Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $93.8900 (-2.78%) ($93.6900 - $96.2500) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $93.8900(-2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    IPO(-5%)    IBUY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

Resistance Level   $94.97
5 Day Moving Average   $95.63(-1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $95.27(-1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.97(-1.14%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $33.799b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.3%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.52%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.68%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.4%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.28%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.66%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	89.76	94.97	95.27	95.63	95.93	95.9	93.89(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-28	10	-36	-4	1.63	66%	0.12	51.6	1.2%	0	-1.2	41	0
2	Apr_20_2016	89.65	94.96	95.36	95.79	95.87	96.73	96.57(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	70	55	39	1.2	73%	0.13	56.6	1.14%	0	1.7	64	0
3	Apr_19_2016	89.53	94.79	95.25	95.38	95.34	95.97	96.95(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	55	40	61	36	1.29	75%	0.15	42.9	1.15%	0	2.3	65	0
4	Apr_18_2016	89.4	94.64	95.05	94.94	94.89	95.02	95.78(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	10	18	10	0.96	74%	0.12	36.1	1.16%	0	1.4	62	0
5	Apr_15_2016	89.29	94.55	95	94.83	94.81	94.7	94.95(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-6	-10	-9	5	1.21	68%	0.07	41.8	1.17%	0	0.5	62	0

6	Apr_14_2016	89.23	94.5	95.07	94.88	95.02	94.76	94.71(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10	-8	18	1.07	68%	0.11	57	1.21%	0	0.3	63	0
7	Apr_13_2016	89.13	94.43	95.07	94.85	95.11	94.91	94.52(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-10	-18	18	1.17	68%	0.1	57.6	1.22%	0	0.1	61	0
8	Apr_12_2016	89.04	94.4	95.04	95.08	95.05	95.29	94.73(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	20	-4	36	1.25	70%	0.11	76.7	1.23%	0	0.4	64	0
9	Apr_11_2016	88.94	94.35	95	95.16	95.14	95.31	95.25(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	10	21	50	0.79	70%	0.14	92	1.24%	0	1.1	58	0
10	Apr_8_2016	88.82	94.25	94.85	95.21	95.07	94.8	95.21(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-20	-10	37	0.94	70%	0.12	96.6	1.24%	0	1.2	57	0

11	Apr_7_2016	88.71	94.08	94.66	95.29	95.18	94.96	94.54(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-20	-16	34	1.49	65%	0.12	86.1	1.25%	0	0.5	55	0
12	Apr_6_2016	88.6	93.97	94.56	95.25	95.22	95.34	95.68(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	10	8	44	0.66	59%	0.16	80.7	1.27%	0	1.7	71	0
13	Apr_5_2016	88.46	93.78	94.31	95	94.95	95.4	95.1(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	30	18	37	0.74	59%	0.15	70.3	1.34%	0	1.3	59	0
14	Apr_4_2016	88.33	93.6	94.2	94.81	94.77	95.11	95.5(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	39	20	38	43	0.8	59%	0.16	64.7	1.34%	0	1.7	62	0
15	Apr_1_2016	88.19	93.45	94.05	94.43	94.37	94.5	95.65(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	19	10	16	28	1.13	59%	0.14	63	1.35%	0	2.2	68	0

16	Mar_31_2016	88.07	93.27	93.87	93.95	94.07	94.44	94.31(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	30	17	26	1.23	57%	0.09	55.2	1.35%	0	1.2	71	0
17	Mar_30_2016	87.99	93.15	93.75	93.77	93.78	94.24	94.42(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	30	30	31	0.86	57%	0.11	48	1.36%	0	1.4	66	0
18	Mar_29_2016	87.89	93.04	93.68	93.52	93.52	93.69	94.17(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	10	17	28	0.78	57%	0.11	45.7	1.36%	0	1.3	68	0
19	Mar_28_2016	87.79	92.9	93.64	93.51	93.37	93.33	93.6(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10	-6	28	0.58	57%	0.1	43.3	1.36%	0	0.8	66	0
20	Mar_24_2016	87.7	92.82	93.59	93.63	93.52	93.35	93.27(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-20	-9	33	0.62	57%	0.09	47.9	1.36%	0	0.5	55	0

21	Mar_23_2016	87.62	92.78	93.46	93.76	93.71	93.42	93.38(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-20	-9	36	0.77	57%	0.08	60.4	1.37%	0	0.7	59	0
22	Mar_22_2016	87.55	92.72	93.36	93.71	93.7	93.69	93.18(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-0	-9	37	1.27	57%	0.07	69.1	1.37%	0	0.5	60	0
23	Mar_21_2016	87.49	92.64	93.23	93.83	93.49	94	94.13(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	30	15	48	0.69	57%	0.17	87.8	1.36%	0	1.6	61	0
24	Mar_18_2016	87.34	92.52	92.99	93.77	93.34	93.71	94.18(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	38	10	32	55	2.03	54%	0.14	109.7	1.37%	0	1.9	67	0
25	Mar_17_2016	87.22	92.39	92.81	93.56	93.25	92.98	93.95(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-30	11	45	1.03	54%		137.5	1.39%	0	1.9	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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