Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $47.8600 (-0.15%) ($47.7500 - $47.9600) on Tue. Jan. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.25% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $47.8600(-0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(87%)    FXI(86%)    EWG(78%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.625% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(11%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.625% (StdDev 1.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.81(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.72(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.35(1.08%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 1.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.29%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.52%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.17%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2011	45.81	47.35	47.72	47.81	47.9	47.82	47.86(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10	10	28	30.57	48%	0.28	50.4	1.25%	0	0.8	64	0
2	Jan_14_2011	45.68	47.28	47.74	47.59	47.75	47.85	47.93(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	20	6	29	38.69	48%	0.2	36.3	1.24%	0	0.9	65	0
3	Jan_13_2011	45.59	47.2	47.71	47.45	47.48	47.98	47.79(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	80	18	36	53.29	50%	0.18	30.8	1.24%	0	0.9	62	0
4	Jan_12_2011	45.51	47.12	47.67	47.45	47.34	47.64	48.21(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	40	27	45	67.25	50%	0.18	27.2	1.25%	0	1.5	66	0
5	Jan_11_2011	45.43	47.05	47.55	47.43	47.28	46.99	47.26(1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-50	-14	36	53.34	48%	0.15	30.7	1.23%	0	0.3	61	0

6	Jan_10_2011	45.36	47.05	47.49	47.64	47.49	47.03	46.76(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-20	-80	-40	42	62.56	48%	0.13	38.6	1.23%	0	-0.4	61	0
7	Jan_7_2011	45.3	47.03	47.48	47.91	47.85	47.58	47.25(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-1	-40	-23	66	57.13	48%	0.13	47.1	1.23%	0	0.3	63	0
8	Jan_6_2011	45.24	46.98	47.43	47.99	48.05	47.95	47.69(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	-10	-2	84	43.98	48%	0.13	46.2	1.23%	0	1.1	71	0
9	Jan_5_2011	45.18	46.92	47.33	47.91	47.97	48.12	48.2(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	30	12	92	47.53	50%	0.16	46.8	1.22%	0	1.9	82	0
10	Jan_4_2011	45.11	46.85	47.16	47.69	47.77	48.14	48.32(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	46	60	33	83	45.18	50%	0.16	58.9	1.24%	0	2.5	65	0

11	Jan_3_2011	45.04	46.78	46.94	47.32	47.47	47.82	48.1(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	42	60	37	58	40.12	50%	0.18	68.9	1.24%	0	2.8	64	0
12	Dec_31_2010	44.96	46.72	46.76	47	47.07	47.41	47.64(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	27	60	25	34	34.33	52%	0.16	90.1	1.24%	0	2.4	63	0
13	Dec_30_2010	44.89	46.68	46.62	46.79	46.8	47.13	47.31(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	24	50	25	22	28.38	52%	0.16	104.3	1.25%	0	2	63	0
14	Dec_29_2010	44.82	46.62	46.5	46.66	46.61	46.73	47.07(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	10	16	7	30.89	52%	0.13	115.2	1.25%	0	1.5	57	0
15	Dec_28_2010	44.76	46.51	46.48	46.55	46.52	46.48	46.5(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	-10	2	-4	30.33	52%	0.09	52.4	1.24%	0	-0	44	0

16	Dec_27_2010	44.72	46.45	46.52	46.48	46.5	46.5	46.46(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	0	-1	-10	29.29	52%	0.16	30.9	1.25%	0	0	40	0
17	Dec_23_2010	44.65	46.38	46.53	46.47	46.46	46.56	46.61(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	10	5	-13	27.55	54%	0.09	16.2	1.25%	0	0.3	40	0
18	Dec_22_2010	44.61	46.35	46.51	46.42	46.39	46.51	46.66(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	20	11	-20	24.94	54%	0.11	17.6	1.26%	0	0.5	44	0
19	Dec_21_2010	44.56	46.35	46.49	46.33	46.39	46.36	46.5(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	10	0	-26	59.67	54%	0.09	11.4	1.26%	0	0.3	57	0
20	Dec_20_2010	44.52	46.26	46.53	46.42	46.31	46.28	46.19(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10	-9	-6	48.89	56%	0.11	14.6	1.26%	0	-0.1	68	0

21	Dec_17_2010	44.47	46.26	46.61	46.56	46.49	46.27	46.41(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-40	-8	20	43.61	56%	0.11	20.9	1.27%	0	0.2	65	0
22	Dec_16_2010	44.42	46.27	46.68	46.59	46.64	46.35	46.33(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-40	-16	40	55.44	56%	0.11	15.8	1.27%	0	0.1	66	0
23	Dec_15_2010	44.37	46.23	46.68	46.61	46.69	46.71	46.2(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	10	-11	53	69.04	56%	0.11	0	1.27%	0	-0	53	0
24	Dec_14_2010	44.32	46.18	46.75	46.67	46.71	46.93	46.96(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	40	13	81	53.61	58%	0.14	-11.7	1.25%	0	1	67	0
25	Dec_13_2010	44.26	46.15	46.55	46.65	46.63	46.68	46.89(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	10	5	63	49.18	61%		-24	1.25%	0	1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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