Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $85.6900 (2.87%) ($84.2800 - $85.9000) on Fri. Jan. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $85.6900(2.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-15%)    VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $83.63(2.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.57(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.49(0.23%)
To recent high   -4.1%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $30.847b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2016	83.65	85.49	83.57	83.63	83.6	84.14	85.69(2.87%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	33	40	54	-30	1.4	60%	0.07	-50.5	1.68%	0	0.1	42	0
2	Jan_21_2016	83.59	85.62	83.31	83.35	82.92	82.86	83.3(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-20	-8	-85	1.84	57%	0.06	-49.2	1.66%	0	-0.9	32	0
3	Jan_20_2016	83.54	85.87	83.47	83.31	83.08	83.06	82.93(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10	-7	-103	2.36	57%	0.07	-44	1.66%	0	-1.1	29	0
4	Jan_19_2016	83.48	86.1	83.94	83.57	83.39	82.97	83.88(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-40	-2	-100	2.12	57%	0.1	-37.2	1.65%	0	-0.8	35	0
5	Jan_15_2016	83.4	86.36	84.25	83.37	83.44	83.11	82.35(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-30	-25	-123	2.15	54%	0.02	-36.9	1.63%	0	-1.6	28	0

6	Jan_14_2016	83.38	86.72	84.8	83.46	83.55	83.81	84.28(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-25	30	6	-116	2	58%	0.07	-32.4	1.61%	0	-1	30	0
7	Jan_13_2016	83.32	86.89	85.25	83.27	83.44	83.77	83.1(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-24	30	9	-121	1.63	55%	0.1	-34.3	1.6%	0	-1.6	29	0
8	Jan_12_2016	83.24	87.04	85.86	83.67	83.4	83.3	84.23(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-20	-16	-118	1.45	55%	0.1	-35.1	1.61%	0	-1.2	34	0
9	Jan_11_2016	83.16	87.09	86.3	84.43	83.97	83.11	82.88(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-63	-90	-47	-111	1.97	53%	0.04	-29.2	1.6%	0	-1.9	33	0
10	Jan_8_2016	83.13	87.31	86.91	85.29	85.15	83.51	82.82(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-81	-140	-73	-104	1.74	53%	0	-12.9	1.6%	0	-2.2	28	0

11	Jan_7_2016	83.13	87.52	87.6	86.34	86.02	84.82	83.33(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-99	-110	-101	-92	2.14	53%	0	7.5	1.6%	0	-2.4	29	0
12	Jan_6_2016	83.13	87.73	88.17	87.48	87.23	86.8	85.09(-3.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-40	-40	-41	-38	2.76	57%	0.02	38	1.58%	0	-1.8	44	0
13	Jan_5_2016	83.11	87.84	88.52	88.34	88.04	87.22	88.01(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-19	-80	-25	-0	1.51	66%	0.06	70.2	1.52%	0	0.1	63	0
14	Jan_4_2016	83.06	87.73	88.48	88.47	88.47	87.67	87.21(-0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-37	-60	-51	5	1.72	66%	-0.11	72.7	1.54%	0	-0.4	64	0
15	Dec_31_2015	83.15	87.58	88.69	88.79	88.87	88.86	88.06(-1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	0	-19	35	0.86	66%	0	62	1.54%	0	0.3	55	0

16	Dec_30_2015	83.15	87.38	88.81	89.05	88.97	89.26	89.03(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	20	14	69	0.86	68%	-0.02	56.3	1.53%	0	0.9	61	0
17	Dec_29_2015	83.17	87.18	88.66	88.97	88.94	88.89	89.4(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-0	15	69	0.74	70%	0	54	1.55%	0	1.2	58	0
18	Dec_28_2015	83.17	86.92	88.3	88.74	88.7	88.67	88.66(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	10	-0	-4	51	0.64	64%	-0.11	49.5	1.57%	0	0.9	56	0
19	Dec_24_2015	83.26	86.75	87.92	88.49	88.6	88.98	88.8(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	30	10	47	0.35	64%	-0.02	48.6	1.62%	0	1.1	62	0
20	Dec_23_2015	83.28	86.58	87.72	88.57	88.42	88.74	89.36(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	20	15	64	0.67	64%	-0.01	56	1.62%	0	1.6	68	0

21	Dec_22_2015	83.29	86.37	87.4	88.55	88.5	88.22	88.65(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-20	6	71	1.27	64%	-0.01	69.9	1.62%	0	1.4	67	0
22	Dec_21_2015	83.3	86.2	87.23	88.31	88.53	88.1	88.21(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-30	-8	68	1.29	64%	-0.01	77.2	1.64%	0	1.3	60	0
23	Dec_18_2015	83.31	86.01	87.1	87.78	88.24	88.77	87.41(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	60	17	78	2.24	64%	-0.02	74.6	1.64%	0	0.9	61	0
24	Dec_17_2015	83.33	85.87	86.91	87.2	87.45	88.95	89.21(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	70	130	65	86	2.15	68%	0	65.7	1.63%	0	2.2	62	0
25	Dec_16_2015	83.33	85.58	86.37	86.73	86.34	87.7	89.26(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	71	100	70	72	2.26	68%		57.3	1.63%	0	2.6	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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