Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 9, 2016

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $32.4100 (0.62%) ($32.3100 - $32.5900) on Wed. Mar. 9, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $32.4100(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(92%)    EWY(87%)    MCHI(87%)    FXI(86%)    VT(80%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-22%)    TLT(-17%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.48(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.69(2.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.89(4.92%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 3.76% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.43%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.95%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -2.23%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.91%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.15%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2016	32.17	30.89	31.69	32.48	32.51	32.35	32.41(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	-30	3	122	54.89	56%	-0.09	61.2	1.71%	0	1.3	68	INF
2	Mar_8_2016	32.2	30.73	31.48	32.36	32.4	32.47	32.21(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	20	3	115	50.51	56%	-0.12	58.8	1.71%	0	1.3	64	INF
3	Mar_7_2016	32.24	30.6	31.29	32.2	32.24	32.67	32.77(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	57	100	35	124	67.82	56%	-0.12	54.1	1.7%	0	1.9	74	INF
4	Mar_4_2016	32.28	30.45	31.1	31.71	31.86	32.34	32.82(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	63	120	46	115	102.49	56%	-0.09	44.5	1.72%	0	2.4	78	INF
5	Mar_3_2016	32.31	30.31	30.83	31.16	31.29	31.81	32.18(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	49	130	34	93	66.93	54%	-0.12	39.1	1.7%	0	2.3	78	INF

6	Mar_2_2016	32.35	30.2	30.63	30.79	30.87	31.39	31.82(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	48	130	36	84	66.98	54%	-0.09	38.4	1.69%	0	2.3	70	INF
7	Mar_1_2016	32.38	30.07	30.49	30.48	30.53	30.77	31.4(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	38	60	26	75	69.32	54%	-0.12	30.1	1.69%	0	2.1	69	INF
8	Feb_29_2016	32.42	30	30.35	30.27	30.25	30.35	30.32(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	20	-4	58	65.54	51%	-0.18	36.1	1.61%	0	0.6	57	INF
9	Feb_26_2016	32.48	30.01	30.26	30.4	30.27	30.28	30.06(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	15	-10	0	61	54.64	50%	-0.18	53	1.63%	0	0.1	51	INF
10	Feb_25_2016	32.54	29.99	30.15	30.4	30.41	30.14	30.36(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-70	-3	47	45.9	50%	-0.15	66.1	1.64%	0	0.7	49	INF

11	Feb_24_2016	32.59	29.93	30.05	30.44	30.4	30.26	30.26(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-40	-17	33	59.33	50%	-0.15	71.6	1.64%	0	0.6	51	INF
12	Feb_23_2016	32.64	29.88	29.95	30.5	30.52	30.67	30.33(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	40	7	47	54.67	50%	-0.12	76.1	1.64%	0	0.8	59	INF
13	Feb_22_2016	32.68	29.81	29.87	30.43	30.5	30.54	30.99(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	20	24	43	42.67	51%	-0.09	72.1	1.62%	0	1.9	54	INF
14	Feb_19_2016	32.71	29.72	29.87	30.09	30.26	30.37	30.24(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	40	14	9	59.07	49%	-0.09	61.7	1.59%	0	0.9	46	INF
15	Feb_18_2016	32.74	29.63	29.76	29.81	29.99	30.46	30.38(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	130	26	3	59.14	49%	-0.09	36.4	1.6%	0	1.2	55	INF

16	Feb_17_2016	32.77	29.53	29.72	29.6	29.57	30.15	30.56(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	27	130	35	2	69.3	49%	-0.03	16.5	1.61%	0	1.6	60	INF
17	Feb_16_2016	32.78	29.44	29.59	29.32	29.34	29.53	29.97(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	13	50	24	-22	54.4	49%	-0.03	0.9	1.58%	0	0.8	56	INF
18	Feb_12_2016	32.79	29.37	29.61	29.25	29.15	28.98	29.32(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-50	-13	-26	68.44	47%	-0.12	-9.5	1.57%	0	-0.1	56	INF
19	Feb_11_2016	32.83	29.38	29.73	29.39	29.25	29.14	28.82(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-40	-26	-7	86.8	45%	-0.12	-5	1.55%	0	-0.9	48	INF
20	Feb_10_2016	32.87	29.41	29.73	29.69	29.58	29.33	29.31(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-70	-13	36	67.19	47%	-0.09	-2.3	1.54%	0	-0.2	59	INF

21	Feb_9_2016	32.9	29.42	29.82	29.86	29.81	29.35	29.19(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-110	-19	57	67.28	45%	-0.15	-8.3	1.54%	0	-0.4	59	INF
22	Feb_8_2016	32.95	29.44	29.84	29.88	29.81	29.83	29.6(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-20	-20	64	72.72	45%	-0.15	-19.8	1.56%	0	0.3	56	INF
23	Feb_5_2016	33	29.43	29.77	30.02	29.95	30.26	30.01(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	70	1	89	70.37	45%	-0.12	-32.7	1.56%	0	0.9	62	INF
24	Feb_4_2016	33.04	29.43	29.71	30.13	29.97	30.08	30.36(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	10	21	104	99.92	45%	-0.12	-46.3	1.56%	0	1.5	54	INF
25	Feb_3_2016	33.08	29.42	29.51	29.98	29.95	29.64	30.13(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-80	3	77	117.14	45%		-63.2	1.56%	0	1.1	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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