Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 22, 2012

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $43.8300 (0.18%) ($43.6600 - $43.9000) on Wed. Feb. 22, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.74% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $43.8300(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(94%)    EWY(86%)    FXI(85%)    SPY(76%)    EWG(75%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(3%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.87% (StdDev 1.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.75(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.64(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.24(1.36%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   21.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.05%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.35%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.98%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.55%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.24%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2012	39.97	43.24	43.64	43.75	43.79	43.85	43.83(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	10	2	13	40.18	63%	0.23	80	1.74%	0	0.9	59	0
2	Feb_21_2012	39.88	43.15	43.61	43.63	43.73	43.92	43.75(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	40	9	22	46.32	58%	0.38	82.5	1.74%	0	0.8	67	0
3	Feb_17_2012	39.73	43.05	43.59	43.61	43.57	43.73	43.93(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	20	12	34	50.69	58%	0.18	87	1.78%	0	1.1	71	0
4	Feb_16_2012	39.66	42.93	43.58	43.61	43.47	43.53	43.85(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	10	6	34	52.45	54%	0.2	88	1.82%	0	1.1	63	0
5	Feb_15_2012	39.58	42.81	43.51	43.41	43.32	43.41	43.38(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	10	-4	38	51.8	54%	0.15	93.9	1.85%	0	0.6	62	0

6	Feb_14_2012	39.52	42.7	43.48	43.52	43.39	43.4	43.26(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10	0	50	42.65	54%	0.18	92.3	1.85%	0	0.5	59	0
7	Feb_13_2012	39.45	42.55	43.38	43.59	43.55	43.23	43.62(1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-50	-3	54	47.45	54%	0.2	100.8	1.86%	0	1	66	0
8	Feb_10_2012	39.37	42.34	43.21	43.57	43.52	43.38	42.92(-2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-30	-20	48	62.26	54%	0.2	90.8	1.87%	0	0.5	63	0
9	Feb_9_2012	39.29	42.19	43.16	43.76	43.64	43.88	43.89(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	30	10	77	44	50%	0.15	91.9	1.84%	0	1.3	76	0
10	Feb_8_2012	39.23	41.97	42.99	43.61	43.61	43.65	43.91(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	28	10	13	74	53.17	50%	0.13	88.3	1.99%	0	1.4	76	0

11	Feb_7_2012	39.18	41.75	42.82	43.44	43.45	43.39	43.6(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	21	-10	4	73	47.24	50%	0.13	86.4	2%	0	1.3	77	0
12	Feb_6_2012	39.13	41.51	42.65	43.14	43.34	43.57	43.51(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	50	14	78	40.21	50%	0.08	79.1	2%	0	1.3	81	0
13	Feb_3_2012	39.1	41.25	42.47	42.79	43.04	43.52	43.88(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	41	100	26	87	72	50%	0.08	70.6	2%	0	1.7	88	0
14	Feb_2_2012	39.07	40.98	42.22	42.49	42.51	43.1	43.16(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	100	22	87	71.52	53%	0.1	71.7	1.99%	0	1.4	80	0
15	Feb_1_2012	39.03	40.77	42.04	42.28	42.26	42.56	43.05(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	40	50	22	92	82.8	53%	0.08	72.5	2.03%	0	1.5	81	0

16	Jan_31_2012	39	40.56	41.83	42.13	42.12	41.91	42.11(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	23	-40	1	90	69.53	47%	0.05	75.9	2.03%	0	1.1	78	0
17	Jan_30_2012	38.98	40.36	41.64	42.08	42.05	41.96	41.75(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-20	-9	93	43.11	47%	0.05	74.6	2.09%	0	1	81	0
18	Jan_27_2012	38.96	40.17	41.42	42.09	42.04	42.33	42.36(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	40	11	112	51.98	53%	0.03	73	2.08%	0	1.5	90	0
19	Jan_26_2012	38.95	39.93	41.15	41.89	41.89	42.14	42.14(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	40	16	109	68.1	53%	0	69.4	2.22%	0	1.5	80	0
20	Jan_25_2012	38.95	39.72	40.89	41.74	41.63	41.74	42.31(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	33	10	9	106	64.94	53%	0.03	71.7	2.23%	0	1.8	79	0

21	Jan_24_2012	38.94	39.52	40.6	41.49	41.48	41.65	41.84(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	30	14	103	39.86	56%	0.08	75.9	2.24%	0	1.7	74	0
22	Jan_23_2012	38.91	39.34	40.28	41.13	41.25	41.52	41.78(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	39	50	20	97	62.22	56%	0	77.5	2.29%	0	1.9	79	0
23	Jan_20_2012	38.91	39.14	39.92	40.63	40.84	41.32	41.38(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	100	21	82	43.4	58%	-0.03	77.9	2.31%	0	1.9	78	0
24	Jan_19_2012	38.92	38.95	39.65	40.29	40.32	40.98	41.41(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	40	120	27	80	68.48	58%	-0.03	79.2	2.33%	0	2.4	80	0
25	Jan_18_2012	38.93	38.7	39.38	39.9	39.89	40.35	41.05(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	37	80	26	71	72.68	58%		73.6	2.34%	0	2.7	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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