Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $43.6400 (0.95%) ($43.5300 - $43.6800) on Tue. Jul. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.7% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $43.6400(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(86%)    VT(81%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.35% (StdDev 0.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.33(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.46(0.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.48(0.37%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 0.69% (three month std-dev: 0.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.18%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.18%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2014	41.38	43.48	43.46	43.33	43.36	43.45	43.64(0.95%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	10	20	19	-16	42.22	62%	0.15	33.3	0.7%	0	0.5	45	0
2	Jun_30_2014	41.32	43.44	43.44	43.3	43.24	43.29	43.23(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	0	-3	-39	34.34	59%	0.1	29.5	0.7%	0	-0.6	32	0
3	Jun_27_2014	41.28	43.42	43.46	43.34	43.31	43.26	43.35(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10	-1	-38	21.99	63%	0.12	23.3	0.71%	0	-0.2	42	0
4	Jun_26_2014	41.23	43.39	43.49	43.39	43.36	43.2	43.25(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-30	-19	-41	21.87	63%	0.15	18.9	0.72%	0	-0.4	45	0
5	Jun_25_2014	41.17	43.39	43.52	43.47	43.42	43.36	43.2(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10	-26	-28	35.94	63%	0.12	27.2	0.72%	0	-0.4	54	0

6	Jun_24_2014	41.12	43.38	43.58	43.61	43.42	43.52	43.45(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	-10	3	18	49.44	63%	0.17	41.1	0.73%	0	0.2	66	0
7	Jun_23_2014	41.05	43.35	43.63	43.6	43.56	43.49	43.47(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10	-6	31	27.61	63%	0.12	38.1	0.73%	0	0.3	61	0
8	Jun_20_2014	41	43.33	43.63	43.59	43.54	43.6	43.56(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	10	-2	50	36.74	63%	0.15	40.2	0.73%	0	0.5	66	0
9	Jun_19_2014	40.94	43.31	43.66	43.6	43.52	43.64	43.65(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	10	14	76	48.5	54%	0.15	50.5	0.73%	0	0.8	69	0
10	Jun_18_2014	40.88	43.27	43.61	43.59	43.47	43.48	43.9(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10	6	69	62.13	58%	0.12	51.5	0.78%	0	1.5	60	0

11	Jun_17_2014	40.83	43.21	43.5	43.57	43.5	43.39	43.42(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-20	-15	54	35.01	55%	0.15	52.6	0.79%	0	0.5	57	0
12	Jun_16_2014	40.77	43.19	43.45	43.67	43.6	43.47	43.41(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-30	-16	67	32.04	55%	0.12	67	0.8%	0	0.5	60	0
13	Jun_13_2014	40.72	43.16	43.39	43.73	43.71	43.61	43.61(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-20	-8	72	27.55	50%	0.12	87.4	0.79%	0	1.1	56	0
14	Jun_12_2014	40.67	43.1	43.29	43.72	43.74	43.73	43.59(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-0	2	62	40.27	50%	0.07	91	0.83%	0	1.1	54	0
15	Jun_11_2014	40.64	43.06	43.24	43.63	43.69	43.81	43.8(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	20	23	67	44.72	50%	0.1	98	0.83%	0	1.8	61	0

16	Jun_10_2014	40.6	42.99	43.16	43.41	43.52	43.74	43.95(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	40	32	56	31.57	50%	0.1	98.9	0.84%	0	2.4	66	0
17	Jun_9_2014	40.56	42.91	43.03	43.2	43.22	43.58	43.72(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	36	60	35	37	39	50%	0.1	107.1	0.85%	0	2.3	58	0
18	Jun_6_2014	40.52	42.81	42.96	42.99	43.03	43.3	43.56(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	50	43	24	45.43	50%	0.07	83.9	0.86%	0	1.9	57	0
19	Jun_5_2014	40.49	42.71	42.92	42.99	42.83	42.87	43.13(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	10	10	5	41.04	48%	0.07	68.3	0.87%	0	1	60	0
20	Jun_4_2014	40.46	42.65	42.9	42.79	42.73	42.76	42.68(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	0	-10	-1	25.66	49%	0.07	69.4	0.87%	0	0.1	49	0

21	Jun_3_2014	40.43	42.6	42.9	42.86	42.85	42.79	42.92(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10	5	13	38.02	45%	0.07	68.3	0.88%	0	0.6	56	0
22	Jun_2_2014	40.4	42.53	42.89	42.83	42.88	42.71	42.68(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-20	-17	10	33.56	45%	0.07	63.4	0.91%	0	0.3	56	0
23	May_30_2014	40.37	42.48	42.89	42.92	42.92	42.91	42.55(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-0	-19	35	72.2	45%	0.07	70.9	0.92%	0	0.1	63	0
24	May_29_2014	40.34	42.42	42.92	43.06	42.92	43.06	43.14(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	0	10	70	28.98	48%	0.07	73.5	0.91%	0	1.1	69	0
25	May_28_2014	40.31	42.33	42.88	43.01	43.04	42.92	43.02(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-20	0	78	45.1	48%		69.9	0.91%	0	1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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