Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Sep. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $77.6400 (-1.55%) ($77.5300 - $78.9900) on Sat. Sep. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $77.6400(-1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $77.89
5 Day Moving Average   $77.68(-0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.25(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.89(-0.32%)
To recent high   -14.7%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2015	85.9	77.89	77.25	77.68	77.86	78.38	77.64(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	7	50	17	-22	2.5	39%	-0.03	-104.4	1.6%	0	-0.2	39	0
2	Sep_17_2015	85.93	78.09	77.39	77.43	77.44	78.23	78.86(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	33	70	50	-20	2.03	39%	-0.05	-112.1	1.59%	0	0.5	44	0
3	Sep_16_2015	85.97	78.29	77.35	76.86	76.78	77.34	78.11(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	16	50	35	-40	1.29	40%	-0.06	-111.9	1.59%	0	-0.1	49	0
4	Sep_15_2015	86.02	78.55	77.25	76.53	76.38	76.65	77.4(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	20	10	-53	1.46	40%	-0.07	-113.3	1.6%	0	-0.5	57	0
5	Sep_14_2015	86.08	78.8	77.46	76.58	76.51	76.22	76.38(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-30	-6	-46	1.26	40%	-0.07	-119.2	1.59%	0	-1	52	0

6	Sep_11_2015	86.14	79.39	77.85	76.78	76.88	76.1	76.42(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-70	-41	-53	1.86	40%	-0.07	-93.9	1.59%	0	-0.9	41	0
7	Sep_10_2015	86.2	80.02	78.21	77.35	77.38	76.8	76.01(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-50	-49	-51	2.08	40%	-0.08	-76.3	1.59%	0	-1	35	0
8	Sep_9_2015	86.27	80.64	78.47	77.89	78.11	77.65	76.46(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-30	-17	-46	2	40%	-0.07	-70.1	1.59%	0	-1	34	0
9	Sep_8_2015	86.33	81.31	78.45	78.05	78.34	77.96	77.65(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-20	-26	-81	2.26	40%	-0.01	-64.6	1.58%	0	-0.8	35	0
10	Sep_4_2015	86.34	81.9	78.37	78.47	78.3	78.58	77.35(-2.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	20	-23	-97	2.05	40%	-0.08	-56.6	1.57%	0	-0.9	37	0

11	Sep_3_2015	86.41	82.54	78.62	79.07	78.78	78.71	79.27(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-20	15	-107	2.53	42%	-0.06	-51.9	1.54%	0	-0.6	30	0
12	Sep_2_2015	86.46	83.06	78.87	79.23	79	78.03	78.74(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-90	-31	-155	1.41	42%	-0.07	-49.4	1.54%	0	-0.8	28	0
13	Sep_1_2015	86.52	83.66	79.29	79.16	79	78.84	77.23(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-40	-33	-185	2.88	40%	-0.07	-48.6	1.52%	0	-1.2	27	0
14	Aug_31_2015	86.58	84.32	79.93	78.86	79.31	79.98	79.77(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	80	32	-202	1.7	43%	-0.05	-50.2	1.47%	0	-0.9	28	0
15	Aug_28_2015	86.62	84.8	80.21	78.22	78.62	79.78	80.35(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	120	60	-238	1.91	42%	-0.05	-52.4	1.48%	0	-0.9	30	0

16	Aug_27_2015	86.66	85.25	80.97	78.12	77.63	78.64	80.07(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-47	70	26	-266	2.42	42%	-0.05	-53.4	1.47%	0	-1	28	0
17	Aug_26_2015	86.7	85.73	81.87	78.54	77.93	77.47	78.4(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-79	-60	-13	-278	2.62	37%	-0.07	-52.3	1.45%	0	-1.5	25	0
18	Aug_25_2015	86.76	86.32	82.9	79.54	79.15	76.61	75.73(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-177	-240	-128	-322	3.8	32%	-0.1	-50.5	1.39%	0	-2.3	14	0
19	Aug_24_2015	86.85	86.99	84.37	81.16	80.76	78.4	76.56(-4.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-211	-220	-181	-301	5.63	32%	-0.13	-50.5	1.4%	0	-2.6	19	0
20	Aug_21_2015	86.96	87.57	85.75	82.41	82.68	81.7	79.83(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-147	-70	-111	-253	3	36%	-0.05	-55.1	1.32%	0	-2.4	25	0

21	Aug_20_2015	87	88.04	86.84	84.21	83.76	83.12	82.18(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-114	-70	-86	-196	2.23	38%	-0.01	-49.2	1.27%	0	-2.2	31	0
22	Aug_19_2015	87.01	88.42	87.66	85.73	85.33	83.66	83.42(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-101	-150	-84	-152	2.71	40%	0	-39.4	1.26%	0	-2.2	32	0
23	Aug_18_2015	87.01	88.74	88.44	86.82	86.78	84.4	83.82(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-154	-190	-157	-145	6.23	40%	0	-31.3	1.26%	0	-2.5	33	0
24	Aug_17_2015	87.01	89.03	89.12	88.11	88.04	87.01	82.8(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-127	-80	-139	-91	11.08	40%	0	-16.2	1.25%	0	-3.8	37	0
25	Aug_14_2015	87.01	89.36	89.86	89.53	89.18	89.17	88.82(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10	-17	20	3.32	54%		10.8	0.93%	0	-0.6	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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