Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $41.7400 (-0.22%) ($41.5300 - $41.9700) on Mon. Apr. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $41.7400(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(86%)    VT(81%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    SHY(-3%)    DIA(0%)    IGOV(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.93(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.7(0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.76(2.4%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.94% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.38%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.53%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -1.49%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 3.06%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.88%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2014	40.03	40.76	41.7	41.93	41.92	41.75	41.74(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-30	-6	92	44.88	48%	0	70.1	1.16%	0	0.8	80	0
2	Apr_11_2014	40.03	40.62	41.63	41.88	41.98	41.89	41.83(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-10	-3	111	76.31	47%	0	64.8	1.17%	0	1	84	0
3	Apr_10_2014	40.03	40.45	41.53	41.77	41.91	42.1	41.83(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	40	7	129	74.79	49%	0	57.3	1.18%	0	1.1	86	0
4	Apr_9_2014	40.03	40.27	41.4	41.69	41.8	42.07	42.28(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	50	26	153	71.62	49%	0	50	1.19%	0	1.6	94	0
5	Apr_8_2014	40.03	40.1	41.16	41.54	41.59	41.72	41.96(1.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	30	16	158	107.04	49%	-0.02	47.7	1.19%	0	1.5	94	0

6	Apr_7_2014	40.04	39.94	40.95	41.45	41.59	41.52	41.48(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	44	10	6	157	60.59	49%	-0.02	46.2	1.18%	0	1.3	73	0
7	Apr_4_2014	40.05	39.82	40.75	41.36	41.45	41.47	41.3(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	10	13	163	127.8	49%	0	48.9	1.18%	0	1.4	75	0
8	Apr_3_2014	40.05	39.72	40.52	41.24	41.3	41.38	41.41(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	20	9	163	84.66	49%	0.02	49.4	1.19%	0	1.6	79	0
9	Apr_2_2014	40.04	39.64	40.26	41.05	41.18	41.43	41.57(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	50	30	168	44.08	44%	0.02	48.8	1.19%	0	2	82	0
10	Apr_1_2014	40.03	39.53	39.96	40.71	40.88	41.23	41.49(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	58	70	32	135	65.72	44%	0	47	1.29%	0	2.3	70	0

11	Mar_31_2014	40.03	39.41	39.74	40.38	40.54	40.93	41.01(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	80	35	123	75.26	44%	0	44.9	1.29%	0	2.2	69	0
12	Mar_28_2014	40.03	39.29	39.52	40.05	40.23	40.53	40.74(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	70	38	101	67.46	44%	0	32.5	1.28%	0	2.3	61	0
13	Mar_27_2014	40.03	39.22	39.28	39.69	39.85	40.15	40.42(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	38	60	29	63	73.44	47%	-0.05	20.3	1.28%	0	2.1	56	0
14	Mar_26_2014	40.05	39.18	39.05	39.36	39.56	39.93	39.9(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	80	34	23	91.29	45%	-0.05	9.6	1.29%	0	1.5	46	0
15	Mar_25_2014	40.07	39.13	38.94	39.09	39.18	39.55	39.81(1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	15	70	22	-6	93.53	45%	-0.07	-5.8	1.29%	0	1.4	52	0

16	Mar_24_2014	40.1	39.13	38.83	39.01	38.94	39.2	39.36(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	40	20	-19	54.33	45%	-0.07	-13.9	1.3%	0	0.6	49	0
17	Mar_21_2014	40.13	39.09	38.81	38.91	38.91	38.8	38.98(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-20	11	-25	86.97	45%	-0.1	-22.6	1.28%	0	-0.2	53	0
18	Mar_20_2014	40.17	39.11	38.86	38.8	38.84	38.68	38.74(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-30	-8	-40	60.57	45%	-0.1	-27.8	1.29%	0	-0.8	44	0
19	Mar_19_2014	40.21	39.13	38.97	38.69	38.81	39.02	38.57(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	50	-0	-42	95.95	43%	-0.12	-34.8	1.29%	0	-1.3	41	0
20	Mar_18_2014	40.26	39.16	38.97	38.75	38.74	39.01	39.41(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	12	50	24	-25	68.13	47%	-0.1	-34.6	1.28%	0	0.6	53	0

21	Mar_17_2014	40.3	39.15	38.97	38.63	38.62	38.6	38.87(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-10	-0	0	-38	57.49	45%	-0.1	-30.9	1.28%	0	-0.7	50	0
22	Mar_14_2014	40.34	39.19	39.06	38.71	38.68	38.47	38.4(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-40	-20	-49	64.59	45%	-0.1	-16.1	1.26%	0	-1.8	42	0
23	Mar_13_2014	40.38	39.23	39.17	38.93	38.88	38.63	38.19(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-33	-50	-31	-38	79.97	45%	-0.12	4.9	1.27%	0	-2.6	40	0
24	Mar_12_2014	40.43	39.29	39.33	39.3	39.15	38.89	38.89(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	-60	-21	-4	56.88	47%	-0.12	59.3	1.25%	0	-1.3	49	0
25	Mar_11_2014	40.48	39.3	39.35	39.42	39.46	39.12	38.81(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-12	-60	-18	5	72.69	44%		89.9	1.25%	0	-1.6	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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