Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 10, 2012

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $40.7300 (0.47%) ($40.2600 - $40.7800) on Fri. Aug. 10, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $40.7300(0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(93%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(85%)    EWG(75%)    SPY(75%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.42(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.88(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.19(3.93%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(50%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 1.87%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -2.23%(45%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 2.16%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.46%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2012	39.76	39.19	39.88	40.42	40.44	40.56	40.73(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	20	11	115	32.25	55%	-0.05	59.9	1.6%	0	1.6	80	0
2	Aug_9_2012	39.78	39.07	39.75	40.26	40.33	40.43	40.54(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	20	19	121	34.53	54%	-0.08	56.2	1.6%	0	1.6	65	0
3	Aug_8_2012	39.81	38.93	39.54	39.9	40.12	40.31	40.37(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	50	17	96	36.57	52%	-0.08	39.4	1.61%	0	1.7	57	0
4	Aug_7_2012	39.84	38.82	39.27	39.66	39.74	40.23	40.29(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	90	20	75	43.26	52%	-0.1	25.7	1.62%	0	1.8	59	0
5	Aug_6_2012	39.88	38.71	38.99	39.43	39.55	39.93	40.18(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	80	30	55	37.18	52%	-0.1	14	1.62%	0	2	58	0

6	Aug_3_2012	39.92	38.63	38.73	39.25	39.36	39.25	39.93(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	13	-10	7	30	60.51	51%	-0.1	4.2	1.63%	0	2	60	0
7	Aug_2_2012	39.96	38.56	38.58	39.17	39.25	39.17	38.73(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-10	-10	21	50.87	48%	-0.12	10.8	1.58%	0	0.3	53	0
8	Aug_1_2012	40.01	38.59	38.62	39.12	39.36	39.46	39.19(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	40	21	44	49.85	48%	-0.12	21.1	1.58%	0	1	62	0
9	Jul_31_2012	40.06	38.59	38.57	38.8	39.04	39.33	39.12(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	70	21	31	58.79	48%	-0.12	23.1	1.59%	0	0.7	55	0
10	Jul_30_2012	40.11	38.62	38.54	38.46	38.61	39.26	39.3(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	33	130	36	25	41.41	48%	-0.1	23.1	1.59%	0	1	58	0

11	Jul_27_2012	40.15	38.6	38.44	38.12	38.16	38.74	39.53(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	31	110	39	5	50.86	48%	-0.12	17.8	1.59%	0	1.4	55	0
12	Jul_26_2012	40.2	38.5	38.32	37.93	37.74	37.96	38.45(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	30	6	-22	50.71	45%	-0.1	9	1.55%	0	-0.1	47	0
13	Jul_25_2012	40.24	38.5	38.26	38.07	37.82	37.58	37.6(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-60	-13	-38	34.49	43%	-0.12	2.2	1.52%	0	-1.2	34	0
14	Jul_24_2012	40.29	38.5	38.34	38.31	38.18	37.52	37.42(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-37	-130	-33	-47	46.78	43%	-0.17	-2.7	1.52%	0	-1.5	30	0
15	Jul_23_2012	40.36	38.46	38.44	38.61	38.45	38.06	37.58(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-39	-80	-38	-41	55.6	41%	-0.17	-3.1	1.52%	0	-1.2	40	0

16	Jul_20_2012	40.43	38.48	38.55	38.78	38.75	38.85	38.59(-1.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-3	20	3	-21	43.77	43%	-0.15	-4.2	1.51%	0	0.2	45	0
17	Jul_19_2012	40.49	38.44	38.56	38.76	38.67	38.84	39.17(0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	15	20	21	-3	44.7	43%	-0.15	-8.7	1.5%	0	1	64	0
18	Jul_18_2012	40.55	38.45	38.58	38.47	38.47	38.64	38.81(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	30	12	-6	47.42	43%	-0.12	-10	1.5%	0	0.5	60	0
19	Jul_17_2012	40.6	38.48	38.67	38.39	38.25	38.49	38.91(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	30	13	12	40.02	43%	-0.12	-3.8	1.5%	0	0.5	63	0
20	Jul_16_2012	40.65	38.49	38.69	38.25	38.17	38.3	38.4(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	20	7	21	26.28	43%	-0.15	0.5	1.49%	0	-0.1	62	0

21	Jul_13_2012	40.71	38.51	38.76	38.3	38.23	38	38.49(1.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-50	-5	33	37.18	42%	-0.12	7.9	1.49%	0	-0	56	0
22	Jul_12_2012	40.76	38.5	38.68	38.35	38.31	38.04	37.76(-1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-18	-50	-32	24	45.11	43%	-0.17	9.7	1.48%	0	-0.9	53	0
23	Jul_11_2012	40.83	38.52	38.69	38.7	38.58	38.47	38.4(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-6	-30	-19	32	37.13	44%	-0.12	22.1	1.51%	0	-0.1	42	0
24	Jul_10_2012	40.88	38.51	38.6	39	38.87	38.57	38.2(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-60	-16	30	48.65	43%	-0.07	38.9	1.51%	0	-0.4	40	0
25	Jul_9_2012	40.91	38.48	38.51	39.19	39.15	38.7	38.63(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-80	-21	21	34.53	41%		47.1	1.53%	0	0.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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