Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 8, 2010

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $43.5100 (0.35%) ($42.8600 - $43.5600) on Thu. Apr. 8, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $43.5100(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(86%)    SPY(79%)    EWG(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(13%)    GLD(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $43.49(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.6(2.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.04(3.5%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.21% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.79%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.67%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -0.96%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.43%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2010	40.83	42.04	42.6	43.49	43.46	43.34	43.51(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-20	4	109	52.08	55%	0.05	73.3	1.48%	0	1.6	66	NAN
2	Apr_7_2010	40.81	41.93	42.35	43.21	43.39	43.52	43.36(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	30	14	91	55.64	55%	0.02	77.8	1.48%	0	1.6	60	NAN
3	Apr_6_2010	40.8	41.82	42.17	42.94	43.03	43.57	43.74(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	90	31	85	42.93	55%	0.05	80.9	1.48%	0	2.4	68	NAN
4	Apr_5_2010	40.78	41.68	41.92	42.56	42.62	43.26	43.61(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	57	110	51	76	63.64	55%	0.07	89.2	1.48%	0	2.8	71	NAN
5	Apr_1_2010	40.75	41.53	41.67	42.06	42.15	42.5	43.22(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	42	60	41	44	96.28	58%	0.05	90.1	1.51%	0	2.7	64	NAN

6	Mar_31_2010	40.73	41.37	41.5	41.59	41.69	41.98	42.12(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	60	17	12	52.86	55%	0.02	91.7	1.49%	0	1.4	55	NAN
7	Mar_30_2010	40.72	41.27	41.48	41.37	41.47	41.81	42(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	60	20	6	50.33	55%	0.02	86.5	1.49%	0	1.3	55	NAN
8	Mar_29_2010	40.71	41.17	41.43	41.3	41.27	41.39	41.84(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	20	13	2	57.96	55%	0.07	87.7	1.49%	0	1	57	NAN
9	Mar_26_2010	40.68	41.07	41.35	41.2	41.22	41.13	41.1(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10	-0	-8	69.8	53%	0.02	71.9	1.46%	0	0	53	NAN
10	Mar_25_2010	40.67	40.97	41.38	41.21	41.2	41.14	40.9(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10	-13	-8	72.4	53%	0.05	59.5	1.47%	0	-0.1	51	NAN

11	Mar_24_2010	40.65	40.87	41.45	41.38	41.29	41.31	41.01(-1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-0	-9	17	65.09	53%	0.07	53.9	1.48%	0	0.1	65	NAN
12	Mar_23_2010	40.62	40.77	41.5	41.59	41.46	41.26	41.63(0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-40	-3	44	50.54	55%	0.1	52.2	1.47%	0	0.8	68	NAN
13	Mar_22_2010	40.58	40.62	41.46	41.58	41.6	41.27	41.34(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-50	-13	50	57.58	55%	0.1	49.1	1.48%	0	0.7	67	NAN
14	Mar_19_2010	40.54	40.53	41.43	41.53	41.68	41.66	41.19(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	10	-8	64	65.99	55%	0.02	51.8	1.46%	0	0.6	70	NAN
15	Mar_18_2010	40.53	40.44	41.41	41.56	41.57	41.93	41.73(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	60	10	93	73.87	55%	0.12	55.1	1.47%	0	1.2	81	NAN

16	Mar_17_2010	40.48	40.33	41.24	41.52	41.5	41.71	42.05(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	46	30	24	112	72.02	51%	0.05	64.5	1.46%	0	1.6	87	NAN
17	Mar_16_2010	40.46	40.2	41.05	41.41	41.32	41.22	41.6(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-20	0	107	58.42	51%	0.05	73.5	1.5%	0	1.4	79	NAN
18	Mar_15_2010	40.44	40.09	40.9	41.33	41.32	41.29	41.07(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-10	-4	118	43.56	51%	0	86.8	1.5%	0	1	80	NAN
19	Mar_12_2010	40.44	39.96	40.76	41.31	41.33	41.42	41.37(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	20	6	127	48.95	51%	0	90.8	1.49%	0	1.4	67	NAN
20	Mar_11_2010	40.44	39.84	40.53	41.23	41.21	41.38	41.51(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	30	18	126	42.42	51%	0.02	99.2	1.5%	0	1.7	69	NAN

21	Mar_10_2010	40.43	39.66	40.25	40.91	41.04	41.24	41.5(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	40	23	101	73.99	51%	0.02	83.5	1.5%	0	1.9	64	NAN
22	Mar_9_2010	40.42	39.48	39.98	40.63	40.68	41.04	41.21(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	70	18	80	66.76	51%	-0.02	72.2	1.5%	0	1.9	64	NAN
23	Mar_8_2010	40.43	39.26	39.71	40.41	40.48	40.85	40.98(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	70	32	65	56.72	49%	0	49.2	1.5%	0	1.8	63	NAN
24	Mar_5_2010	40.43	39.08	39.54	40.13	40.24	40.32	40.95(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	20	26	57	78.18	49%	0	36.8	1.51%	0	1.9	70	NAN
25	Mar_4_2010	40.43	38.91	39.37	39.74	39.95	40.11	39.91(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	40	14	35	61.07	46%		21.8	1.49%	0	1.1	59	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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