Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 23, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $85.4100 (1.2%) ($84.3000 - $85.5400) on Mon. Nov. 23, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $85.4100(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-14%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $84.04(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.14(1.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.39(1.21%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $30.746b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151223

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_23_2015	83.78	84.39	84.14	84.04	84.25	84.8	85.41(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	50	24	-26	1.06	57%	0.02	0	1.76%	0	0.6	43	0
2	Nov_20_2015	83.76	84.32	84.04	83.57	83.68	84.53	84.4(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	17	80	36	-40	1.79	51%	-0.04	-7.6	1.8%	0	0	39	0
3	Nov_19_2015	83.79	84.31	84.15	83.22	83.21	83.7	84.57(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	40	29	-33	1.81	51%	-0.05	-14.7	1.81%	0	0.2	64	0
4	Nov_18_2015	83.83	84.3	84.34	83.17	82.94	82.83	83.75(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-20	-11	-35	1.53	51%	-0.04	-15.2	1.8%	0	-0.3	56	0
5	Nov_17_2015	83.86	84.29	84.55	83.59	83.43	82.73	82.06(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-31	-60	-32	-26	1.58	43%	-0.05	-7.6	1.79%	0	-1.3	50	0

6	Nov_16_2015	83.9	84.39	85.03	84.26	84.28	83.04	83.05(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-100	-39	-4	1.42	43%	-0.06	5.3	1.97%	0	-0.8	50	0
7	Nov_13_2015	83.95	84.44	85.43	84.58	84.8	84.13	82.66(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-34	-50	-48	9	2.01	43%	-0.05	9.1	1.97%	0	-1.1	49	0
8	Nov_12_2015	83.99	84.55	85.29	85.18	85.21	85.51	84.35(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	30	-8	26	1.44	43%	-0.04	21.5	1.97%	0	-0.1	52	0
9	Nov_11_2015	84.02	84.56	85.12	85.65	85.43	85.46	85.83(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	13	37	1.34	43%	-0.02	31.5	1.96%	0	0.8	54	0
10	Nov_10_2015	84.04	84.42	84.88	85.67	85.5	84.91	85.39(0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-50	-20	25	1.05	43%	-0.04	32.6	1.96%	0	0.6	57	0

11	Nov_9_2015	84.07	84.3	84.71	85.96	85.76	85.4	84.65(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-15	-40	-29	28	2.16	43%	-0.04	38.7	1.96%	0	0.2	54	0
12	Nov_6_2015	84.1	84.29	84.64	86.42	86.18	86.09	85.67(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	22	-20	11	55	1.67	43%	-0.04	51.6	1.96%	0	0.9	57	0
13	Nov_5_2015	84.13	84.22	84.48	85.38	86.24	86.12	86.73(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	20	25	38	1.76	43%	-0.01	43.3	1.96%	0	1.7	56	0
14	Nov_4_2015	84.14	84.07	84.24	84.48	85.03	86.28	85.9(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	17	120	17	18	2.2	43%	-0.02	38.1	1.96%	0	1.3	55	0
15	Nov_3_2015	84.16	83.92	83.97	83.95	84.19	86.36	86.83(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	2.1	73	190	85	35	4.33	43%	0	37.3	1.95%	0	2.2	62	0

16	Nov_2_2015	84.16	83.72	83.63	83.32	83.45	83.78	86.97(8.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	51	30	63	15	8.55	43%	0	44.4	1.96%	0	2.7	63	0
17	Oct_30_2015	84.16	83.51	83.27	82.7	82.81	82.01	80.46(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-55	-60	-56	-52	6.95	33%	-0.08	59.1	1.67%	0	-2.9	32	0
18	Oct_29_2015	84.23	83.58	83.72	83.45	83.46	83.12	82.24(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-29	-30	-31	-23	4.99	37%	-0.07	92.4	1.65%	0	-1.4	38	0
19	Oct_28_2015	84.29	83.53	83.72	83.92	83.95	83.61	83.25(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-30	-9	-1	2.1	39%	-0.06	103.7	1.66%	0	-0.2	47	0
20	Oct_27_2015	84.34	83.42	83.95	83.94	84.12	83.8	83.67(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-20	-16	-4	1.18	37%	-0.05	86.1	1.67%	0	0.2	56	0

21	Oct_26_2015	84.38	83.2	83.9	83.95	84.16	84.29	83.89(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-3	20	-4	2	1.32	37%	-0.05	70.3	1.69%	0	0.4	56	0
22	Oct_23_2015	84.42	82.89	83.96	83.94	84.13	84.44	84.21(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	30	12	13	1.92	37%	-0.04	64.8	1.69%	0	0.6	58	0
23	Oct_22_2015	84.45	82.67	83.97	84.05	84.07	84.02	84.59(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-0	5	26	2.62	37%	-0.04	67.2	1.69%	0	0.9	70	0
24	Oct_21_2015	84.48	82.38	83.9	84	84.16	83.82	83.34(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-20	-10	31	1.38	37%	-0.05	64	1.68%	0	0.4	67	0
25	Oct_20_2015	84.52	82.15	83.88	83.96	84.29	84.11	83.74(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-0	-6	41	1.69	37%		59.6	1.68%	0	0.6	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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