Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 16, 2010

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $43.0900 (-0.51%) ($42.9300 - $43.1700) on Thu. Sep. 16, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $43.0900(-0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(87%)    FXI(86%)    EWG(78%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(12%)    LQD(16%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.04(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.46(1.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.48(3.88%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.87% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.38%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.45%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.11%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.06%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101016

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_16_2010	40	41.48	42.46	43.04	43.15	43.11	43.09(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	42	0	8	144	36.08	58%	0.03	46.7	1.41%	0	1.4	77	0
2	Sep_15_2010	39.99	41.39	42.29	42.84	42.94	43.11	43.31(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	50	50	15	156	41.11	62%	0.05	49.1	1.4%	0	1.7	75	0
3	Sep_14_2010	39.97	41.29	41.98	42.55	42.69	43.2	43.25(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	90	37	146	65.15	62%	0	45.4	1.45%	0	1.9	72	0
4	Sep_13_2010	39.97	41.17	41.64	42.19	42.34	42.69	43.27(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	56	70	34	120	63.31	62%	0.03	33.6	1.45%	0	2.3	66	0
5	Sep_10_2010	39.96	41.03	41.35	41.94	41.95	42.18	42.26(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	40	12	96	33.24	63%	-0.03	22.8	1.42%	0	1.6	58	0

6	Sep_9_2010	39.97	40.94	41.09	41.79	41.9	42	42.11(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	20	17	75	34.93	63%	0	8.8	1.48%	0	1.6	56	0
7	Sep_8_2010	39.97	40.85	40.87	41.67	41.72	41.71	41.87(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	0	12	52	40.61	65%	-0.03	-8.2	1.48%	0	1.5	51	0
8	Sep_7_2010	39.98	40.83	40.69	41.3	41.55	41.81	41.42(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	60	21	24	45.21	65%	-0.1	-26.6	1.5%	0	0.9	48	0
9	Sep_3_2010	40.02	40.86	40.6	40.98	41.14	41.73	42.03(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	27	110	33	8	48.72	59%	-0.02	-36.1	1.56%	0	1.5	56	0
10	Sep_2_2010	40.03	40.85	40.48	40.68	40.65	41.29	41.54(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	31	110	42	-2	47.36	63%	-0.07	-43.5	1.56%	0	0.9	57	0

11	Sep_1_2010	40.06	40.87	40.42	40.29	40.33	40.55	41.47(3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	19	40	32	-20	83.44	63%	-0.05	-48.8	1.61%	0	0.7	58	0
12	Aug_31_2010	40.08	40.9	40.4	39.97	40.01	40.02	40.06(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	0	-3	-44	72.41	59%	-0.07	-51.2	1.57%	0	-1	48	0
13	Aug_30_2010	40.11	41.01	40.53	39.99	39.96	40.11	39.82(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	20	-2	-45	48.06	59%	-0.1	-45.2	1.59%	0	-1.3	34	0
14	Aug_27_2010	40.15	41.14	40.66	40.15	39.97	40.01	40.49(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-12	-10	-1	-46	77.01	67%	-0.07	-37.7	1.59%	0	-0.8	33	0
15	Aug_26_2010	40.18	41.19	40.68	40.26	40.16	39.81	39.62(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-26	-70	-16	-55	59.97	66%	-0.1	-34.2	1.73%	0	-1.9	27	0

16	Aug_25_2010	40.22	41.28	40.78	40.56	40.42	39.92	39.87(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-100	-33	-61	89.92	66%	-0.1	-24.7	1.73%	0	-1.9	28	0
17	Aug_24_2010	40.26	41.35	40.85	40.88	40.81	40.51	40.13(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-34	-60	-25	-59	80.72	66%	-0.07	-4.9	1.73%	0	-1.8	28	0
18	Aug_23_2010	40.29	41.42	41.01	41.15	41.14	40.93	40.65(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-40	-10	-45	44.77	66%	0	16	1.73%	0	-1.2	32	0
19	Aug_20_2010	40.29	41.46	41.16	41.23	41.28	41.1	41.02(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-30	-5	-41	54.13	61%	-0.05	37.2	1.77%	0	-0.7	32	0
20	Aug_19_2010	40.31	41.48	41.26	41.17	41.26	41.35	41.14(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	20	3	-34	56.73	61%	-0.02	53.1	1.88%	0	-0.6	49	0

21	Aug_18_2010	40.32	41.47	41.36	41.03	41.11	41.47	41.46(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	6	70	18	-29	38.01	59%	-0.02	47.4	1.88%	0	-0	54	0
22	Aug_17_2010	40.33	41.39	41.43	40.82	40.81	41.17	41.49(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	60	13	-32	39.42	59%	0	33.9	1.9%	0	0.1	55	0
23	Aug_16_2010	40.33	41.32	41.5	40.86	40.59	40.75	41.06(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	10	-2	-30	34.65	59%	0	31.2	1.9%	0	-0.3	48	0
24	Aug_13_2010	40.33	41.24	41.64	41.11	40.8	40.46	40.68(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-80	-13	-17	28.67	56%	-0.02	31.7	1.91%	0	-0.5	44	0
25	Aug_12_2010	40.34	41.16	41.73	41.39	41.21	40.43	40.46(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-28	-150	-33	-12	43.92	56%		32.8	1.92%	0	-0.6	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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