Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $44.7200 (0.93%) ($44.7000 - $44.8300) on Tue. Jul. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $44.7200(0.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(86%)    VT(81%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.2(1.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.15(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.9(1.87%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.62%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.14%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.55%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.52%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.86%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2014	42.07	43.9	44.15	44.2	44.19	44.45	44.72(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	35	40	34	38	43.48	65%	0.14	36.5	0.7%	0	2	64	INF
2	Jul_21_2014	42.01	43.84	44.07	44.09	44.09	44.13	44.31(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	10	15	32	56.04	63%	0.12	33.7	0.69%	0	1.2	66	INF
3	Jul_18_2014	41.96	43.8	44.07	44.08	44.1	43.93	44.16(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-30	-5	36	51.87	63%	0.1	34.5	0.7%	0	1	62	INF
4	Jul_17_2014	41.92	43.77	44.04	44.02	44.12	44.05	43.48(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-8	-0	-24	41	66.99	59%	0.12	31.7	0.68%	0	-0.8	57	INF
5	Jul_16_2014	41.87	43.79	44.09	44.11	44.14	44.28	44.31(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	20	17	86	26.42	71%	0.12	40.2	0.64%	0	1.4	73	INF

6	Jul_15_2014	41.82	43.75	44.03	44.09	43.98	44.18	44.2(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	20	18	87	38.03	64%	0.12	34.6	0.66%	0	1.3	64	INF
7	Jul_14_2014	41.77	43.71	43.93	44.03	43.95	44.01	44.23(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	0	20	76	23.14	64%	0.12	26.7	0.69%	0	1.6	64	INF
8	Jul_11_2014	41.72	43.67	43.85	44.01	43.91	43.78	43.89(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-30	-15	58	32.08	62%	0.12	28.2	0.68%	0	0.7	57	INF
9	Jul_10_2014	41.67	43.66	43.79	44.07	43.97	43.89	43.94(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-20	-12	60	43.7	62%	0.12	39.4	0.68%	0	0.9	55	INF
10	Jul_9_2014	41.62	43.65	43.72	44.06	44.03	44.03	44.18(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-0	9	55	29.89	62%	0.12	56.5	0.69%	0	1.8	53	INF

11	Jul_8_2014	41.57	43.63	43.64	43.95	43.98	44.04	43.93(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	10	14	46	29.11	62%	0.05	67.2	0.7%	0	1.1	59	INF
12	Jul_7_2014	41.55	43.62	43.6	43.81	43.88	44.03	44.13(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	29	30	26	37	26.96	62%	0.17	71.9	0.7%	0	1.8	63	INF
13	Jul_3_2014	41.48	43.59	43.53	43.66	43.69	43.92	44.16(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	31	40	34	23	26.63	62%	0.12	78.3	0.7%	0	2.2	58	INF
14	Jul_2_2014	41.43	43.54	43.47	43.47	43.51	43.73	43.9(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	40	36	5	35.96	62%	0.12	52.2	0.7%	0	1.2	55	INF
15	Jul_1_2014	41.38	43.48	43.46	43.33	43.36	43.45	43.64(0.95%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	10	20	19	-16	42.22	62%	0.15	33.3	0.7%	0	0.5	45	INF

16	Jun_30_2014	41.32	43.44	43.44	43.3	43.24	43.29	43.23(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	0	-3	-39	34.34	59%	0.1	29.5	0.7%	0	-0.6	32	INF
17	Jun_27_2014	41.28	43.42	43.46	43.34	43.31	43.26	43.35(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10	-1	-38	21.99	63%	0.12	23.3	0.71%	0	-0.2	42	INF
18	Jun_26_2014	41.23	43.39	43.49	43.39	43.36	43.2	43.25(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-30	-19	-41	21.87	63%	0.15	18.9	0.72%	0	-0.4	45	INF
19	Jun_25_2014	41.17	43.39	43.52	43.47	43.42	43.36	43.2(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10	-26	-28	35.94	63%	0.12	27.2	0.72%	0	-0.4	54	INF
20	Jun_24_2014	41.12	43.38	43.58	43.61	43.42	43.52	43.45(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	-10	3	18	49.44	63%	0.17	41.1	0.73%	0	0.2	66	INF

21	Jun_23_2014	41.05	43.35	43.63	43.6	43.56	43.49	43.47(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10	-6	31	27.61	63%	0.12	38.1	0.73%	0	0.3	61	INF
22	Jun_20_2014	41	43.33	43.63	43.59	43.54	43.6	43.56(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	10	-2	50	36.74	63%	0.15	40.2	0.73%	0	0.5	66	INF
23	Jun_19_2014	40.94	43.31	43.66	43.6	43.52	43.64	43.65(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	10	14	76	48.5	54%	0.15	50.5	0.73%	0	0.8	69	INF
24	Jun_18_2014	40.88	43.27	43.61	43.59	43.47	43.48	43.9(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10	6	69	62.13	58%	0.12	51.5	0.78%	0	1.5	60	INF
25	Jun_17_2014	40.83	43.21	43.5	43.57	43.5	43.39	43.42(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-20	-15	54	35.01	55%		52.6	0.79%	0	0.5	57	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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