Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $86.9800 (1.81%) ($85.1100 - $87.5700) on Mon. Dec. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $86.9800(1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $85.01(2.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.09(2.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.6(2.81%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $31.312b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.36% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.81%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.53%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.53%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2015	83.46	84.6	85.09	85.01	84.81	85.49	86.98(1.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	55	50	55	53	2.07	69%	-0.02	-25.7	1.57%	0	2.1	67	0
2	Dec_4_2015	83.48	84.51	84.81	84.44	84.81	84.29	85.43(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10	5	26	1.35	62%	-0.05	-22	1.57%	0	0.9	64	0
3	Dec_3_2015	83.52	84.56	84.72	84.41	84.38	84.14	83.83(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-14	-20	-23	15	2.39	59%	-0.06	-3	1.58%	0	-0.6	48	0
4	Dec_2_2015	83.57	84.66	84.73	84.73	84.77	84.47	83.79(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-20	-16	18	1.36	62%	-0.07	14.7	1.58%	0	-0.8	41	0
5	Dec_1_2015	83.63	84.81	84.6	85.08	85.07	84.62	85.03(1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-40	-19	13	1.65	56%	-0.05	34	1.59%	0	0.2	48	0

6	Nov_30_2015	83.67	84.89	84.41	85.16	85.27	85.07	84.12(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-9	-10	-15	10	1.99	56%	-0.04	44.8	1.63%	0	-0.6	48	0
7	Nov_27_2015	83.7	84.74	84.28	85.21	85.32	85.52	85.29(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	20	7	9	0.78	59%	-0.05	26.6	1.62%	0	0.3	47	0
8	Nov_25_2015	83.74	84.6	84.18	85.07	85.13	85.47	85.4(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	30	20	1	1.23	62%	-0.04	17.5	1.68%	0	0.5	43	0
9	Nov_24_2015	83.77	84.49	84.19	84.74	84.83	85.12	85.57(0.19%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	22	30	30	-3	2	57%	-0.01	12	1.68%	0	0.6	48	0
10	Nov_23_2015	83.78	84.39	84.14	84.04	84.25	84.8	85.41(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	50	24	-26	1.06	57%	0.02	0	1.76%	0	0.6	43	0

11	Nov_20_2015	83.76	84.32	84.04	83.57	83.68	84.53	84.4(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	80	36	-40	1.79	51%	-0.04	-7.6	1.8%	0	0	39	0
12	Nov_19_2015	83.79	84.31	84.15	83.22	83.21	83.7	84.57(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	40	29	-33	1.81	51%	-0.05	-14.7	1.81%	0	0.2	64	0
13	Nov_18_2015	83.83	84.3	84.34	83.17	82.94	82.83	83.75(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-20	-11	-35	1.53	51%	-0.04	-15.2	1.8%	0	-0.3	56	0
14	Nov_17_2015	83.86	84.29	84.55	83.59	83.43	82.73	82.06(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-60	-32	-26	1.58	43%	-0.05	-7.6	1.79%	0	-1.3	50	0
15	Nov_16_2015	83.9	84.39	85.03	84.26	84.28	83.04	83.05(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-100	-39	-4	1.42	43%	-0.06	5.3	1.97%	0	-0.8	50	0

16	Nov_13_2015	83.95	84.44	85.43	84.58	84.8	84.13	82.66(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-34	-50	-48	9	2.01	43%	-0.05	9.1	1.97%	0	-1.1	49	0
17	Nov_12_2015	83.99	84.55	85.29	85.18	85.21	85.51	84.35(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	30	-8	26	1.44	43%	-0.04	21.5	1.97%	0	-0.1	52	0
18	Nov_11_2015	84.02	84.56	85.12	85.65	85.43	85.46	85.83(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	13	37	1.34	43%	-0.02	31.5	1.96%	0	0.8	54	0
19	Nov_10_2015	84.04	84.42	84.88	85.67	85.5	84.91	85.39(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-50	-20	25	1.05	43%	-0.04	32.6	1.96%	0	0.6	57	0
20	Nov_9_2015	84.07	84.3	84.71	85.96	85.76	85.4	84.65(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-15	-40	-29	28	2.16	43%	-0.04	38.7	1.96%	0	0.2	54	0

21	Nov_6_2015	84.1	84.29	84.64	86.42	86.18	86.09	85.67(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	22	-20	11	55	1.67	43%	-0.04	51.6	1.96%	0	0.9	57	0
22	Nov_5_2015	84.13	84.22	84.48	85.38	86.24	86.12	86.73(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	20	25	38	1.76	43%	-0.01	43.3	1.96%	0	1.7	56	0
23	Nov_4_2015	84.14	84.07	84.24	84.48	85.03	86.28	85.9(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	17	120	17	18	2.2	43%	-0.02	38.1	1.96%	0	1.3	55	0
24	Nov_3_2015	84.16	83.92	83.97	83.95	84.19	86.36	86.83(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2.1	73	190	85	35	4.33	43%	0	37.3	1.95%	0	2.2	62	0
25	Nov_2_2015	84.16	83.72	83.63	83.32	83.45	83.78	86.97(8.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	51	30	63	15	8.55	43%		44.4	1.96%	0	2.7	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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