Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $77.6300 (1.77%) ($76.4000 - $77.6500) on Tue. Dec. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $77.6300(1.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Resistance Level   $77.75
5 Day Moving Average   $77.12(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.93(-0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.75(-0.15%)
To recent high   -13.2%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $27.946b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2016	85.46	77.75		77.12	76.97	76.74	77.63(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-3	-30	-4	1	2.23	36%	-0.19	-14.8	1.23%	0	-0.1	50	INF
2	Dec_19_2016	85.62	77.76	77.93	77.34	77.32	76.52	76.28(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-42	-70	-51	-16	2.44	33%	-0.2	-8.1	1.21%	0	-1.4	41	INF
3	Dec_16_2016	85.79	77.83	78.04	77.73	77.89	77.21	76.13(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-54	-50	-67	-16	4.16	33%	-0.19	-1.6	1.2%	0	-1.7	41	INF
4	Dec_15_2016	85.95	77.93	78.06	78.44	78.44	78.12	77.58(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-27	-30	-38	6	3.18	34%	-0.17	19.5	1.19%	0	-0.4	45	INF
5	Dec_14_2016	86.1	77.91	77.92	78.78	78.89	78.58	77.96(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-20	-12	18	3.11	34%	-0.17	13.2	1.19%	0	0.1	51	INF

6	Dec_13_2016	86.25	77.9	77.89	78.86	78.98	78.77	78.73(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10	-10	22	2.2	34%	-0.17	3.3	1.18%	0	0.9	55	INF
7	Dec_12_2016	86.4	77.9	77.86	78.6	78.86	79.2	78.23(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	18	40	15	28	2.81	37%	-0.17	-18.6	1.18%	0	0.4	52	INF
8	Dec_9_2016	86.55	77.84	77.87	78.39	78.47	79.19	79.71(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	59	70	63	46	1.62	39%	-0.15	-28.8	1.18%	0	2	63	INF
9	Dec_8_2016	86.68	77.75	77.74	77.62	77.79	78.51	79.29(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	54	70	65	21	2.05	39%	-0.16	-66.7	1.18%	0	1.9	55	INF
10	Dec_7_2016	86.82	77.79	77.57	76.94	77.1	77.75	78.33(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	30	70	43	-8	2.56	35%	-0.18	-82.8	1.17%	0	0.6	58	INF

11	Dec_6_2016	86.98	77.87	77.5	76.81	76.69	77.06	77.46(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	30	14	-25	2.51	35%	-0.18	-100	1.17%	0	-0.4	49	INF
12	Dec_5_2016	87.14	78.01	77.53	77.04	76.97	76.44	77.16(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-50	-13	-26	2.76	35%	-0.21	-107.6	1.16%	0	-0.7	48	INF
13	Dec_2_2016	87.32	78.11	77.56	77.3	77.43	76.32	75.84(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-73	-100	-80	-50	2.01	32%	-0.21	-129.9	1.14%	0	-1.8	36	INF
14	Dec_1_2016	87.5	78.3	77.8	77.86	78.02	77.5	75.91(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-55	-40	-65	-24	2.19	32%	-0.21	-151.4	1.15%	0	-2.1	37	INF
15	Nov_30_2016	87.68	78.58	77.8	77.86	78.47	78.54	77.7(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	3	20	5	-2	2.56	34%	-0.17	-151.3	1.11%	0	-0.7	33	INF

16	Nov_29_2016	87.83	78.98	77.95	78.24	78.32	78.53	78.61(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	20	15	-14	1.65	36%	-0.17	-90.7	1.11%	0	-0.2	37	INF
17	Nov_28_2016	87.98	79.36	77.85	78.08	78.11	78.4	78.44(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	30	23	-36	1.57	36%	-0.17	-70.2	1.11%	0	-0.3	34	INF
18	Nov_25_2016	88.13	79.73	77.83	77.88	77.95	78.1	78.65(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	20	20	-50	0.83	36%	-0.18	-64.2	1.11%	0	-0.4	48	INF
19	Nov_23_2016	88.29	80.07	77.77	77.77	77.78	77.82	77.78(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	0	5	-70	1.21	32%	-0.15	-58.9	1.11%	0	-0.7	40	INF
20	Nov_22_2016	88.42	80.45	78.01	77.77	77.76	77.8	77.73(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	10	6	-84	1.69	32%	-0.12	-60.5	1.11%	0	-0.8	32	INF

21	Nov_21_2016	88.53	80.86	78.24	77.62	77.63	77.75	77.82(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	10	1	-123	1.33	32%	-0.16	-61	1.11%	0	-0.8	22	INF
22	Nov_18_2016	88.67	81.29	78.5	77.58	77.71	77.71	77.41(-0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-37	10	3	-157	2.02	33%	-0.16	-61.7	1.17%	0	-1	19	INF
23	Nov_17_2016	88.81	81.75	78.67	77.77	77.76	77.52	78.11(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-56	-20	-10	-192	2.32	33%	-0.13	-62.3	1.21%	0	-1	23	INF
24	Nov_16_2016	88.93	82.16	78.82	77.79	77.85	77.7	77.01(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-89	-10	-38	-242	2.25	30%	-0.12	-63.9	1.2%	0	-1.3	21	INF
25	Nov_15_2016	89.04	82.69	79.27	78.46	78.32	78	77.75(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-74	-30	-19	-238	2.84	30%		-61.7	1.2%	0	-1.3	23	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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