Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)
EL latest price $89.6200 (1.82%) ($87.9700 - $89.8400) on Wed. Jul. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.08% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $89.6200(1.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   EL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(65%)    IVE(61%)    VT(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLY(58%)
Factors Impacting EL price   EL will decline at least -0.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.54% (StdDev 1.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.41(1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.7(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.29(1.51%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $32.262b

The EstÃ©e Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: EstÃ©e Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MÅ¾AÅ¾C, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by EstÃ©e Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.21% (three month std-dev: 1.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.6%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.07%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.26%(50%) Average negative next three day return: 0%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150829

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2015	86.05	88.29	88.7	88.41	88.2	88.23	89.62(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	25	-0	29	12	1.2	65%	0.09	31.4	1.08%	0	1.2	69	INF
2	Jul_28_2015	85.97	88.14	88.66	88.35	88.31	87.56	88.02(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-60	-44	-1	1.36	63%	0.07	26	1.07%	0	-0.1	64	INF
3	Jul_27_2015	85.91	88.05	88.78	88.6	88.71	88.16	86.87(-1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-43	-40	-60	8	1.69	61%	0.05	21.1	1.06%	0	-1	45	INF
4	Jul_24_2015	85.87	88.12	89.03	88.93	89.06	89.07	88.4(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	10	-9	55	0.9	65%	0.07	28.7	1.04%	0	0.2	59	INF
5	Jul_23_2015	85.81	88.04	88.96	88.98	89.02	89.26	89.15(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	20	12	67	0.76	65%	0.08	23.3	1.03%	0	0.9	59	INF

6	Jul_22_2015	85.74	87.95	88.69	89.02	88.92	89.05	89.32(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	9	60	0.86	65%	0.07	23.1	1.03%	0	1.2	59	INF
7	Jul_21_2015	85.68	87.86	88.4	89.04	89.06	88.78	89.24(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	12	-20	-3	55	1.17	65%	0.07	24.8	1.03%	0	1.3	63	INF
8	Jul_20_2015	85.62	87.81	88.29	89.03	89.14	88.79	88.53(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-20	-33	57	1.46	65%	0.07	33.3	1.03%	0	0.7	64	INF
9	Jul_17_2015	85.56	87.79	88.14	89.16	89.27	89.33	88.68(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	10	-1	70	1.35	65%	0.08	43.3	1.03%	0	0.8	52	INF
10	Jul_16_2015	85.49	87.76	88.02	88.91	89.21	89.5	89.31(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	30	44	84	1.93	65%	0.08	41	1.04%	0	1.5	60	INF

11	Jul_15_2015	85.42	87.69	87.84	88.29	88.61	89.22	89.42(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	51	60	46	64	1.5	65%	0.09	23.4	1.04%	0	1.8	57	INF
12	Jul_14_2015	85.34	87.59	87.56	87.64	87.99	88.93	89.2(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	60	90	65	43	1.28	68%	0.08	4.9	1.05%	0	1.8	55	INF
13	Jul_13_2015	85.27	87.45	87.23	87.45	87.41	88.01	89.18(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	52	50	62	21	1.27	68%	0.09	-6.3	1.07%	0	2.1	52	INF
14	Jul_10_2015	85.19	87.34	87.09	87	87.14	87.06	87.42(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-0	15	-17	0.95	65%	0.07	-26.7	1.04%	0	0.1	46	INF
15	Jul_9_2015	85.13	87.35	87.02	87.02	87.05	86.8	86.22(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-37	-20	-34	-45	1.3	63%	0.06	-24.4	1.04%	0	-1.5	40	INF

16	Jul_8_2015	85.08	87.46	87.15	87.31	87.3	87.22	86.2(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-15	-10	-10	-28	2.29	63%	0.06	-8.4	1.04%	0	-1.7	43	INF
17	Jul_7_2015	85.03	87.55	87.31	87.4	87.44	87.3	88.24(1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10	13	-18	1.64	70%	0.04	-1.3	1%	0	1	52	INF
18	Jul_6_2015	85	87.51	87.29	86.97	87.17	87.39	86.93(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	20	-13	-34	1.38	67%	0.11	-21.3	0.99%	0	-0.9	55	INF
19	Jul_2_2015	84.91	87.54	87.43	87.18	87.11	87.58	87.52(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	40	37	1	1.06	67%	0.08	-12.5	0.99%	0	-0	54	INF
20	Jul_1_2015	84.84	87.53	87.5	87.03	87.04	86.95	87.67(1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	11	-10	17	-8	0.99	67%	0.09	-26.4	1%	0	0.2	50	INF

21	Jun_30_2015	84.76	87.52	87.52	86.99	87	86.65	86.66(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-30	-36	-34	1.56	65%	0.08	-38.9	1%	0	-1.4	41	INF
22	Jun_29_2015	84.69	87.56	87.64	87.2	87.26	87.12	86.05(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-30	-10	-31	-25	1.61	65%	0.08	-40.6	1.01%	0	-2.5	41	INF
23	Jun_26_2015	84.62	87.65	87.71	87.65	87.59	87.35	88(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-12	-20	-14	-7	2	68%	0.12	-45.6	0.97%	0	0.7	53	INF
24	Jun_25_2015	84.52	87.62	87.62	87.72	87.88	87.41	86.75(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-32	-30	-37	-17	1.75	65%	0.17	-56.7	0.98%	0	-1.6	46	INF
25	Jun_24_2015	84.38	87.7	87.72	88.04	88.15	87.82	87.48(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-20	-36	-3	1.18	65%		-45.2	0.97%	0	-0.4	52	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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