Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $79.2700 (0.67%) ($78.7300 - $79.7000) on Thu. Sep. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $79.2700(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IWF(63%)    IVE(61%)    IWD(61%)    VT(60%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-13%)    SKYY(-3%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $82.54
5 Day Moving Average   $79.07(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.62(0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $82.54(-3.96%)
To recent high   -12.9%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $28.536b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 6.13% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 2.27%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.81%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.49%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.59%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.13%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151003

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_3_2015	86.41	82.54	78.62	79.07	78.78	78.71	79.27(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-20	15	-107	2.53	42%	-0.06	-51.9	1.54%	0	-0.6	30	0
2	Sep_2_2015	86.46	83.06	78.87	79.23	79	78.03	78.74(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-90	-31	-155	1.41	42%	-0.07	-49.4	1.54%	0	-0.8	28	0
3	Sep_1_2015	86.52	83.66	79.29	79.16	79	78.84	77.23(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-71	-40	-33	-185	2.88	40%	-0.07	-48.6	1.52%	0	-1.2	27	0
4	Aug_31_2015	86.58	84.32	79.93	78.86	79.31	79.98	79.77(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	80	32	-202	1.7	43%	-0.05	-50.2	1.47%	0	-0.9	28	0
5	Aug_28_2015	86.62	84.8	80.21	78.22	78.62	79.78	80.35(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	120	60	-238	1.91	42%	-0.05	-52.4	1.48%	0	-0.9	30	0

6	Aug_27_2015	86.66	85.25	80.97	78.12	77.63	78.64	80.07(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-47	70	26	-266	2.42	42%	-0.05	-53.4	1.47%	0	-1	28	0
7	Aug_26_2015	86.7	85.73	81.87	78.54	77.93	77.47	78.4(3.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-79	-60	-13	-278	2.62	37%	-0.07	-52.3	1.45%	0	-1.5	25	0
8	Aug_25_2015	86.76	86.32	82.9	79.54	79.15	76.61	75.73(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-177	-240	-128	-322	3.8	32%	-0.1	-50.5	1.39%	0	-2.3	14	0
9	Aug_24_2015	86.85	86.99	84.37	81.16	80.76	78.4	76.56(-4.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-211	-220	-181	-301	5.63	32%	-0.13	-50.5	1.4%	0	-2.6	19	0
10	Aug_21_2015	86.96	87.57	85.75	82.41	82.68	81.7	79.83(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-147	-70	-111	-253	3	36%	-0.05	-55.1	1.32%	0	-2.4	25	0

11	Aug_20_2015	87	88.04	86.84	84.21	83.76	83.12	82.18(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-114	-70	-86	-196	2.23	38%	-0.01	-49.2	1.27%	0	-2.2	31	0
12	Aug_19_2015	87.01	88.42	87.66	85.73	85.33	83.66	83.42(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-101	-150	-84	-152	2.71	40%	0	-39.4	1.26%	0	-2.2	32	0
13	Aug_18_2015	87.01	88.74	88.44	86.82	86.78	84.4	83.82(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-154	-190	-157	-145	6.23	40%	0	-31.3	1.26%	0	-2.5	33	0
14	Aug_17_2015	87.01	89.03	89.12	88.11	88.04	87.01	82.8(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-127	-80	-139	-91	11.08	40%	0	-16.2	1.25%	0	-3.8	37	0
15	Aug_14_2015	87.01	89.03	89.86	89.53	89.18	89.17	88.82(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10	-17	20	3.32	54%	0.08	10.8	0.93%	0	-0.6	62	0

16	Aug_13_2015	86.94	89.36	89.91	89.86	89.62	89.07	89.81(1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-50	-12	39	2.21	56%	0.07	26.7	0.96%	0	0.5	57	0
17	Aug_12_2015	86.88	89.33	89.89	89.9	89.79	89.19	88.84(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-53	-50	-77	18	2.04	54%	0.06	45	0.95%	0	-0.6	50	0
18	Aug_11_2015	86.83	89.36	89.98	90.34	90.27	90.17	90.28(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10	-22	63	2.45	58%	0.09	75	0.93%	0	1	54	0
19	Aug_10_2015	86.75	89.3	89.77	90.32	90.59	90.4	89.89(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	-10	9	68	1.93	58%	0.07	83.3	0.93%	0	0.7	53	0
20	Aug_7_2015	86.69	89.26	89.5	90.24	90.39	90.38	90.47(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	0	-9	49	1.66	58%	0.1	86.5	0.92%	0	1.3	60	0

21	Aug_6_2015	86.6	89.11	89.29	89.97	90.2	90.78	90.04(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	50	32	53	1.28	58%	0.1	67.8	0.93%	0	0.9	57	0
22	Aug_5_2015	86.51	88.93	89.19	89.87	89.9	90.4	91.01(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	40	63	61	1.4	66%	0.12	54.1	0.92%	0	1.7	57	0
23	Aug_4_2015	86.41	88.69	89	89.59	89.49	89.62	90.19(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	10	27	33	0.96	66%	0.1	51.2	1.04%	0	1.4	53	0
24	Aug_3_2015	86.32	88.59	88.89	89.16	89.23	89.41	89.51(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	20	26	17	1.18	66%	0.12	49.6	1.04%	0	0.8	51	0
25	Jul_31_2015	86.22	88.46	88.78	88.63	88.8	89.37	89.11(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	23	50	32	-3	1.28	68%		31.7	1.05%	0	0.6	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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