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     Thu. Jan. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: EL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Estee Lauder Companies Inc. Class A)

EL latest price $73.7100 (-0.55%) ($73.4300 - $74.1700) on Thu. Jan. 15, 2015.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  1% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $73.7100(-0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  EL declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  EL declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support EL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(64%)    IVE(61%)    VT(60%)    QQQ(59%)    XLY(58%)  
Factors Impacting EL price  EL will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-12%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -0.5%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $75.5
5 Day Moving Average  $74.3(-0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average  $74.53(-1.1%)
20 Day Moving Average  $75.5(-2.37%)
To recent high  -5.2%
To recent low  2%
Market Cap  $26.535b
 
 
 
The Estée Lauder Companies, Inc. engages in the manufacturing of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. It sells products under the following brand names: Estée Lauder, Clinique, Origins, MžAžC, Bobbi Brown, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, and Too Faced. Its channels primarily consist of department stores, specialty multi-brand retailers, upscale perfumeries and pharmacies, and prestige salons and spas. The company was founded by Estée Lauder and Joseph Lauder in 1946 and is headquartered in New York, NY.

$. EL price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3   Average positive next day return: 0.52%(100%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 3   Average positive next three day return: 2.61%(33%)   Average negative next three day return: -0.31%(67%)
Sample size 3   Average positive next weekly return: 2.01%(100%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20150215

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Jan_15_201574.9175.574.5374.3 74.16 73.7873.71(-0.55%)DTHoldShort-65-0.5   -60   -40   -39   -123   1.54    60%-0.0515.11%0-1.4240
2Jan_14_201574.9575.4974.7774.64 74.48 74.1974.12(-0.54%)DTHoldShort-65-0.4   -50   -30   -28   -116   1.32    60%-0.0417.11.01%0-1.1240
3Jan_13_201574.9875.4275.0674.68 74.81 74.5474.52(0.35%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -30   -20   -7   -99   1.45    60%-0.0310.41.02%0-0.7420
4Jan_12_20157575.4275.3374.58 74.72 74.7874.26(-0.85%)DTOpenShort-75-0.2   -37   10   -16   -100   1.95    60%-0.032.91.03%0-0.7400
5Jan_9_201575.0275.3675.6574.66 74.7 75.0874.9(-0.66%)DPOpenShort-650.1   -5   40   18   -73   1.16    60%-0.013.21.04%0-0.3460
 
6Jan_8_201575.0375.375.8974.8 74.64 74.6775.4(1.44%)DPOpenShort-650.4   -8   -0   6   -50   1.48    60%0.032.71.05%00.1600
7Jan_7_201575.0175.376.1174.96 74.88 74.3274.33(0.46%)DPOpenShort-75-0.4   -44   -60   -47   -34   1.59    56%-0.046.21.03%0-0.5620
8Jan_6_201575.0475.2776.3175.53 75.51 74.6273.99(-0.92%)N/AN/A0-0.9   -57   -80   -77   5   1.59    56%-0.0516.81.05%0-0.8640
9Jan_5_201575.0875.3276.5776.21 76.24 75.4474.68(-1.2%)N/AN/A0-0.9   -43   -70   -76   56   1.35    56%-0.0301.06%0-0.4620
10Jan_2_201575.175.3176.7176.76 76.82 76.4175.59(-0.8%)N/AN/A0-0.7   -12   -40   -51   107   0.93    61%0.0301.04%00.2590
 
11Dec_31_201475.0875.2676.5977.12 77.22 77.0476.2(-1.26%)UDOpenLong65-0.6   19   -10   -22   140   0.92    61%0.0801.05%00.6650
12Dec_30_201475.0275.1676.3177.43 77.4 77.2477.17(-0.3%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   39   -20   -1   159   1.38    67%0.1301.02%01.2610
13Dec_29_201474.9274.9975.8577.22 77.35 77.477.4(-0.06%)UDOpenLong750.1   40   10   7   140   0.83    67%0.1701.04%01.5640
14Dec_26_201474.7974.9975.4276.99 77.03 77.5677.45(0.08%)UTOpenLong750.3   26   50   31   12   0.42    67%0.201.07%050610
15Dec_24_201474.6474.9975.0676.66 76.65 77.377.39(-0.48%)UDOpenLong750.5   59   60   69   28   1.34    67%0.2101.1%053.4620
 
16Dec_23_201474.4874.9974.6575.98 76.06 76.577.76(2.18%)UTOpenLong751.3   58   40   68   27   2.78    67%0.2801.11%058.5620
17Dec_22_201474.2774.9974.375.02 75.21 76.0176.1(-0.2%)UDOpenLong751   52   80   61   24   1.58    60%0.1601.04%071.1580
18Dec_19_201474.1574.9974.0974.25 74.41 75.6376.25(0.62%)UTOpenLong752   81   120   95   38   3.19    60%0.201.07%077620
19Dec_18_20147474.9973.973.61 73.62 74.4175.78(2.41%)UTOpenLong752.6   66   80   77   31   1.78    60%0.1901.11%089.2500
20Dec_17_201473.8674.9973.7373.25 73.16 73.1874(1.38%)UTOpenLong751   14   -0   16   6   1.66    50%0.0100.94%0102.8500
 
21Dec_16_201473.8574.9973.7873.14 73.33 72.8372.99(1.05%)DPOpenShort-75-0.2   -32   -40   -37   -15   2.15    41%-0.1100.89%097.3500
22Dec_15_201473.9374.9973.9173.47 73.6 73.1472.23(-1.1%)DTOpenShort-75-1.7   -55   -40   -64   -26   1.18    32%-0.2300.85%098.9500
23Dec_12_201474.174.9974.0873.87 73.91 73.8273.03(-1.32%)DTOpenShort-75-1.6   -28   -10   -33   -13   1.39    38%-0.1600.84%0140.4500
24Dec_11_201474.2274.9974.0874.2 74.15 74.0674.01(0.76%)N/AN/A0-0.5   -1   -10   -1   -0   1.38    50%-0.0300.77%0185500
25Dec_10_201474.2474.9974.0874.27 74.2 74.0173.45(-1.59%)DTOpenShort-75-2   -24   -20   -28   -11   1.64    50%00.77%0179.1500
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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