Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $92.6600 (-2.06%) ($92.3800 - $94.3200) on Fri. May. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $92.6600(-2.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $94.91
5 Day Moving Average   $94.3(-1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.21(-1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.91(-2.37%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $33.356b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 2.77%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.01%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2016	91.02	94.91	94.21	94.3	94.52	94.15	92.66(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-53	-20	-48	-68	1.69	47%	0.04	-11.9	0.99%	0	-1.7	45	INF
2	May_12_2016	90.98	95.04	94.54	94.56	94.69	94.9	94.61(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	9	20	19	-23	1.45	57%	0.07	-7.5	0.96%	0	-0.3	54	INF
3	May_11_2016	90.92	95.05	94.76	94.3	94.3	94.89	94.93(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	29	40	40	-5	2.06	52%	0.07	-13.5	0.98%	0	-0.1	55	INF
4	May_10_2016	90.86	95.03	94.76	93.94	93.93	94.48	95.54(1.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	45	40	63	-11	1.9	47%	0.09	-25.6	1.01%	0	0.4	46	INF
5	May_9_2016	90.78	94.99	94.87	93.49	93.4	93.71	93.74(-0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	20	3	-57	1.53	42%	0.08	-36.8	1.03%	0	-1	39	INF

6	May_6_2016	90.71	95.07	94.99	94.17	93.37	93.37	93.99(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-30	-17	-48	1.79	42%	0.06	-24	1.04%	0	-0.9	45	INF
7	May_5_2016	90.66	95.14	95.01	94.54	94.18	93.08	93.28(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-51	-90	-50	-55	1.22	52%	0.04	-17.3	1.04%	0	-1.5	46	INF
8	May_4_2016	90.62	95.21	95.1	95.31	94.87	93.38	93.15(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-99	-120	-113	-58	2.44	52%	0.07	0.8	1.19%	0	-1.8	47	INF
9	May_3_2016	90.56	95.35	95.45	95.92	95.79	95.27	93.29(-3.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-53	-40	-67	-12	3.52	55%	0.09	22.9	1.19%	0	-2	48	INF
10	May_2_2016	90.48	95.45	95.83	96.4	96.3	96.36	97.13(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	0	21	52	2.27	65%	0.14	44.9	1.09%	0	1.8	60	INF

11	Apr_29_2016	90.35	95.36	95.68	95.91	95.95	96.31	95.87(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	30	26	43	1.59	66%	0.1	43.3	1.07%	0	0.6	53	INF
12	Apr_28_2016	90.26	95.35	95.59	95.53	95.44	96.23	97.12(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	58	60	63	44	1.49	69%	0.13	42.4	1.08%	0	2	59	INF
13	Apr_27_2016	90.14	95.2	95.34	94.88	94.67	95.6	96.17(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	41	60	49	18	1.67	69%	0.1	29.8	1.09%	0	1.2	59	INF
14	Apr_26_2016	90.05	95.11	95.17	94.96	94.41	94.65	95.69(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	0	25	6	1.43	69%	0.1	41	1.1%	0	0.7	49	INF
15	Apr_25_2016	89.96	95.04	95.07	95.22	94.82	93.75	94.72(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-90	-40	-14	1.45	62%	0.11	48.3	1.1%	0	-0.4	49	INF

16	Apr_22_2016	89.86	94.99	95.13	95.43	95.44	94.16	93.95(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-77	-90	-92	-30	1.98	66%	0.11	51.7	1.15%	0	-1.2	42	INF
17	Apr_21_2016	89.76	94.97	95.27	95.63	95.93	95.9	93.89(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-28	10	-36	-4	1.63	66%	0.12	51.6	1.2%	0	-1.2	41	INF
18	Apr_20_2016	89.65	94.96	95.36	95.79	95.87	96.73	96.57(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	70	55	39	1.2	73%	0.13	56.6	1.14%	0	1.7	64	INF
19	Apr_19_2016	89.53	94.79	95.25	95.38	95.34	95.97	96.95(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	55	40	61	36	1.29	75%	0.15	42.9	1.15%	0	2.3	65	INF
20	Apr_18_2016	89.4	94.64	95.05	94.94	94.89	95.02	95.78(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	10	18	10	0.96	74%	0.12	36.1	1.16%	0	1.4	62	INF

21	Apr_15_2016	89.29	94.55	95	94.83	94.81	94.7	94.95(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-6	-10	-9	5	1.21	68%	0.07	41.8	1.17%	0	0.5	62	INF
22	Apr_14_2016	89.23	94.5	95.07	94.88	95.02	94.76	94.71(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10	-8	18	1.07	68%	0.11	57	1.21%	0	0.3	63	INF
23	Apr_13_2016	89.13	94.43	95.07	94.85	95.11	94.91	94.52(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-10	-18	18	1.17	68%	0.1	57.6	1.22%	0	0.1	61	INF
24	Apr_12_2016	89.04	94.4	95.04	95.08	95.05	95.29	94.73(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	20	-4	36	1.25	70%	0.11	76.7	1.23%	0	0.4	64	INF
25	Apr_11_2016	88.94	94.35	95	95.16	95.14	95.31	95.25(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	10	21	50	0.79	70%		92	1.24%	0	1.1	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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