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     Fri. Jul. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)

EL latest price $88.6800 (-0.71%) ($88.5200 - $89.2700) on Fri. Jul. 17, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1.03% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $88.6800(-0.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  EL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  EL advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(65%)    IVE(61%)    VT(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLY(58%)  
Factors Impacting EL price  EL will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.6%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $89.16(-0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average  $88.14(0.61%)
20 Day Moving Average  $87.79(1.01%)
To recent high  -1.7%
To recent low  9.1%
Market Cap  $31.924b
 
 
 
The Estée Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: Estée Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MžAžC, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by Estée Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1   Average positive next day return: 0.08%(100%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 1   Average positive next three day return: 0.08%(100%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 1   Average positive next weekly return: 0.2%(100%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20150817

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
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ema5
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ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
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Daily
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BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Jul_17_201585.5687.7988.1489.16 89.27 89.3388.68(-0.71%)UDOpenLong65-0.5   17   10   -1   70   1.35    65%0.0843.31.03%00.8520
2Jul_16_201585.4987.7688.0288.91 89.21 89.589.31(-0.12%)UDOpenLong750.4   54   30   44   84   1.93    65%0.08411.04%01.5600
3Jul_15_201585.4287.6987.8488.29 88.61 89.2289.42(0.25%)UTOpenLong751.2   51   60   46   64   1.5    65%0.0923.41.04%01.8570
4Jul_14_201585.3487.5987.5687.64 87.99 88.9389.2(0.02%)UTOpenLong751.8   60   90   65   43   1.28    68%0.084.91.05%01.8550
5Jul_13_201585.2787.4587.2387.45 87.41 88.0189.18(2.01%)UTOpenLong752.1   52   50   62   21   1.27    68%0.09-6.31.07%02.1520
 
6Jul_10_201585.1987.3487.0987 87.14 87.0687.42(1.39%)N/AN/A00.6   7   -0   15   -17   0.95    65%0.07-26.71.04%00.1460
7Jul_9_201585.1387.3587.0287.02 87.05 86.886.22(0.02%)DPOpenShort-75-1.1   -37   -20   -34   -45   1.3    63%0.06-24.41.04%0-1.5400
8Jul_8_201585.0887.4687.1587.31 87.3 87.2286.2(-2.31%)DTOpenShort-75-1.5   -15   -10   -10   -28   2.29    63%0.06-8.41.04%0-1.7430
9Jul_7_201585.0387.5587.3187.4 87.44 87.388.24(1.51%)N/AN/A01.2   5   -10   13   -18   1.64    70%0.04-1.31%01520
10Jul_6_20158587.5187.2986.97 87.17 87.3986.93(-0.67%)DTOpenShort-75-0.1   -18   20   -13   -34   1.38    67%0.11-21.30.99%0-0.9550
 
11Jul_2_201584.9187.5487.4387.18 87.11 87.5887.52(-0.17%)UDOpenLong750.5   28   40   37   1   1.06    67%0.08-12.50.99%0-0540
12Jul_1_201584.8487.5387.587.03 87.04 86.9587.67(1.17%)N/AN/A01   11   -10   17   -8   0.99    67%0.09-26.41%00.2500
13Jun_30_201584.7687.5287.5286.99 87 86.6586.66(0.71%)DPOpenShort-75-0.5   -36   -30   -36   -34   1.56    65%0.08-38.91%0-1.4410
14Jun_29_201584.6987.5687.6487.2 87.26 87.1286.05(-2.22%)DTOpenShort-75-1.9   -30   -10   -31   -25   1.61    65%0.08-40.61.01%0-2.5410
15Jun_26_201584.6287.6587.7187.65 87.59 87.3588(1.44%)DPOpenShort-750.7   -12   -20   -14   -7   2    68%0.12-45.60.97%00.7530
 
16Jun_25_201584.5287.6287.6287.72 87.88 87.4186.75(-0.83%)DTOpenShort-75-1.8   -32   -30   -37   -17   1.75    65%0.17-56.70.98%0-1.6460
17Jun_24_201584.3887.787.7288.04 88.15 87.8287.48(-0.26%)DTOpenShort-75-1   -28   -20   -36   -3   1.18    65%0.18-45.20.97%0-0.4520
18Jun_23_201584.2387.7687.888.12 88.37 88.3587.71(-0.7%)UDOpenLong65-0.7   1   10   -5   20   0.87    65%0.19-45.30.97%0-0.1540
19Jun_22_201584.0787.887.8388.15 88.3 88.4888.33(0.01%)UTOpenLong750.3   27   20   23   37   0.76    65%0.21-50.80.97%00.9610
20Jun_19_201583.8987.8887.7487.77 87.97 88.488.32(-0.02%)UDOpenLong750.7   31   40   33   24   0.97    69%0.2-43.21.01%00.6540
 
21Jun_18_201583.7287.9287.6587.5 87.5 88.1388.34(0.49%)UTOpenLong751   35   50   41   18   1.36    69%0.22-501.01%00.5570
22Jun_17_201583.5487.9587.5587.37 87.21 87.5487.91(0.09%)UTOpenLong750.6   22   20   28   2   1.13    69%0.2-44.91.02%0-0440
23Jun_16_201583.3788.0287.587.46 87.28 87.5487.83(1.6%)DPOpenShort-750.4   -11   -40   -9   -18   1.45    69%0.18-30.21.02%0-0.2410
24Jun_15_201583.2288.0987.4487.49 87.56 86.8886.45(-0.62%)DTOpenShort-75-1.1   -53   -50   -56   -45   1.15    66%0.16-22.91%0-1.7320
25Jun_12_201583.0988.2287.5787.7 87.9 87.6986.99(-0.8%)DTHoldShort-65-0.8   -34   -10   -31   -42   1.03    66%-15.81.01%0-1.4240
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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