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-10%)    GDXJ(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.16(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.9(1.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.43(3.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $38.515b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 2.89% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 43 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(51%) Average negative next day return: -1.08%(49%) Sample size 43 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(28%) Average negative next three day return: -2.15%(72%) Sample size 43 Average positive next weekly return: 2.16%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.16%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2017	95.88	103.43	105.9	106.16	105.85	106.08	106.99(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	10	19	136	2.09	66%	0.24	64	1.29%	0	1.2	70	INF
2	Aug_30_2017	95.65	102.99	105.1	105.97	105.73	105.73	105.66(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	37	-10	10	117	1.81	66%	0.22	60.8	1.28%	0	0.9	61	INF
3	Aug_29_2017	95.44	102.64	104.67	105.72	105.65	105.63	105.7(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	27	-0	3	100	1.83	66%	0.22	57.4	1.28%	0	1	54	INF
4	Aug_28_2017	95.23	102.29	104.22	105.63	105.39	105.74	105.96(-0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	22	20	-3	97	3.84	66%	0.23	57.8	1.29%	0	1.2	60	INF
5	Aug_25_2017	95.01	101.94	103.75	105.73	105.58	105.66	106.5(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	0	25	116	3.17	66%	0.24	62.8	1.29%	0	1.6	63	INF

6	Aug_24_2017	94.78	101.55	103.07	105.61	105.59	105.05	106.01(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-40	12	115	2.51	68%	0.22	68	1.29%	0	1.6	65	INF
7	Aug_23_2017	94.57	101.21	102.61	104.08	105.32	105.5	104.45(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	50	15	94	3.2	64%	0.21	60.3	1.28%	0	1.2	64	INF
8	Aug_22_2017	94.37	100.92	102.5	103.4	104.07	106.13	105.21(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	92	160	81	126	4.66	64%	0.23	58.4	1.29%	0	1.7	65	INF
9	Aug_21_2017	94.15	100.58	102.07	102.57	102.78	105.14	106.48(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	164	170	167	153	3.54	64%	0.23	57.4	1.28%	0	2.5	67	INF
10	Aug_18_2017	93.93	100.13	101.43	101.5	101.57	102.01	105.92(7.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	103	30	102	107	8.93	65%	0.22	57.5	1.28%	0	2.9	65	INF

11	Aug_17_2017	93.72	99.71	100.67	100.24	100.69	100.42	98.32(-2.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-43	-10	-65	22	4.48	54%	0.14	58.9	0.87%	0	-0.9	50	INF
12	Aug_16_2017	93.59	99.67	100.71	100.92	100.94	101.13	101.07(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	4	10	-17	67	2.03	61%	0.17	74.3	0.8%	0	0.8	56	INF
13	Aug_15_2017	93.43	99.47	100.47	100.92	101.31	100.96	101.04(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-30	2	96	1.7	61%	0.17	86.9	0.8%	0	0.9	59	INF
14	Aug_14_2017	93.27	99.23	100.24	101.46	101.63	100.74	101.13(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-21	-60	-53	74	2.69	61%	0.16	91.2	0.81%	0	1	60	INF
15	Aug_11_2017	93.12	98.99	100.02	101.34	101.62	101.65	99.65(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	10	-38	89	3.59	54%	0.14	90.2	0.79%	0	0.3	60	INF

16	Aug_10_2017	92.99	98.79	99.97	101.13	101.33	102.51	101.69(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	130	90	121	157	4.76	62%	0.17	83.3	0.76%	0	1.4	68	INF
17	Aug_9_2017	92.83	98.45	99.74	100.42	100.3	101.58	103.77(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	171	90	171	170	7.52	69%	0.19	72.9	0.72%	0	2.5	83	INF
18	Aug_8_2017	92.65	97.97	99.21	99.37	99.28	100.15	101.06(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	131	60	131	129	2.13	64%	0.15	62.9	0.65%	0	1.6	79	INF
19	Aug_7_2017	92.51	97.61	98.96	98.88	98.67	99.01	100.53(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	74	20	65	99	2.23	64%	0.16	52.6	0.65%	0	1.6	80	INF
20	Aug_4_2017	92.36	97.3	98.68	98.57	98.47	98.41	98.58(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-10	-4	74	1.01	62%	0.15	45	0.62%	0	0.7	74	INF

21	Aug_3_2017	92.22	97.09	98.62	98.65	98.65	98.32	98.17(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-20	-34	92	1.05	70%	0.14	42.5	0.62%	0	0.6	77	INF
22	Aug_2_2017	92.09	96.93	98.54	98.92	98.83	98.53	98.49(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-20	-38	96	1.72	70%	0.15	42.7	0.81%	0	0.8	83	INF
23	Aug_1_2017	91.95	96.79	98.4	99.01	99.05	98.97	98.61(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-0	-10	131	1.59	70%	0.14	42.7	0.81%	0	1	85	INF
24	Jul_31_2017	91.82	96.64	98.18	99.04	99.04	99.12	98.99(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	10	11	160	2.25	70%	0.15	43.1	0.82%	0	1.3	90	INF
25	Jul_28_2017	91.68	96.48	97.91	98.79	98.88	99.13	99(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	20	29	173	1.53	70%		39.1	0.82%	0	1.5	84	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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