Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $88.8000 (-0.63%) ($88.3200 - $89.2800) on Thu. Dec. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.62% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $88.8000(-0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    LIT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.81% (StdDev 1.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.49(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.92(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.75(2.36%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   15%
Market Cap   $31.967b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 2.12% (three month std-dev: 1.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.01%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -1.35%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 0.97%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.32%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2015	83.26	86.75	87.92	88.49	88.6	88.98	88.8(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	30	10	47	0.35	64%	-0.02	48.6	1.62%	0	1.1	62	0
2	Dec_23_2015	83.28	86.58	87.72	88.57	88.42	88.74	89.36(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	20	15	64	0.67	64%	-0.01	56	1.62%	0	1.6	68	0
3	Dec_22_2015	83.29	86.37	87.4	88.55	88.5	88.22	88.65(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-20	6	71	1.27	64%	-0.01	69.9	1.62%	0	1.4	67	0
4	Dec_21_2015	83.3	86.2	87.23	88.31	88.53	88.1	88.21(0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-30	-8	68	1.29	64%	-0.01	77.2	1.64%	0	1.3	60	0
5	Dec_18_2015	83.31	86.01	87.1	87.78	88.24	88.77	87.41(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	60	17	78	2.24	64%	-0.02	74.6	1.64%	0	0.9	61	0

6	Dec_17_2015	83.33	85.87	86.91	87.2	87.45	88.95	89.21(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	70	130	65	86	2.15	68%	0	65.7	1.63%	0	2.2	62	0
7	Dec_16_2015	83.33	85.58	86.37	86.73	86.34	87.7	89.26(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	71	100	70	72	2.26	68%	0.01	57.3	1.63%	0	2.6	61	0
8	Dec_15_2015	83.32	85.22	85.82	86.13	85.91	85.95	87.48(2.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	33	-0	32	36	2.33	66%	0.01	36.8	1.62%	0	1.7	56	0
9	Dec_14_2015	83.31	85	85.56	86.05	85.88	84.97	85.55(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-29	-80	-40	5	2.1	63%	-0.04	31.1	1.6%	0	0.4	51	0
10	Dec_11_2015	83.34	85	85.43	86.33	86.3	85.87	84.5(-2.72%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-26	-40	-38	12	2.97	63%	-0.06	25.6	1.6%	0	-0.3	52	0

11	Dec_10_2015	83.39	84.86	85.52	86.52	86.63	86.79	86.86(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	20	21	45	2.31	69%	-0.04	21.7	1.56%	0	1.5	62	0
12	Dec_9_2015	83.42	84.79	85.36	85.91	86.11	86.74	86.24(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	60	30	40	4.32	69%	-0.04	9.7	1.56%	0	1.1	63	0
13	Dec_8_2015	83.45	84.73	85.28	85.42	85.38	86.47	87.08(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	49	90	48	50	2.95	69%	-0.01	-6	1.57%	0	1.9	74	0
14	Dec_7_2015	83.46	84.6	85.09	85.01	84.81	85.49	86.98(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	55	50	55	53	2.07	69%	-0.02	-25.7	1.57%	0	2.1	67	0
15	Dec_4_2015	83.48	84.51	84.81	84.44	84.81	84.29	85.43(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10	5	26	1.35	62%	-0.05	-22	1.57%	0	0.9	64	0

16	Dec_3_2015	83.52	84.56	84.72	84.41	84.38	84.14	83.83(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-14	-20	-23	15	2.39	59%	-0.06	-3	1.58%	0	-0.6	48	0
17	Dec_2_2015	83.57	84.66	84.73	84.73	84.77	84.47	83.79(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-20	-16	18	1.36	62%	-0.07	14.7	1.58%	0	-0.8	41	0
18	Dec_1_2015	83.63	84.81	84.6	85.08	85.07	84.62	85.03(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-40	-19	13	1.65	56%	-0.05	34	1.59%	0	0.2	48	0
19	Nov_30_2015	83.67	84.89	84.41	85.16	85.27	85.07	84.12(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-9	-10	-15	10	1.99	56%	-0.04	44.8	1.63%	0	-0.6	48	0
20	Nov_27_2015	83.7	84.74	84.28	85.21	85.32	85.52	85.29(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	20	7	9	0.78	59%	-0.05	26.6	1.62%	0	0.3	47	0

21	Nov_25_2015	83.74	84.6	84.18	85.07	85.13	85.47	85.4(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	30	20	1	1.23	62%	-0.04	17.5	1.68%	0	0.5	43	0
22	Nov_24_2015	83.77	84.49	84.19	84.74	84.83	85.12	85.57(0.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	22	30	30	-3	2	57%	-0.01	12	1.68%	0	0.6	48	0
23	Nov_23_2015	83.78	84.39	84.14	84.04	84.25	84.8	85.41(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	50	24	-26	1.06	57%	0.02	0	1.76%	0	0.6	43	0
24	Nov_20_2015	83.76	84.32	84.04	83.57	83.68	84.53	84.4(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	80	36	-40	1.79	51%	-0.04	-7.6	1.8%	0	0	39	0
25	Nov_19_2015	83.79	84.31	84.15	83.22	83.21	83.7	84.57(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	40	29	-33	1.81	51%		-14.7	1.81%	0	0.2	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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