Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 3, 2011

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $47.8700 (-0.5%) ($47.5300 - $48.1200) on Fri. Jun. 3, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $47.8700(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(87%)    FXI(86%)    EWG(78%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-4%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.98(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.39(1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.53(0.72%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_3_2011	47.33	47.53	47.39	47.98	48.07	47.87	47.87(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-20	-2	44	42.96	45%	0	-26.2	1.25%	0	0.5	57	0
2	Jun_2_2011	47.33	47.52	47.34	47.86	48.05	48.02	48.11(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	13	10	6	35	38.99	47%	0	-44.3	1.27%	0	0.8	50	0
3	Jun_1_2011	47.33	47.51	47.29	47.57	47.81	48.26	47.66(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	80	24	26	55.37	47%	0	-69.1	1.28%	0	0.2	48	0
4	May_31_2011	47.33	47.56	47.22	47.35	47.42	48.07	48.53(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	45	100	57	10	58.76	47%	0.04	-79.6	1.25%	0	1.3	45	0
5	May_27_2011	47.31	47.62	47.04	46.86	46.93	47.35	47.75(1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	70	38	-39	38.85	47%	0	-72.9	1.25%	0	0.1	45	0

6	May_26_2011	47.31	47.72	46.95	46.72	46.51	46.76	47.25(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	20	8	-72	47.18	47%	-0.02	-71.9	1.25%	0	-0.4	42	0
7	May_25_2011	47.32	47.84	47.01	46.76	46.54	46.51	46.65(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-20	-3	-72	43.4	47%	-0.02	-66.7	1.26%	0	-1	44	0
8	May_24_2011	47.33	48	47.13	46.98	46.79	46.26	46.55(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-90	-22	-71	46.6	47%	-0.04	-54.7	1.26%	0	-1.2	40	0
9	May_23_2011	47.35	48.18	47.35	47.07	47.04	46.58	46.09(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-70	-40	-75	59.79	47%	-0.02	-45.8	1.26%	0	-1.7	32	0
10	May_20_2011	47.36	48.37	47.58	47.23	47.23	47.33	47.07(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	10	-4	-66	60.14	45%	-0.02	-42.9	1.29%	0	-1.1	30	0

11	May_19_2011	47.37	48.53	47.7	47.2	47.17	47.5	47.45(-0.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	50	12	-77	37.85	45%	0.02	-39.7	1.29%	0	-0.9	32	0
12	May_18_2011	47.36	48.64	47.72	47.3	47.12	47.13	47.76(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10	10	-91	49.43	45%	0.02	-34.7	1.3%	0	-0.8	36	0
13	May_17_2011	47.35	48.69	47.75	47.31	47.15	46.84	47(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-60	-31	-126	60.1	43%	0.02	-35.3	1.29%	0	-1.5	27	0
14	May_16_2011	47.34	48.75	47.94	47.7	47.5	47.1	46.85(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-56	-70	-34	-121	72.38	43%	-0.02	-33.8	1.29%	0	-1.8	26	0
15	May_13_2011	47.35	48.87	48.25	47.99	47.94	47.47	46.92(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-50	-70	-31	-105	83.2	43%	0	-33	1.27%	0	-2	31	0

16	May_12_2011	47.35	48.99	48.56	48.26	48.18	47.89	47.97(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-50	-22	-92	71.02	46%	0.04	-33.7	1.25%	0	-1.2	33	0
17	May_11_2011	47.33	49.05	48.73	48.19	48.35	48.4	47.83(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	20	-1	-88	82.97	46%	0.02	-43.9	1.26%	0	-1.5	37	0
18	May_10_2011	47.32	49.09	48.95	48.19	48.23	48.46	48.91(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	30	9	-72	55.01	48%	0.06	-51.5	1.23%	0	-0.2	54	0
19	May_9_2011	47.29	49.12	49.07	48.24	48.15	48.29	48.34(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	10	-5	-59	48.37	46%	0.04	-54.6	1.23%	0	-1	56	0
20	May_6_2011	47.27	49.2	49.22	48.58	48.35	48.29	48.25(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-60	-22	-42	92.69	46%	0.04	-40	1.25%	0	-1.2	46	0

21	May_5_2011	47.25	49.29	49.41	48.93	48.8	48.01	47.63(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-47	-120	-54	-27	79.82	44%	0.02	-21.9	1.25%	0	-2.1	43	0
22	May_4_2011	47.24	49.42	49.64	49.34	49.35	48.69	48.09(-1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-42	-90	-56	2	82.94	44%	0.04	3.5	1.25%	0	-1.9	47	0
23	May_3_2011	47.22	49.51	49.72	49.74	49.67	49.58	48.9(-2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-15	-20	-32	35	83.7	46%	0.04	36.4	1.23%	0	-1	55	0
24	May_2_2011	47.2	49.56	49.65	50	49.9	50.01	50.01(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	24	10	13	57	50.95	49%	0.06	69.3	1.2%	0	0.7	54	0
25	Apr_29_2011	47.17	49.53	49.56	49.96	49.87	49.76	50(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-20	-2	40	38.28	52%		84	1.22%	0	0.8	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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