Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $93.8400 (0.61%) ($92.6700 - $93.8900) on Wed. Aug. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $93.8400(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-14%)    VIXM(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-6%)    IBUY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $93.11(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.04(0.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $93.21(0.68%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $33.781b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 0.84% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.17%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.48%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.12%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160903

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_3_2016	93.28	93.21	93.04	93.11	93.15	93.4	93.84(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	20	13	-15	1.41	43%	0	61.9	1.09%	0	0.8	46	0
2	Aug_2_2016	93.28	93.07	92.99	92.82	92.9	93.38	93.27(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	40	26	-16	1.26	46%	-0.01	63.7	1.2%	0	0.2	50	0
3	Aug_1_2016	93.29	92.98	93	92.78	92.71	92.89	93.43(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	10	20	-19	1.19	46%	0	83.7	1.21%	0	0.5	51	0
4	Jul_29_2016	93.29	92.91	93.04	92.73	92.69	92.43	92.9(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-20	-8	-29	1.1	44%	0.01	90.6	1.22%	0	-0	47	0
5	Jul_28_2016	93.28	92.82	93.18	92.79	92.81	92.52	92.11(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-20	-25	-28	1.27	44%	0	67	1.22%	0	-0.7	43	0

6	Jul_27_2016	93.28	92.72	93.38	92.94	93	92.94	92.41(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-0	-13	-7	1.1	44%	0.01	44.9	1.23%	0	-0.3	62	0
7	Jul_26_2016	93.27	92.54	93.48	93.16	93.1	93.1	93.05(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-0	-2	14	0.91	44%	0.01	24.8	1.23%	0	0.3	72	0
8	Jul_25_2016	93.26	92.27	93.51	93.25	93.2	93.05	93.17(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	0	-10	-8	25	0.74	44%	0.01	7.8	1.23%	0	0.5	69	0
9	Jul_22_2016	93.25	92.1	93.53	93.41	93.31	93.11	93.23(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	-20	-19	32	0.72	44%	0.01	4.7	1.24%	0	0.6	63	0
10	Jul_21_2016	93.24	92.17	93.52	93.64	93.55	93.34	92.86(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-20	-20	49	1.01	40%	0.01	14.9	1.24%	0	0.3	66	0

11	Jul_20_2016	93.23	92.19	93.41	93.88	93.91	93.52	93.5(0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	-30	-11	68	0.83	40%	0.01	23.6	1.28%	0	0.6	78	0
12	Jul_19_2016	93.22	92.16	93.19	93.84	93.98	93.77	93.49(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10	-19	78	0.86	42%	0.03	27	1.28%	0	0.6	82	0
13	Jul_18_2016	93.19	92.12	92.98	93.8	93.94	94.29	93.97(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	30	11	110	1.2	42%	0.02	31.2	1.29%	0	0.9	88	0
14	Jul_15_2016	93.17	92.01	92.77	93.66	93.72	94.19	94.4(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	40	37	129	1.1	42%	0.02	30.9	1.29%	0	1.2	69	0
15	Jul_14_2016	93.15	91.87	92.43	93.38	93.36	93.58	94.03(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	47	20	29	102	1.2	42%	0.02	26.8	1.29%	0	1.1	45	0

16	Jul_13_2016	93.13	91.71	92	92.89	93.01	93.26	93.3(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	20	24	70	0.87	42%	0.01	16.3	1.29%	0	0.9	48	0
17	Jul_12_2016	93.12	91.61	91.51	92.43	92.52	93.13	93.29(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	50	34	39	1.21	42%	0.02	5.5	1.29%	0	0.9	50	0
18	Jul_11_2016	93.1	91.5	90.92	92.04	91.93	92.77	93.28(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	60	47	6	0.84	42%	0.01	-5.1	1.29%	0	1	50	0
19	Jul_8_2016	93.09	91.4	90.55	91.75	91.54	91.91	93.01(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	30	20	44	-14	1.28	42%	0.02	-13.8	1.29%	0	0.9	53	0
20	Jul_7_2016	93.07	91.35	90.67	91.35	91.33	91.08	91.55(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-20	9	-25	1.11	40%	0.02	-23	1.28%	0	0.1	50	0

21	Jul_6_2016	93.05	91.41	90.83	90.98	91.09	91.17	91.03(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	10	3	-27	1.54	40%	0.02	-28.9	1.28%	0	-0.2	51	0
22	Jul_5_2016	93.03	91.51	91.02	90.41	90.69	91.58	91.32(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	38	80	55	-15	1.69	40%	0.03	-34.2	1.29%	0	-0.1	50	0
23	Jul_1_2016	93	91.59	91.02	89.6	89.84	91.02	91.82(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	50	100	74	-24	1.54	42%	0.05	-44.3	1.28%	0	0.1	52	0
24	Jun_30_2016	92.95	91.64	91.17	89.18	89	89.81	91.02(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	7	60	27	-54	2.72	42%	0.03	-46.5	1.27%	0	-0.3	49	0
25	Jun_29_2016	92.92	91.75	91.23	89.96	89.21	88.66	89.71(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-34	-70	-26	-57	2.5	40%		-32.3	1.26%	0	-1.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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