Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $83.4200 (-0.48%) ($83.0400 - $84.4800) on Wed. Aug. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $83.4200(-0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EL declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVE(61%)    VT(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLY(58%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    IYT(-4%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $88.42
5 Day Moving Average   $85.73(-2.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $87.66(-4.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.42(-5.65%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   0.7%
Market Cap   $30.03b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.29%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.4%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 2.06%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -2.3%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.56%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2015	87.01	88.42	87.66	85.73	85.33	83.66	83.42(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-101	-150	-84	-152	2.71	40%	0	-39.4	1.26%	0	-2.2	32	0
2	Aug_18_2015	87.01	88.74	88.44	86.82	86.78	84.4	83.82(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-154	-190	-157	-145	6.23	40%	0	-31.3	1.26%	0	-2.5	33	0
3	Aug_17_2015	87.01	89.03	89.12	88.11	88.04	87.01	82.8(-6.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-127	-80	-139	-91	11.08	40%	0	-16.2	1.25%	0	-3.8	37	0
4	Aug_14_2015	87.01	89.03	89.86	89.53	89.18	89.17	88.82(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10	-17	20	3.32	54%	0.08	10.8	0.93%	0	-0.6	62	0
5	Aug_13_2015	86.94	89.36	89.91	89.86	89.62	89.07	89.81(1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-50	-12	39	2.21	56%	0.07	26.7	0.96%	0	0.5	57	0

6	Aug_12_2015	86.88	89.33	89.89	89.9	89.79	89.19	88.84(-1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-53	-50	-77	18	2.04	54%	0.06	45	0.95%	0	-0.6	50	0
7	Aug_11_2015	86.83	89.36	89.98	90.34	90.27	90.17	90.28(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10	-22	63	2.45	58%	0.09	75	0.93%	0	1	54	0
8	Aug_10_2015	86.75	89.3	89.77	90.32	90.59	90.4	89.89(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	24	-10	9	68	1.93	58%	0.07	83.3	0.93%	0	0.7	53	0
9	Aug_7_2015	86.69	89.26	89.5	90.24	90.39	90.38	90.47(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	0	-9	49	1.66	58%	0.1	86.5	0.92%	0	1.3	60	0
10	Aug_6_2015	86.6	89.11	89.29	89.97	90.2	90.78	90.04(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	50	32	53	1.28	58%	0.1	67.8	0.93%	0	0.9	57	0

11	Aug_5_2015	86.51	88.93	89.19	89.87	89.9	90.4	91.01(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	40	63	61	1.4	66%	0.12	54.1	0.92%	0	1.7	57	0
12	Aug_4_2015	86.41	88.69	89	89.59	89.49	89.62	90.19(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	10	27	33	0.96	66%	0.1	51.2	1.04%	0	1.4	53	0
13	Aug_3_2015	86.32	88.59	88.89	89.16	89.23	89.41	89.51(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	20	26	17	1.18	66%	0.12	49.6	1.04%	0	0.8	51	0
14	Jul_31_2015	86.22	88.46	88.78	88.63	88.8	89.37	89.11(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	23	50	32	-3	1.28	68%	0.09	31.7	1.05%	0	0.6	49	0
15	Jul_30_2015	86.14	88.39	88.74	88.49	88.31	89.05	89.53(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	50	43	3	0.85	65%	0.1	31.5	1.07%	0	1	63	0

16	Jul_29_2015	86.05	88.29	88.7	88.41	88.2	88.23	89.62(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-0	29	12	1.2	65%	0.09	31.4	1.08%	0	1.2	69	0
17	Jul_28_2015	85.97	88.14	88.66	88.35	88.31	87.56	88.02(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-60	-44	-1	1.36	63%	0.07	26	1.07%	0	-0.1	64	0
18	Jul_27_2015	85.91	88.05	88.78	88.6	88.71	88.16	86.87(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-43	-40	-60	8	1.69	61%	0.05	21.1	1.06%	0	-1	45	0
19	Jul_24_2015	85.87	88.12	89.03	88.93	89.06	89.07	88.4(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	10	-9	55	0.9	65%	0.07	28.7	1.04%	0	0.2	59	0
20	Jul_23_2015	85.81	88.04	88.96	88.98	89.02	89.26	89.15(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	20	12	67	0.76	65%	0.08	23.3	1.03%	0	0.9	59	0

21	Jul_22_2015	85.74	87.95	88.69	89.02	88.92	89.05	89.32(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	9	60	0.86	65%	0.07	23.1	1.03%	0	1.2	59	0
22	Jul_21_2015	85.68	87.86	88.4	89.04	89.06	88.78	89.24(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-20	-3	55	1.17	65%	0.07	24.8	1.03%	0	1.3	63	0
23	Jul_20_2015	85.62	87.81	88.29	89.03	89.14	88.79	88.53(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-20	-33	57	1.46	65%	0.07	33.3	1.03%	0	0.7	64	0
24	Jul_17_2015	85.56	87.79	88.14	89.16	89.27	89.33	88.68(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	10	-1	70	1.35	65%	0.08	43.3	1.03%	0	0.8	52	0
25	Jul_16_2015	85.49	87.76	88.02	88.91	89.21	89.5	89.31(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	30	44	84	1.93	65%		41	1.04%	0	1.5	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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