Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 14, 2012

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $42.3700 (1.17%) ($42.2000 - $42.8400) on Fri. Sep. 14, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $42.3700(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(85%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.15(2.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.4(4.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.15(5.53%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.19% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.81%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.19%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.03%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.52%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.14%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2012	39.21	40.15	40.4	41.15	41.24	41.84	42.37(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	67	110	51	113	85.09	68%	0	24.2	1.45%	0	2.5	65	0
2	Sep_13_2012	39.21	40.05	40.04	40.8	40.71	41.02	41.88(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	43	50	32	77	95.67	68%	0	17	1.45%	0	2.5	63	0
3	Sep_12_2012	39.21	39.96	39.77	40.37	40.51	40.65	40.78(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	30	29	42	44.01	68%	-0.03	0	1.42%	0	1.3	51	0
4	Sep_11_2012	39.22	39.93	39.64	39.99	40.17	40.4	40.6(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	50	20	8	32.69	65%	-0.03	-17.9	1.44%	0	1.2	50	0
5	Sep_10_2012	39.23	39.91	39.53	39.68	39.76	40.37	40.12(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	110	27	-15	37.36	65%	-0.05	-31.5	1.44%	0	0.4	45	0

6	Sep_7_2012	39.25	39.94	39.51	39.52	39.47	39.94	40.64(2.29%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.9	29	80	46	-22	59.9	65%	-0.03	-32.7	1.44%	0	1.2	49	0
7	Sep_6_2012	39.26	39.93	39.43	39.17	39.17	39.14	39.73(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-9	-10	10	-65	47.87	66%	-0.08	-35.8	1.41%	0	-0.3	34	0
8	Sep_5_2012	39.29	39.96	39.49	39.1	39.06	39	38.86(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10	-15	-78	33.05	64%	-0.08	-30	1.43%	0	-1.8	27	0
9	Sep_4_2012	39.32	40.03	39.64	39.24	39.21	39.19	39.07(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10	-3	-66	32.63	64%	-0.15	-17	1.43%	0	-1.8	28	0
10	Aug_31_2012	39.38	40.1	39.78	39.35	39.32	39.11	39.28(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-40	-12	-62	41.55	60%	-0.1	-4.2	1.46%	0	-1.7	30	0

11	Aug_30_2012	39.42	40.13	39.9	39.51	39.45	39.23	38.91(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-33	-40	-23	-62	36.61	57%	-0.08	7.6	1.45%	0	-2.3	17	0
12	Aug_29_2012	39.45	40.13	40.08	39.73	39.69	39.53	39.37(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-30	-16	-46	31.37	60%	-0.05	22.8	1.46%	0	-1.5	27	0
13	Aug_28_2012	39.47	40.14	40.18	39.94	39.87	39.67	39.56(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-40	-15	-34	24.38	60%	-0.05	47	1.5%	0	-1.1	35	0
14	Aug_27_2012	39.49	40.13	40.27	40.11	40.03	39.85	39.64(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-40	-16	-25	23.18	60%	0	69.6	1.51%	0	-0.9	39	0
15	Aug_24_2012	39.49	40.12	40.35	40.27	40.23	40.06	40.05(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-30	-9	-12	34.42	60%	-0.08	92	1.51%	0	-0.1	49	0

16	Aug_23_2012	39.52	40.09	40.41	40.35	40.32	40.21	40.04(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-20	-12	-2	39.51	60%	-0.05	88.9	1.51%	0	-0.1	56	0
17	Aug_22_2012	39.54	40.02	40.47	40.48	40.39	40.41	40.41(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	6	-0	-1	26	36.55	60%	-0.08	71.7	1.51%	0	0.5	80	0
18	Aug_21_2012	39.57	39.89	40.47	40.46	40.45	40.43	40.39(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-0	4	38	27.94	62%	-0.08	55.6	1.51%	0	0.5	68	0
19	Aug_20_2012	39.6	39.75	40.46	40.45	40.38	40.37	40.45(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10	-3	45	28.71	62%	-0.08	44.7	1.54%	0	0.7	70	0
20	Aug_17_2012	39.63	39.62	40.43	40.43	40.42	40.47	40.47(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	10	1	55	46.36	60%	-0.05	40.7	1.55%	0	0.8	66	0

21	Aug_16_2012	39.65	39.52	40.38	40.49	40.41	40.39	40.67(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-10	1	62	37.7	59%	-0.05	44.1	1.55%	0	1.1	65	0
22	Aug_15_2012	39.67	39.44	40.2	40.46	40.42	40.38	40.3(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-4	63	18.84	59%	-0.08	51.6	1.56%	0	0.9	72	0
23	Aug_14_2012	39.7	39.37	40.1	40.47	40.5	40.44	40.36(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	-10	0	80	26.73	56%	-0.1	55.4	1.57%	0	1	78	0
24	Aug_13_2012	39.74	39.29	39.98	40.46	40.45	40.47	40.37(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	0	-1	95	40.4	56%	-0.05	59.4	1.59%	0	1.1	79	0
25	Aug_10_2012	39.76	39.19	39.88	40.42	40.44	40.56	40.73(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	20	11	115	32.25	55%		59.9	1.6%	0	1.6	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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