Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 12, 2014

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $43.5900 (-0.48%) ($43.4500 - $43.9100) on Thu. Jun. 12, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.83% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $43.5900(-0.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(86%)    VT(81%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.415% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.415% (StdDev 0.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.72(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.29(0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.1(1.14%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1% (three month std-dev: 0.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.51%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.39%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.08%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.65%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.72%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140712

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_12_2014	40.67	43.1	43.29	43.72	43.74	43.73	43.59(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-0	2	62	40.27	50%	0.07	91	0.83%	0	1.1	54	0
2	Jun_11_2014	40.64	43.06	43.24	43.63	43.69	43.81	43.8(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	20	23	67	44.72	50%	0.1	98	0.83%	0	1.8	61	0
3	Jun_10_2014	40.6	42.99	43.16	43.41	43.52	43.74	43.95(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	40	32	56	31.57	50%	0.1	98.9	0.84%	0	2.4	66	0
4	Jun_9_2014	40.56	42.91	43.03	43.2	43.22	43.58	43.72(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	36	60	35	37	39	50%	0.1	107.1	0.85%	0	2.3	58	0
5	Jun_6_2014	40.52	42.81	42.96	42.99	43.03	43.3	43.56(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	50	43	24	45.43	50%	0.07	83.9	0.86%	0	1.9	57	0

6	Jun_5_2014	40.49	42.71	42.92	42.99	42.83	42.87	43.13(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	9	10	10	5	41.04	48%	0.07	68.3	0.87%	0	1	60	0
7	Jun_4_2014	40.46	42.65	42.9	42.79	42.73	42.76	42.68(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	0	-10	-1	25.66	49%	0.07	69.4	0.87%	0	0.1	49	0
8	Jun_3_2014	40.43	42.6	42.9	42.86	42.85	42.79	42.92(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10	5	13	38.02	45%	0.07	68.3	0.88%	0	0.6	56	0
9	Jun_2_2014	40.4	42.53	42.89	42.83	42.88	42.71	42.68(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-10	-20	-17	10	33.56	45%	0.07	63.4	0.91%	0	0.3	56	0
10	May_30_2014	40.37	42.48	42.89	42.92	42.92	42.91	42.55(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-0	-19	35	72.2	45%	0.07	70.9	0.92%	0	0.1	63	0

11	May_29_2014	40.34	42.42	42.92	43.06	42.92	43.06	43.14(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	0	10	70	28.98	48%	0.07	73.5	0.91%	0	1.1	69	0
12	May_28_2014	40.31	42.33	42.88	43.01	43.04	42.92	43.02(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-20	0	78	45.1	48%	0.07	69.9	0.91%	0	1	66	0
13	May_27_2014	40.28	42.25	42.83	42.93	43.01	43.01	42.77(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	10	-8	81	40.16	53%	0.1	65.4	0.92%	0	0.8	67	0
14	May_23_2014	40.24	42.17	42.79	42.96	42.97	43.16	43.14(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	30	12	106	55.46	53%	0.07	56.6	0.93%	0	1.3	74	0
15	May_22_2014	40.21	42.05	42.64	42.92	42.9	43.01	43.22(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	20	23	109	51.41	53%	0.07	49.7	0.94%	0	1.6	70	0

16	May_21_2014	40.18	41.96	42.49	42.75	42.82	42.78	42.92(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-0	3	93	50.66	53%	0.02	45.2	0.94%	0	1.5	71	0
17	May_20_2014	40.17	41.88	42.38	42.73	42.73	42.8	42.59(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	10	-3	97	63.71	53%	0.02	48.6	0.94%	0	1.1	69	0
18	May_19_2014	40.16	41.82	42.28	42.7	42.76	42.87	42.94(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	43	20	21	110	32.47	53%	0.05	49	0.93%	0	1.9	73	0
19	May_16_2014	40.14	41.76	42.13	42.58	42.64	42.67	42.94(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	10	19	105	70.42	53%	0.05	47	0.94%	0	2.1	76	0
20	May_15_2014	40.12	41.7	41.99	42.32	42.5	42.64	42.38(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	35	40	15	94	56.31	50%	0.05	40.9	0.94%	0	1.4	75	0

21	May_14_2014	40.1	41.66	41.89	42.18	42.29	42.62	42.78(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	60	32	92	57.54	52%	0.05	28.2	0.93%	0	2.4	68	0
22	May_13_2014	40.08	41.58	41.74	41.98	42.06	42.35	42.48(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	50	37	77	53.34	52%	0.05	9.6	0.94%	0	2.3	66	0
23	May_12_2014	40.06	41.53	41.62	41.8	41.84	41.96	42.32(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	33	20	26	55	63.4	52%	0.05	-1.3	0.94%	0	2.4	58	0
24	May_9_2014	40.04	41.5	41.49	41.8	41.67	41.76	41.62(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	20	5	21	43.95	53%	0.02	-11.4	0.95%	0	0.4	47	0
25	May_8_2014	40.03	41.51	41.42	41.61	41.58	41.72	41.69(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	20	13	8	49.82	53%		-4.3	0.96%	0	0.6	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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