Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $78.3300 (1.27%) ($76.3400 - $78.3600) on Wed. Jan. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $78.3300(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.34(-0.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.9(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.84(0.63%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $28.198b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_11_2017	83.14	77.84	77.9	78.34	78.17	77.63	78.33(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-50	-29	-6	2.79	37%	-0.17	-4.6	1.24%	0	0.6	54	INF
2	Jan_10_2017	83.28	77.83	77.88	78.34	78.39	78.19	77.35(-1.14%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-15	-20	-23	10	2.47	35%	-0.17	3.6	1.23%	0	-0.6	58	INF
3	Jan_9_2017	83.42	77.94	77.98	78.41	78.47	78.72	78.24(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	20	20	41	1.4	35%	-0.17	23.9	1.22%	0	0.4	64	INF
4	Jan_6_2017	83.56	77.98	78.02	78.06	78.18	78.58	79.16(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	40	35	42	1.63	35%	-0.2	27	1.22%	0	1.2	57	INF
5	Jan_5_2017	83.73	77.93	77.9	77.68	77.68	78.22	78.6(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	29	50	29	28	1.59	35%	-0.17	19.5	1.21%	0	0.7	52	INF

6	Jan_4_2017	83.87	77.87	77.8	77.4	77.47	77.78	78.7(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	30	32	13	1.55	35%	-0.18	6.6	1.22%	0	0.9	48	INF
7	Jan_3_2017	84.02	77.8	77.56	77.31	77.35	77.13	77.33(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-20	-11	-19	2.08	31%	-0.3	-2.5	1.19%	0	-0.5	45	INF
8	Dec_30_2016	84.27	77.74	77.46	77.52	77.57	77.16	76.49(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-39	-40	-38	-43	1.24	35%	-0.19	-9.2	1.18%	0	-1.2	33	INF
9	Dec_29_2016	84.43	77.72	77.58	77.98	77.99	77.56	77.27(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-40	-27	-32	0.85	33%	-0.19	-4.4	1.21%	0	-0.4	39	INF
10	Dec_28_2016	84.59	77.75	77.65	78.15	78.25	77.98	77.22(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-20	-21	-26	1.22	33%	-0.2	0	1.23%	0	-0.5	45	INF

11	Dec_27_2016	84.76	77.81	77.65	78.23	78.29	78.43	78.23(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	7	10	11	-4	1.12	36%	-0.28	5.1	1.22%	0	0.4	54	INF
12	Dec_23_2016	85	77.82	77.79	77.84	78	78.53	78.38(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	28	50	38	-1	1.29	36%	-0.18	-0.7	1.23%	0	0.5	57	INF
13	Dec_22_2016	85.15	77.83	77.89	77.39	77.45	78.15	78.78(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	35	70	44	7	2.3	36%	-0.19	-10.1	1.23%	0	0.9	64	INF
14	Dec_21_2016	85.31	77.77	77.92	77.15	76.99	77.47	78.12(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	40	31	12	1.97	36%	-0.18	-13.3	1.22%	0	0.3	62	INF
15	Dec_20_2016	85.46	77.75	77.92	77.12	76.97	76.74	77.63(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-3	-30	-4	1	2.23	36%	-0.19	-14.8	1.23%	0	-0.1	50	INF

16	Dec_19_2016	85.62	77.76	77.93	77.34	77.32	76.52	76.28(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-42	-70	-51	-16	2.44	33%	-0.2	-8.1	1.21%	0	-1.4	41	INF
17	Dec_16_2016	85.79	77.83	78.04	77.73	77.89	77.21	76.13(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-54	-50	-67	-16	4.16	33%	-0.19	-1.6	1.2%	0	-1.7	41	INF
18	Dec_15_2016	85.95	77.93	78.06	78.44	78.44	78.12	77.58(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-27	-30	-38	6	3.18	34%	-0.17	19.5	1.19%	0	-0.4	45	INF
19	Dec_14_2016	86.1	77.91	77.92	78.78	78.89	78.58	77.96(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-20	-12	18	3.11	34%	-0.17	13.2	1.19%	0	0.1	51	INF
20	Dec_13_2016	86.25	77.9	77.89	78.86	78.98	78.77	78.73(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10	-10	22	2.2	34%	-0.17	3.3	1.18%	0	0.9	55	INF

21	Dec_12_2016	86.4	77.9	77.86	78.6	78.86	79.2	78.23(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	40	15	28	2.81	37%	-0.17	-18.6	1.18%	0	0.4	52	INF
22	Dec_9_2016	86.55	77.84	77.87	78.39	78.47	79.19	79.71(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	59	70	63	46	1.62	39%	-0.15	-28.8	1.18%	0	2	63	INF
23	Dec_8_2016	86.68	77.75	77.74	77.62	77.79	78.51	79.29(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	54	70	65	21	2.05	39%	-0.16	-66.7	1.18%	0	1.9	55	INF
24	Dec_7_2016	86.82	77.79	77.57	76.94	77.1	77.75	78.33(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	30	70	43	-8	2.56	35%	-0.18	-82.8	1.17%	0	0.6	58	INF
25	Dec_6_2016	86.98	77.87	77.5	76.81	76.69	77.06	77.46(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	30	14	-25	2.51	35%		-100	1.17%	0	-0.4	49	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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