Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $79.2900 (1.23%) ($78.3000 - $79.3200) on Thu. Dec. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.18% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $79.2900(1.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.59% (StdDev 1.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $75.95(-4.21%)
5 Day Moving Average   $77.62(2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.74(1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.75(1.98%)
To recent high   -11.3%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $28.543b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 1.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.34%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.14%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.15%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.22%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.74%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.06%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2016	86.68	77.75	77.74	77.62	77.79	78.51	79.29(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	54	70	65	21	2.05	39%	-0.16	-66.7	1.18%	0	1.9	55	0
2	Dec_7_2016	86.82	77.79	77.57	76.94	77.1	77.75	78.33(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	30	70	43	-8	2.56	35%	-0.18	-82.8	1.17%	0	0.6	58	0
3	Dec_6_2016	86.98	77.87	77.5	76.81	76.69	77.06	77.46(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	30	14	-25	2.51	35%	-0.18	-100	1.17%	0	-0.4	49	0
4	Dec_5_2016	87.14	78.01	77.53	77.04	76.97	76.44	77.16(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-50	-13	-26	2.76	35%	-0.21	-107.6	1.16%	0	-0.7	48	0
5	Dec_2_2016	87.32	78.11	77.56	77.3	77.43	76.32	75.84(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-73	-100	-80	-50	2.01	32%	-0.21	-129.9	1.14%	0	-1.8	36	0

6	Dec_1_2016	87.5	78.3	77.8	77.86	78.02	77.5	75.91(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-55	-40	-65	-24	2.19	32%	-0.21	-151.4	1.15%	0	-2.1	37	0
7	Nov_30_2016	87.68	78.58	77.8	77.86	78.47	78.54	77.7(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	3	20	5	-2	2.56	34%	-0.17	-151.3	1.11%	0	-0.7	33	0
8	Nov_29_2016	87.83	78.98	77.95	78.24	78.32	78.53	78.61(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	20	15	-14	1.65	36%	-0.17	-90.7	1.11%	0	-0.2	37	0
9	Nov_28_2016	87.98	79.36	77.85	78.08	78.11	78.4	78.44(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	8	30	23	-36	1.57	36%	-0.17	-70.2	1.11%	0	-0.3	34	0
10	Nov_25_2016	88.13	79.73	77.83	77.88	77.95	78.1	78.65(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	20	20	-50	0.83	36%	-0.18	-64.2	1.11%	0	-0.4	48	0

11	Nov_23_2016	88.29	80.07	77.77	77.77	77.78	77.82	77.78(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	0	5	-70	1.21	32%	-0.15	-58.9	1.11%	0	-0.7	40	0
12	Nov_22_2016	88.42	80.45	78.01	77.77	77.76	77.8	77.73(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	10	6	-84	1.69	32%	-0.12	-60.5	1.11%	0	-0.8	32	0
13	Nov_21_2016	88.53	80.86	78.24	77.62	77.63	77.75	77.82(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	10	1	-123	1.33	32%	-0.16	-61	1.11%	0	-0.8	22	0
14	Nov_18_2016	88.67	81.29	78.5	77.58	77.71	77.71	77.41(-0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-37	10	3	-157	2.02	33%	-0.16	-61.7	1.17%	0	-1	19	0
15	Nov_17_2016	88.81	81.75	78.67	77.77	77.76	77.52	78.11(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-56	-20	-10	-192	2.32	33%	-0.13	-62.3	1.21%	0	-1	23	0

16	Nov_16_2016	88.93	82.16	78.82	77.79	77.85	77.7	77.01(-0.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-89	-10	-38	-242	2.25	30%	-0.12	-63.9	1.2%	0	-1.3	21	0
17	Nov_15_2016	89.04	82.69	79.27	78.46	78.32	77.7	77.75(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-74	-30	-19	-238	2.84	30%	-0.11	-61.7	1.2%	0	-1.3	23	0
18	Nov_14_2016	89.14	83.19	80.08	78.97	78.64	78	77.6(-0.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-101	-70	-55	-238	1.97	30%	-0.13	-59.8	1.2%	0	-1.5	22	0
19	Nov_11_2016	89.26	83.7	80.99	79.57	79.29	78.64	78.36(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-85	-70	-42	-213	2.29	30%	-0.19	-59.1	1.2%	0	-1.5	22	0
20	Nov_10_2016	89.43	84.16	81.78	79.7	79.8	79.28	78.21(-2.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-79	-40	-35	-209	2.85	30%	-0.17	-61.7	1.2%	0	-1.8	22	0

21	Nov_9_2016	89.58	84.67	82.56	79.97	79.89	79.93	80.39(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-74	0	-29	-209	2.5	33%	-0.14	-64.9	1.16%	0	-1.4	27	0
22	Nov_8_2016	89.71	85.07	83.09	80.21	80.15	80.32	80.31(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-67	10	-19	-209	1.96	33%	-0.14	-66.2	1.16%	0	-1.6	24	0
23	Nov_7_2016	89.84	85.44	83.69	81.41	80.69	79.84	80.56(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-108	-100	-76	-204	1.68	33%	-0.12	-60.3	1.16%	0	-1.8	24	0
24	Nov_4_2016	89.95	85.81	84.31	82.72	82.35	79.98	79.02(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-163	-210	-150	-202	1.91	28%	-0.14	-53	1.13%	0	-2.7	16	0
25	Nov_3_2016	90.08	86.28	85.1	84.2	84.2	81.55	79.57(-2.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-199	-220	-205	-180	3.71	28%		-48.3	1.13%	0	-3.2	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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