Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $43.7700 (0.6%) ($43.3900 - $43.7800) on Thu. Dec. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $43.7700(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(85%)    SPY(75%)    EWG(74%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.54(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.35(0.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.63(2.67%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.92% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.91%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.26%(50%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 2.55%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -2.11%(64%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 1.72%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.59%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2012	41.26	42.63	43.35	43.54	43.47	43.6	43.77(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	20	18	125	57.11	45%	0.12	85.4	0.84%	0	1.4	91	NAN
2	Dec_19_2012	41.21	42.49	43.24	43.42	43.4	43.45	43.51(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	10	10	127	50.25	45%	0.1	84.3	0.84%	0	1.2	89	NAN
3	Dec_18_2012	41.17	42.37	43.13	43.4	43.33	43.35	43.53(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-0	2	137	61.65	45%	0.12	84.2	0.84%	0	1.3	91	NAN
4	Dec_17_2012	41.12	42.25	42.97	43.34	43.35	43.36	43.5(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	45	0	11	148	55.65	45%	0.1	84.1	0.84%	0	1.5	92	NAN
5	Dec_14_2012	41.08	42.1	42.8	43.25	43.29	43.3	43.38(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	0	8	141	39.42	45%	0.12	76.1	0.86%	0	1.5	79	NAN

6	Dec_13_2012	41.03	41.95	42.65	43.13	43.19	43.34	43.19(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	30	13	136	55.62	52%	0.15	67.9	0.87%	0	1.4	77	NAN
7	Dec_12_2012	40.97	41.8	42.51	43.02	43.06	43.29	43.38(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	59	40	31	141	57.45	52%	0.15	57.7	0.93%	0	1.7	86	NAN
8	Dec_11_2012	40.91	41.66	42.32	42.81	42.84	43.04	43.25(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	30	31	132	55.72	52%	0.15	47.4	0.93%	0	1.8	83	NAN
9	Dec_10_2012	40.85	41.55	42.12	42.54	42.64	42.83	43.03(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	40	31	113	52.02	52%	0.1	39.9	0.94%	0	1.9	80	NAN
10	Dec_7_2012	40.81	41.44	41.98	42.29	42.39	42.63	42.79(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	46	50	26	107	33.92	57%	0.1	30.4	0.95%	0	1.9	84	NAN

11	Dec_6_2012	40.77	41.34	41.85	42.09	42.19	42.45	42.66(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	48	50	28	108	45.18	61%	0.1	18.7	0.99%	0	2.1	84	NAN
12	Dec_5_2012	40.73	41.27	41.68	41.92	42.01	42.16	42.34(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	43	30	23	102	60.8	61%	0.1	15.4	1.02%	0	1.9	83	NAN
13	Dec_4_2012	40.69	41.25	41.55	41.76	41.86	41.93	41.89(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	20	14	91	48.56	59%	0.07	15.3	1.02%	0	1.2	65	NAN
14	Dec_3_2012	40.66	41.24	41.47	41.63	41.69	41.87	41.77(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	30	8	80	47.98	59%	0.07	11.6	1.02%	0	1	57	NAN
15	Nov_30_2012	40.63	41.23	41.34	41.61	41.57	41.8	41.79(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	40	17	75	60.63	59%	0.12	14.7	1.03%	0	1.1	59	NAN

16	Nov_29_2012	40.58	41.22	41.2	41.58	41.5	41.51	41.82(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-0	18	65	60.14	59%	0.07	20.2	1.04%	0	1.1	60	NAN
17	Nov_28_2012	40.55	41.19	41.03	41.4	41.44	41.35	41.51(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10	-0	30	45.43	59%	0.1	4.8	1.04%	0	0.6	49	NAN
18	Nov_27_2012	40.51	41.17	40.96	41.31	41.36	41.49	41.28(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	30	3	7	39.72	59%	0.05	-2.4	1.04%	0	0.2	39	NAN
19	Nov_26_2012	40.49	41.18	40.94	41.28	41.22	41.54	41.64(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	50	31	7	38.36	59%	0.07	-10.1	1.04%	0	0.9	46	NAN
20	Nov_23_2012	40.46	41.15	40.86	41.03	41.07	41.23	41.63(1.64%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	24	30	38	-17	38.73	59%	0.05	-33.3	1.04%	0	0.9	49	NAN

21	Nov_21_2012	40.44	41.12	40.78	40.76	40.75	40.9	40.96(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	30	11	-62	49.86	56%	0.05	-57.4	1.02%	0	-0.3	39	NAN
22	Nov_20_2012	40.42	41.16	40.82	40.6	40.59	40.92	41.04(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	60	21	-69	49.35	56%	0.05	-64.5	1.02%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
23	Nov_19_2012	40.4	41.18	40.92	40.55	40.48	40.6	41.12(1.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	20	18	-64	60.8	56%	0.05	-61.2	1.02%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
24	Nov_16_2012	40.38	41.23	40.97	40.56	40.43	40.25	40.41(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-40	-19	-77	55.42	52%	0.07	-55.8	1%	0	-1.5	39	NAN
25	Nov_15_2012	40.35	41.32	41.09	40.68	40.66	40.37	40.29(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-50	-24	-64	56.28	52%		-38.9	1%	0	-1.9	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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