Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 4, 2013

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $42.1100 (1.3%) ($41.6000 - $42.1500) on Fri. Oct. 4, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $42.1100(1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(85%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    TIP(2%)    BNDX(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.55(1.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.63(1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.69(1.01%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.93%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.96%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.24%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.77%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2013	39.91	41.69	41.63	41.55	41.6	41.79	42.11(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	40	20	-31	36.78	72%	-0.03	84.7	1.36%	0	0.6	54	0
2	Oct_3_2013	39.92	41.59	41.62	41.37	41.3	41.61	41.57(-0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	50	9	-37	51.16	72%	-0.05	79.2	1.36%	0	-0	55	0
3	Oct_2_2013	39.94	41.49	41.75	41.4	41.2	41.41	41.73(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	20	15	-14	46.99	68%	-0.05	77.2	1.37%	0	0.2	58	0
4	Oct_1_2013	39.96	41.37	41.89	41.37	41.26	41.41	41.57(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-50	-4	-6	62.52	68%	-0.03	70.8	1.39%	0	0.2	53	0
5	Sep_30_2013	39.97	41.22	41.9	41.43	41.36	41	40.76(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-70	-36	-14	93.88	66%	-0.08	72.1	1.37%	0	-0.4	48	0

6	Sep_27_2013	40	41.1	42	41.72	41.68	41.52	41.24(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-30	-18	17	69.04	66%	-0.07	67.8	1.36%	0	0.1	54	0
7	Sep_26_2013	40.03	40.94	42.01	41.89	41.91	41.72	41.72(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-30	-17	40	54.42	67%	-0.07	62.4	1.35%	0	0.5	66	0
8	Sep_25_2013	40.06	40.74	41.94	42.15	42.08	41.84	41.55(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-40	-28	66	56.35	69%	-0.05	61.6	1.37%	0	0.5	69	0
9	Sep_24_2013	40.08	40.54	41.93	42.5	42.41	42.09	41.87(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-60	-8	120	43.44	66%	-0.05	60.5	1.38%	0	0.7	74	0
10	Sep_23_2013	40.1	40.36	41.89	42.43	42.5	42.32	42.23(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	31	-20	-8	148	61.15	66%	-0.02	58.4	1.4%	0	1	79	0

11	Sep_20_2013	40.11	40.18	41.77	42.31	42.34	42.74	42.08(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	54	70	12	181	77.28	60%	-0.02	56.5	1.41%	0	1	80	0
12	Sep_19_2013	40.12	39.98	41.58	42.13	42.16	42.67	43.04(-0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	86	90	48	200	100.09	59%	0	50.9	1.5%	0	1.7	90	0
13	Sep_18_2013	40.12	39.7	41.21	41.7	41.67	41.94	43.28(4.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	67	40	28	185	113.38	59%	0	40.4	1.55%	0	2.1	93	0
14	Sep_17_2013	40.12	39.45	40.78	41.31	41.35	41.65	41.53(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	50	11	188	47	54%	-0.02	34.4	1.46%	0	1.4	91	0
15	Sep_16_2013	40.13	39.29	40.46	41.28	41.28	41.39	41.62(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	61	20	17	193	69.76	54%	-0.02	32.3	1.47%	0	1.6	76	0

16	Sep_13_2013	40.14	39.16	40.11	41.16	41.18	41.06	41.16(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	49	-20	5	180	44.93	54%	-0.02	32.5	1.47%	0	1.5	69	0
17	Sep_12_2013	40.15	39.07	39.78	40.93	41.09	41.18	40.89(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	30	12	167	58.47	54%	-0.05	30.8	1.49%	0	1.4	70	0
18	Sep_11_2013	40.17	39.01	39.44	40.63	40.8	41.29	41.37(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	100	36	162	73.5	52%	0	31.1	1.49%	0	1.9	78	0
19	Sep_10_2013	40.17	38.92	39.04	40.14	40.28	41.01	41.35(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	76	140	57	132	80.66	51%	-0.02	26.2	1.51%	0	2.2	66	0
20	Sep_9_2013	40.18	38.83	38.7	39.52	39.63	40.31	41.04(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	67	130	57	95	116.12	51%	-0.02	13.6	1.52%	0	2.2	64	0

21	Sep_6_2013	40.19	38.73	38.43	38.92	39.05	39.55	39.98(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	47	100	45	51	75.42	48%	-0.02	-5.8	1.48%	0	1.4	52	0
22	Sep_5_2013	40.2	38.68	38.24	38.47	38.59	38.95	39.4(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	70	34	6	59.05	46%	-0.02	-23	1.47%	0	0.9	45	0
23	Sep_4_2013	40.21	38.68	38.05	38.08	38.25	38.56	38.94(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	11	70	29	-43	60.08	44%	-0.07	-39.6	1.48%	0	0.4	39	0
24	Sep_3_2013	40.24	38.63	37.99	37.76	37.93	38.23	38.26(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	70	15	-83	62.69	44%	-0.1	-52.4	1.47%	0	-0.5	34	0
25	Aug_30_2013	40.28	38.69	38.01	37.75	37.69	37.94	38.02(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	40	3	-100	104.22	42%		-51.2	1.48%	0	-0.8	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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