Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $42.1400 (-0.45%) ($41.8700 - $42.2000) on Thu. Aug. 5, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.15% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $42.1400(-0.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(86%)    EWG(78%)    SPY(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -1.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(12%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.075% (StdDev 2.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.12(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.72(1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.81(3.26%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.67% (three month std-dev: 2.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.27%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.08%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.28%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2010	40.33	40.81	41.72	42.12	42.21	42.16	42.14(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	26	-0	6	84	43.65	57%	0	84.6	2.15%	0	1.2	82	NAN
2	Aug_4_2010	40.33	40.67	41.59	41.94	41.98	42.23	42.33(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	40	8	86	55.88	53%	0	90.6	2.16%	0	1.5	67	NAN
3	Aug_3_2010	40.33	40.52	41.33	41.7	41.75	42.26	42.27(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	90	19	79	60.21	53%	0.05	91.8	2.24%	0	1.6	65	NAN
4	Aug_2_2010	40.31	40.33	41.12	41.51	41.49	41.74	42.48(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	40	19	73	69.63	53%	0.02	90.2	2.24%	0	2.1	66	NAN
5	Jul_30_2010	40.3	40.09	40.79	41.3	41.27	41.74	41.4(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10	1	57	54.28	52%	0	76.8	2.23%	0	1.3	64	NAN

6	Jul_29_2010	40.3	39.91	40.52	41.25	41.29	41.24	41.2(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-10	1	49	49.96	53%	-0.02	64.8	2.24%	0	1.2	59	NAN
7	Jul_28_2010	40.31	39.72	40.38	41.19	41.18	41.31	41.13(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	20	7	52	43.13	53%	0	50.7	2.24%	0	1.2	62	NAN
8	Jul_27_2010	40.31	39.54	40.27	40.9	41.05	41.35	41.36(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	60	17	50	63.76	50%	0.02	34.7	2.25%	0	1.5	65	NAN
9	Jul_26_2010	40.3	39.42	40.13	40.64	40.67	41.06	41.43(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	70	22	53	64.85	50%	0	25.3	2.29%	0	1.7	70	NAN
10	Jul_23_2010	40.3	39.31	39.94	40.19	40.24	40.76	41.15(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	90	28	51	65.68	50%	0.02	13.9	2.29%	0	1.8	73	NAN

11	Jul_22_2010	40.29	39.19	39.81	39.69	39.77	40.27	40.87(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	28	90	22	45	74.05	50%	0.02	-2.9	2.29%	0	1.8	73	NAN
12	Jul_21_2010	40.28	39.19	39.66	39.48	39.38	39.71	39.67(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	50	9	47	66.01	48%	0	-11	2.26%	0	0.6	70	NAN
13	Jul_20_2010	40.28	39.12	39.63	39.55	39.34	39.27	40.08(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-30	3	59	92.26	48%	0	-9.6	2.25%	0	1.1	70	NAN
14	Jul_19_2010	40.28	39.13	39.47	39.56	39.45	39.05	39.16(1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-80	-13	51	46.72	46%	0	-0.4	2.24%	0	0	50	NAN
15	Jul_16_2010	40.28	39.17	39.35	39.66	39.7	39.4	38.65(-2.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-3	-50	-18	43	99.5	44%	0	7.9	2.23%	0	-0.6	45	NAN

16	Jul_15_2010	40.28	39.17	39.27	39.92	39.7	39.84	39.84(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10	-2	53	66.75	46%	0.02	21.7	2.23%	0	0.7	56	NAN
17	Jul_14_2010	40.27	39.22	39.03	39.85	39.87	40	40.03(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	7	40	46.62	47%	0.05	32.6	2.23%	0	0.9	51	NAN
18	Jul_13_2010	40.25	39.2	38.78	39.71	39.72	39.9	40.11(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	30	15	24	52.19	47%	0.02	40.8	2.24%	0	1	50	NAN
19	Jul_12_2010	40.24	39.14	38.67	39.37	39.42	39.74	39.65(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	60	17	3	53.21	47%	0	42	2.23%	0	0.5	41	NAN
20	Jul_9_2010	40.24	39.09	38.63	38.99	39.12	39.54	39.98(1.24%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	18	90	28	-11	43.78	47%	0	39.1	2.23%	0	1	49	NAN

21	Jul_8_2010	40.24	39.02	38.63	38.52	38.62	39.09	39.49(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	11	90	26	-35	60.96	47%	0	24.9	2.23%	0	0.5	47	NAN
22	Jul_7_2010	40.24	38.91	38.5	38.08	38.12	38.71	39.3(2.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	110	25	-55	68.04	47%	0	4.4	2.23%	0	0.4	45	NAN
23	Jul_6_2010	40.24	38.83	38.53	37.74	37.81	38.14	38.45(1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	70	13	-75	76.52	47%	0	-4.9	2.21%	0	-0.4	38	NAN
24	Jul_2_2010	40.24	38.75	38.73	37.88	37.62	37.54	37.75(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-40	-12	-71	63.85	47%	-0.02	-6.7	2.18%	0	-0.9	45	NAN
25	Jul_1_2010	40.25	38.73	38.95	38.21	38.01	37.49	37.59(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-110	-18	-54	113.35	49%		-4.5	2.2%	0	-1	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.