Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $101.1300 (1.49%) ($100.0100 - $101.7900) on Mon. Aug. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.81% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $101.1300(1.49%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(65%)    SPY(65%)    IWF(64%)    IWD(62%)    IVE(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.405% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    GDXJ(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.405% (StdDev 0.81%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.46(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $100.24(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.23(1.91%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $36.405b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 0.81%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 3.6%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 5.78%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.28%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 9.27%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.63%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2017	93.27	99.23	100.24	101.46	101.63	100.74	101.13(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-21	-60	-53	74	2.69	61%	0.16	91.2	0.81%	0	1	60	INF
2	Aug_11_2017	93.12	98.99	100.02	101.34	101.62	101.65	99.65(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	10	-38	89	3.59	54%	0.14	90.2	0.79%	0	0.3	60	INF
3	Aug_10_2017	92.99	98.79	99.97	101.13	101.33	102.51	101.69(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	130	90	121	157	4.76	62%	0.17	83.3	0.76%	0	1.4	68	INF
4	Aug_9_2017	92.83	98.45	99.74	100.42	100.3	101.58	103.77(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	171	90	171	170	7.52	69%	0.19	72.9	0.72%	0	2.5	83	INF
5	Aug_8_2017	92.65	97.97	99.21	99.37	99.28	100.15	101.06(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	131	60	131	129	2.13	64%	0.15	62.9	0.65%	0	1.6	79	INF

6	Aug_7_2017	92.51	97.61	98.96	98.88	98.67	99.01	100.53(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	74	20	65	99	2.23	64%	0.16	52.6	0.65%	0	1.6	80	INF
7	Aug_4_2017	92.36	97.3	98.68	98.57	98.47	98.41	98.58(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-10	-4	74	1.01	62%	0.15	45	0.62%	0	0.7	74	INF
8	Aug_3_2017	92.22	97.09	98.62	98.65	98.65	98.32	98.17(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-20	-34	92	1.05	70%	0.14	42.5	0.62%	0	0.6	77	INF
9	Aug_2_2017	92.09	96.93	98.54	98.92	98.83	98.53	98.49(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-20	-38	96	1.72	70%	0.15	42.7	0.81%	0	0.8	83	INF
10	Aug_1_2017	91.95	96.79	98.4	99.01	99.05	98.97	98.61(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-0	-10	131	1.59	70%	0.14	42.7	0.81%	0	1	85	INF

11	Jul_31_2017	91.82	96.64	98.18	99.04	99.04	99.12	98.99(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	10	11	160	2.25	70%	0.15	43.1	0.82%	0	1.3	90	INF
12	Jul_28_2017	91.68	96.48	97.91	98.79	98.88	99.13	99(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	20	29	173	1.53	70%	0.17	39.1	0.82%	0	1.5	84	INF
13	Jul_27_2017	91.52	96.3	97.55	98.58	98.51	98.96	99.53(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	84	30	50	186	1.7	70%	0.19	33.1	0.81%	0	2	90	INF
14	Jul_26_2017	91.35	96.14	97.08	98.1	98.06	98.62	98.92(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	85	40	57	169	2.04	70%	0.19	26.5	0.82%	0	1.9	80	INF
15	Jul_25_2017	91.18	96	96.64	97.7	97.7	98.06	98.75(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	84	30	62	149	2.07	73%	0.18	18.5	0.82%	0	2.1	68	INF

16	Jul_24_2017	91.02	95.87	96.15	97.21	97.26	97.51	97.75(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	20	31	103	0.86	73%	0.17	2.5	0.83%	0	1.6	63	INF
17	Jul_21_2017	90.87	95.81	95.8	96.9	96.91	97.34	97.95(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	30	47	87	1.16	69%	0.17	-7	0.83%	0	2	62	INF
18	Jul_20_2017	90.72	95.77	95.42	96.37	96.52	97.02	97.11(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	40	64	63	1.11	68%	0.15	-21.8	0.84%	0	1.3	60	INF
19	Jul_19_2017	90.58	95.76	95.18	95.89	95.97	96.48	96.94(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	40	57	27	1.07	68%	0.15	-33.3	0.84%	0	1.1	47	INF
20	Jul_18_2017	90.44	95.75	95.03	95.41	95.48	96.02	96.29(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	40	60	4	1.14	70%	0.16	-44.6	0.85%	0	0.5	47	INF

21	Jul_17_2017	90.3	95.83	94.95	94.92	95.06	95.46	96.2(0.93%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	36	30	55	-23	1.71	70%	0.13	-43.5	0.86%	0	0.3	45	INF
22	Jul_14_2017	90.18	95.89	94.91	94.54	94.62	94.94	95.31(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	30	31	-57	0.95	68%	0.13	-47.3	0.85%	0	-0.5	34	INF
23	Jul_13_2017	90.06	96	94.93	94.33	94.38	94.65	94.73(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	20	21	-82	0.97	68%	0.12	-45.5	0.86%	0	-1	26	INF
24	Jul_12_2017	89.95	96.12	95.12	94.35	94.37	94.29	94.52(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10	1	-94	1.55	68%	0.11	-43.8	0.86%	0	-1.3	26	INF
25	Jul_11_2017	89.85	96.23	95.3	94.59	94.48	94.11	93.86(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-60	-30	-44	-109	1.76	68%		-39.2	0.86%	0	-2	23	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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