Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $101.6900 (-2%) ($101.2200 - $104.3800) on Thu. Aug. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $101.6900(-2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(65%)    SPY(65%)    IWF(64%)    IWD(62%)    IVE(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $101.13(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.97(1.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $98.79(2.94%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $36.607b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 2.1% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.76%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -1.54%(38%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.59%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.54%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2017	92.99	98.79	99.97	101.13	101.33	102.51	101.69(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	130	90	121	157	4.76	62%	0.17	83.3	0.76%	0	1.4	68	0
2	Aug_9_2017	92.83	98.45	99.74	100.42	100.3	101.58	103.77(2.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	171	90	171	170	7.52	69%	0.19	72.9	0.72%	0	2.5	83	0
3	Aug_8_2017	92.65	97.97	99.21	99.37	99.28	100.15	101.06(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	131	60	131	129	2.13	64%	0.15	62.9	0.65%	0	1.6	79	0
4	Aug_7_2017	92.51	97.61	98.96	98.88	98.67	99.01	100.53(1.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	74	20	65	99	2.23	64%	0.16	52.6	0.65%	0	1.6	80	0
5	Aug_4_2017	92.36	97.3	98.68	98.57	98.47	98.41	98.58(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-10	-4	74	1.01	62%	0.15	45	0.62%	0	0.7	74	0

6	Aug_3_2017	92.22	97.09	98.62	98.65	98.65	98.32	98.17(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-20	-34	92	1.05	70%	0.14	42.5	0.62%	0	0.6	77	0
7	Aug_2_2017	92.09	96.93	98.54	98.92	98.83	98.53	98.49(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-20	-38	96	1.72	70%	0.15	42.7	0.81%	0	0.8	83	0
8	Aug_1_2017	91.95	96.79	98.4	99.01	99.05	98.97	98.61(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	25	-0	-10	131	1.59	70%	0.14	42.7	0.81%	0	1	85	0
9	Jul_31_2017	91.82	96.64	98.18	99.04	99.04	99.12	98.99(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	48	10	11	160	2.25	70%	0.15	43.1	0.82%	0	1.3	90	0
10	Jul_28_2017	91.68	96.48	97.91	98.79	98.88	99.13	99(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	65	20	29	173	1.53	70%	0.17	39.1	0.82%	0	1.5	84	0

11	Jul_27_2017	91.52	96.3	97.55	98.58	98.51	98.96	99.53(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	84	30	50	186	1.7	70%	0.19	33.1	0.81%	0	2	90	0
12	Jul_26_2017	91.35	96.14	97.08	98.1	98.06	98.62	98.92(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	85	40	57	169	2.04	70%	0.19	26.5	0.82%	0	1.9	80	0
13	Jul_25_2017	91.18	96	96.64	97.7	97.7	98.06	98.75(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	84	30	62	149	2.07	73%	0.18	18.5	0.82%	0	2.1	68	0
14	Jul_24_2017	91.02	95.87	96.15	97.21	97.26	97.51	97.75(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	20	31	103	0.86	73%	0.17	2.5	0.83%	0	1.6	63	0
15	Jul_21_2017	90.87	95.81	95.8	96.9	96.91	97.34	97.95(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	57	30	47	87	1.16	69%	0.17	-7	0.83%	0	2	62	0

16	Jul_20_2017	90.72	95.77	95.42	96.37	96.52	97.02	97.11(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	40	64	63	1.11	68%	0.15	-21.8	0.84%	0	1.3	60	0
17	Jul_19_2017	90.58	95.76	95.18	95.89	95.97	96.48	96.94(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	40	57	27	1.07	68%	0.15	-33.3	0.84%	0	1.1	47	0
18	Jul_18_2017	90.44	95.75	95.03	95.41	95.48	96.02	96.29(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	46	40	60	4	1.14	70%	0.16	-44.6	0.85%	0	0.5	47	0
19	Jul_17_2017	90.3	95.83	94.95	94.92	95.06	95.46	96.2(0.93%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	36	30	55	-23	1.71	70%	0.13	-43.5	0.86%	0	0.3	45	0
20	Jul_14_2017	90.18	95.89	94.91	94.54	94.62	94.94	95.31(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	30	31	-57	0.95	68%	0.13	-47.3	0.85%	0	-0.5	34	0

21	Jul_13_2017	90.06	96	94.93	94.33	94.38	94.65	94.73(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	20	21	-82	0.97	68%	0.12	-45.5	0.86%	0	-1	26	0
22	Jul_12_2017	89.95	96.12	95.12	94.35	94.37	94.29	94.52(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10	1	-94	1.55	68%	0.11	-43.8	0.86%	0	-1.3	26	0
23	Jul_11_2017	89.85	96.23	95.3	94.59	94.48	94.11	93.86(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-60	-30	-44	-109	1.76	68%	0.04	-39.2	0.86%	0	-2	23	0
24	Jul_10_2017	89.81	96.36	95.57	94.98	94.92	94.44	94.27(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-64	-40	-49	-109	2.58	68%	0.1	-35.5	0.85%	0	-2	19	0
25	Jul_7_2017	89.72	96.47	95.85	95.33	95.37	94.85	94.28(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-64	-40	-51	-101	1.57	68%		-29.9	0.85%	0	-2.3	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.