Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 25, 2011

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $39.5800 (-1.98%) ($39.4300 - $40.0200) on Tue. Oct. 25, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.89% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $39.5800(-1.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(94%)    EWY(87%)    FXI(86%)    EWG(77%)    SPY(76%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -1.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-3%)    TIP(1%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.445% (StdDev 2.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.02(1.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.03(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.74(4.88%)
To recent high   -17%
To recent low   15.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 4.37% (three month std-dev: 2.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.68%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.87%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.41%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.44%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.36%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2011	42.47	37.74	39.03	39.02	39.02	39.81	39.58(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	140	13	56	76.78	44%	-0.16	40.7	2.89%	0	1.1	67	NAN
2	Oct_24_2011	42.54	37.63	38.88	38.96	38.79	39.25	40.38(3.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	70	29	79	87.94	44%	-0.19	36.9	2.88%	0	1.7	73	NAN
3	Oct_21_2011	42.62	37.43	38.64	38.53	38.49	38.23	38.85(2.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-50	-5	74	69.67	43%	-0.21	22.8	2.83%	0	0.9	72	NAN
4	Oct_20_2011	42.71	37.28	38.42	38.68	38.51	38.32	37.78(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-50	-16	84	83.66	41%	-0.23	11.6	2.82%	0	0.3	64	NAN
5	Oct_19_2011	42.81	37.14	38.35	38.89	38.92	38.75	38.52(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-30	-1	100	52.37	42%	-0.23	-0.7	2.81%	0	0.9	56	NAN

6	Oct_18_2011	42.91	37.09	38.09	39.02	38.9	38.71	39.27(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	23	-40	-3	102	85.37	42%	-0.09	-5	2.81%	0	1.4	61	NAN
7	Oct_17_2011	42.95	37.05	37.67	38.78	39.01	39.08	38.25(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	30	3	86	63.74	42%	-0.23	-12	2.79%	0	0.8	52	NAN
8	Oct_14_2011	43.05	37.08	37.31	38.74	38.8	39.09	39.59(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	60	19	83	72.97	43%	-0.16	-13.4	2.76%	0	1.5	62	NAN
9	Oct_13_2011	43.12	37.1	36.85	38.11	38.38	38.95	38.81(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	130	21	60	57.09	44%	-0.19	-21.5	2.75%	0	1	62	NAN
10	Oct_12_2011	43.2	37.15	36.64	37.73	37.89	38.51	39.16(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	130	34	64	101.8	44%	-0.18	-29.1	2.76%	0	1.1	66	NAN

11	Oct_11_2011	43.28	37.16	36.33	37.04	37.17	37.82	38.09(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	130	30	33	72.09	41%	-0.18	-44	2.74%	0	0.5	51	NAN
12	Oct_10_2011	43.36	37.24	36.25	36.4	36.5	37.26	38.07(4.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	150	38	7	69.65	41%	-0.21	-54.2	2.75%	0	0.4	46	NAN
13	Oct_7_2011	43.45	37.31	36.06	35.65	35.63	36.52	36.44(-1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	170	25	-39	76.51	40%	-0.25	-65.8	2.69%	0	-0.4	40	NAN
14	Oct_6_2011	43.56	37.49	36	35.39	35.15	35.74	36.88(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	100	20	-75	140.58	40%	-0.27	-70.1	2.7%	0	-0.3	37	NAN
15	Oct_5_2011	43.68	37.7	35.81	35.4	34.98	34.74	35.7(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-80	-5	-117	81.02	37%	-0.25	-67.1	2.66%	0	-0.8	33	NAN

16	Oct_4_2011	43.79	38.02	35.98	35.55	35.46	34.56	34.89(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-190	-32	-138	111.59	37%	-0.27	-64.7	2.64%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
17	Oct_3_2011	43.91	38.33	36.38	36.09	36.13	35.23	34.36(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-61	-170	-38	-129	107.06	37%	-0.3	-62.7	2.64%	0	-1.7	30	NAN
18	Sep_30_2011	44.04	38.7	36.87	36.5	36.85	36.35	35.1(-5.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-70	-17	-112	102.88	37%	-0.29	-59.6	2.64%	0	-1.6	32	NAN
19	Sep_29_2011	44.17	39.07	37.4	36.66	36.91	37.03	36.95(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-19	40	7	-98	74.7	40%	-0.25	-54.5	2.59%	0	-1	36	NAN
20	Sep_28_2011	44.28	39.36	37.73	36.26	36.54	37.34	36.45(-3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	180	10	-115	80.06	40%	-0.29	-54	2.58%	0	-1.3	29	NAN

21	Sep_27_2011	44.41	39.63	38.07	36.48	36.14	36.8	37.58(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	100	13	-121	112.51	42%	-0.25	-51.4	2.57%	0	-0.9	29	NAN
22	Sep_26_2011	44.52	39.85	38.3	36.78	36.28	35.74	36.42(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-140	-17	-133	94.32	40%	-0.27	-44.6	2.54%	0	-1.6	31	NAN
23	Sep_23_2011	44.64	40.07	38.66	37.36	37.14	35.49	35.88(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-77	-330	-56	-141	102.76	40%	-0.27	-39.1	2.53%	0	-2.1	26	NAN
24	Sep_22_2011	44.76	40.3	39.1	38.29	38.05	36.82	34.95(-7.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-92	-250	-77	-135	159.91	37%	-0.31	-31.7	2.5%	0	-3	18	NAN
25	Sep_21_2011	44.9	40.61	39.77	39.39	39.33	38.79	37.59(-3.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-43	-100	-26	-92	105.52	42%		-26.5	2.37%	0	-2.4	22	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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