Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $95.8700 (-1.29%) ($95.3100 - $96.8500) on Fri. Apr. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $95.8700(-1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    IPO(-5%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $95.91(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.68(0.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $95.36(0.53%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $34.512b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 0.9% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.24%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.2%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.14%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.25%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.81%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.24%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2016	90.35	95.36	95.68	95.91	95.95	96.31	95.87(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	30	26	43	1.59	66%	0.1	43.3	1.07%	0	0.6	53	0
2	Apr_28_2016	90.26	95.35	95.59	95.53	95.44	96.23	97.12(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	58	60	63	44	1.49	69%	0.13	42.4	1.08%	0	2	59	0
3	Apr_27_2016	90.14	95.2	95.34	94.88	94.67	95.6	96.17(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	41	60	49	18	1.67	69%	0.1	29.8	1.09%	0	1.2	59	0
4	Apr_26_2016	90.05	95.11	95.17	94.96	94.41	94.65	95.69(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	0	25	6	1.43	69%	0.1	41	1.1%	0	0.7	49	0
5	Apr_25_2016	89.96	95.04	95.07	95.22	94.82	93.75	94.72(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-90	-40	-14	1.45	62%	0.11	48.3	1.1%	0	-0.4	49	0

6	Apr_22_2016	89.86	94.99	95.13	95.43	95.44	94.16	93.95(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-77	-90	-92	-30	1.98	66%	0.11	51.7	1.15%	0	-1.2	42	0
7	Apr_21_2016	89.76	94.97	95.27	95.63	95.93	95.9	93.89(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-28	10	-36	-4	1.63	66%	0.12	51.6	1.2%	0	-1.2	41	0
8	Apr_20_2016	89.65	94.96	95.36	95.79	95.87	96.73	96.57(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	70	55	39	1.2	73%	0.13	56.6	1.14%	0	1.7	64	0
9	Apr_19_2016	89.53	94.79	95.25	95.38	95.34	95.97	96.95(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	55	40	61	36	1.29	75%	0.15	42.9	1.15%	0	2.3	65	0
10	Apr_18_2016	89.4	94.64	95.05	94.94	94.89	95.02	95.78(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	10	18	10	0.96	74%	0.12	36.1	1.16%	0	1.4	62	0

11	Apr_15_2016	89.29	94.55	95	94.83	94.81	94.7	94.95(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-6	-10	-9	5	1.21	68%	0.07	41.8	1.17%	0	0.5	62	0
12	Apr_14_2016	89.23	94.5	95.07	94.88	95.02	94.76	94.71(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10	-8	18	1.07	68%	0.11	57	1.21%	0	0.3	63	0
13	Apr_13_2016	89.13	94.43	95.07	94.85	95.11	94.91	94.52(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-10	-18	18	1.17	68%	0.1	57.6	1.22%	0	0.1	61	0
14	Apr_12_2016	89.04	94.4	95.04	95.08	95.05	95.29	94.73(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	20	-4	36	1.25	70%	0.11	76.7	1.23%	0	0.4	64	0
15	Apr_11_2016	88.94	94.35	95	95.16	95.14	95.31	95.25(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	10	21	50	0.79	70%	0.14	92	1.24%	0	1.1	58	0

16	Apr_8_2016	88.82	94.25	94.85	95.21	95.07	94.8	95.21(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-20	-10	37	0.94	70%	0.12	96.6	1.24%	0	1.2	57	0
17	Apr_7_2016	88.71	94.08	94.66	95.29	95.18	94.96	94.54(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-20	-16	34	1.49	65%	0.12	86.1	1.25%	0	0.5	55	0
18	Apr_6_2016	88.6	93.97	94.56	95.25	95.22	95.34	95.68(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	10	8	44	0.66	59%	0.16	80.7	1.27%	0	1.7	71	0
19	Apr_5_2016	88.46	93.78	94.31	95	94.95	95.4	95.1(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	30	18	37	0.74	59%	0.15	70.3	1.34%	0	1.3	59	0
20	Apr_4_2016	88.33	93.6	94.2	94.81	94.77	95.11	95.5(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	20	38	43	0.8	59%	0.16	64.7	1.34%	0	1.7	62	0

21	Apr_1_2016	88.19	93.45	94.05	94.43	94.37	94.5	95.65(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	10	16	28	1.13	59%	0.14	63	1.35%	0	2.2	68	0
22	Mar_31_2016	88.07	93.27	93.87	93.95	94.07	94.44	94.31(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	30	17	26	1.23	57%	0.09	55.2	1.35%	0	1.2	71	0
23	Mar_30_2016	87.99	93.15	93.75	93.77	93.78	94.24	94.42(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	30	30	31	0.86	57%	0.11	48	1.36%	0	1.4	66	0
24	Mar_29_2016	87.89	93.04	93.68	93.52	93.52	93.69	94.17(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	10	17	28	0.78	57%	0.11	45.7	1.36%	0	1.3	68	0
25	Mar_28_2016	87.79	92.9	93.64	93.51	93.37	93.33	93.6(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10	-6	28	0.58	57%		43.3	1.36%	0	0.8	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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