Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 10, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $94.2700 (-0.01%) ($93.5700 - $94.5800) on Mon. Jul. 10, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.85% (three month average)
RSI   19
Latest Price   $94.2700(-0.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(65%)    SPY(65%)    IWF(63%)    IWD(62%)    IVE(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    TLT(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.425% (StdDev 0.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $96.36
5 Day Moving Average   $94.98(-0.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.57(-1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $96.36(-2.17%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $33.936b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.1% (three month std-dev: 0.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.19%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.33%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.42%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -1.27%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.34%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2017	89.81	96.36	95.57	94.98	94.92	94.44	94.27(-0.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-64	-40	-49	-109	2.58	68%	0.1	-35.5	0.85%	0	-2	19	INF
2	Jul_7_2017	89.72	96.47	95.85	95.33	95.37	94.85	94.28(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-64	-40	-51	-101	1.57	68%	0.13	-29.9	0.85%	0	-2.3	28	INF
3	Jul_6_2017	89.6	96.58	96.17	95.59	95.7	95.41	94.84(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-56	-20	-45	-89	1.58	65%	0.12	-16.9	0.85%	0	-2.2	30	INF
4	Jul_5_2017	89.49	96.67	96.43	95.99	95.9	95.89	95.72(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-0	-21	-64	1.44	68%	0.22	11.3	0.85%	0	-1.4	39	INF
5	Jul_3_2017	89.29	96.7	96.56	96.13	96.22	96	95.81(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10	-3	-49	0.78	66%	0.16	32.4	0.87%	0	-1.3	45	INF

6	Jun_30_2017	89.15	96.74	96.8	96.26	96.34	95.92	95.98(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-30	-41	-44	1.29	66%	0.15	59.1	0.9%	0	-1.2	52	INF
7	Jun_29_2017	89.02	96.75	96.95	96.47	96.57	96.43	95.62(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-10	-37	-29	2.11	66%	0.16	71.3	0.9%	0	-1.5	47	INF
8	Jun_28_2017	88.88	96.72	97.16	96.84	96.88	96.76	96.81(0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10	-2	9	1.14	70%	0.15	80	0.88%	0	0.1	58	INF
9	Jun_27_2017	88.75	96.59	97.2	96.94	96.96	96.71	96.41(-0.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-18	-20	-26	8	1.51	70%	0.16	81.1	0.88%	0	-0.2	51	INF
10	Jun_26_2017	88.61	96.49	97.23	97.07	97.14	97	96.5(-0.51%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-16	-10	-26	16	1.78	70%	0.16	88.5	0.88%	0	0	54	INF

11	Jun_23_2017	88.47	96.36	97.21	97.41	97.32	97.21	96.99(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10	-13	34	1.73	70%	0.17	90.7	0.88%	0	0.5	57	INF
12	Jun_22_2017	88.32	96.2	97.15	97.51	97.32	97.28	97.48(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-20	-9	41	1.28	70%	0.2	94.3	0.88%	0	0.9	63	INF
13	Jun_21_2017	88.14	95.99	97.02	97.52	97.52	97.43	97.33(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	-10	-17	50	1.36	70%	0.19	90.3	0.88%	0	0.9	72	INF
14	Jun_20_2017	87.97	95.73	96.93	97.49	97.49	97.76	97.05(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	31	20	15	78	1.34	70%	0.18	81	0.88%	0	0.8	73	INF
15	Jun_19_2017	87.81	95.53	96.86	97.41	97.34	97.62	98.19(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	63	20	48	106	1.26	73%	0.21	78.5	0.86%	0	1.5	85	INF

16	Jun_16_2017	87.63	95.24	96.66	96.97	96.95	97.21	97.5(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	20	27	99	1.92	73%	0.18	70.3	0.86%	0	1.3	85	INF
17	Jun_15_2017	87.47	94.94	96.51	96.74	96.58	97.06	97.55(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	30	36	111	1.1	73%	0.17	60.1	0.86%	0	1.4	86	INF
18	Jun_14_2017	87.32	94.67	96.22	96.44	96.36	96.7	97.16(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	64	20	46	116	1.09	73%	0.2	51.8	0.86%	0	1.4	86	INF
19	Jun_13_2017	87.15	94.41	95.93	96.31	96.13	96.1	96.64(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	33	-10	7	111	1.01	73%	0.2	47.9	0.87%	0	1.2	88	INF
20	Jun_12_2017	86.98	94.2	95.67	96.23	96.12	96.02	96.01(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10	-14	109	1.3	73%	0.2	48.1	0.87%	0	1	73	INF

21	Jun_9_2017	86.81	94.04	95.46	96.29	96.24	96.16	96.35(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	28	-10	-1	116	1.21	77%	0.21	51.4	0.96%	0	1.4	78	INF
22	Jun_8_2017	86.63	93.86	95.19	96.24	96.2	96.22	96.05(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	0	6	134	0.93	77%	0.2	56.1	0.96%	0	1.4	81	INF
23	Jun_7_2017	86.46	93.75	94.89	95.95	96.05	96.31	96.51(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	20	33	142	1.21	77%	0.2	62.8	0.96%	0	1.8	76	INF
24	Jun_6_2017	86.29	93.56	94.45	95.47	95.56	96.18	96.23(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	70	50	48	134	1.42	77%	0.12	78	0.96%	0	1.9	76	INF
25	Jun_5_2017	86.19	93.36	94.11	95.02	95.01	95.78	96.3(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	89	60	74	132	0.82	77%		97	0.96%	0	2.3	69	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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