Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 11, 2010

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $38.9300 (2.64%) ($37.8700 - $38.9700) on Thu. Feb. 11, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $38.9300(2.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(86%)    SPY(79%)    EWG(78%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(13%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.48(-21.71%)
Resistance Level   $39.35
5 Day Moving Average   $37.78(3.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.29(1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.35(-1.07%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 4.22% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.18%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.46%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 4.63%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.24%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2010	40.39	39.35	38.29	37.78	37.85	38.22	38.93(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	70	25	-60	90.21	44%	0.02	-72.7	1.61%	0	-0.3	45	0
2	Feb_10_2010	40.38	39.52	38.26	37.52	37.48	37.92	37.93(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	80	3	-101	84.65	41%	-0.05	-73.3	1.58%	0	-0.9	34	0
3	Feb_9_2010	40.4	39.74	38.36	37.82	37.54	37.48	38.03(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-30	-5	-114	133.34	45%	-0.02	-69.3	1.58%	0	-0.9	29	0
4	Feb_8_2010	40.41	39.99	38.46	38.14	37.96	37.05	36.83(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-69	-180	-44	-145	78.75	41%	-0.05	-61.9	1.6%	0	-1.6	18	0
5	Feb_5_2010	40.43	40.31	38.78	38.63	38.55	37.61	37.2(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-78	-180	-56	-144	165.91	44%	-0.05	-53.2	1.59%	0	-1.7	26	0

6	Feb_4_2010	40.45	40.6	39.03	38.85	39.04	38.86	37.62(-4.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-20	-29	-145	131.79	46%	-0.02	-49.2	1.61%	0	-1.7	26	0
7	Feb_3_2010	40.46	40.88	39.32	39.06	39.16	39.49	39.4(-0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-25	70	15	-144	64.33	50%	0.02	-43.7	1.52%	0	-0.9	30	0
8	Feb_2_2010	40.45	41.06	39.53	38.98	39.02	39.21	39.63(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-25	40	19	-155	91.74	50%	0.05	-41	1.52%	0	-0.8	32	0
9	Feb_1_2010	40.43	41.21	39.82	38.87	38.86	38.84	39.31(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-44	-0	-1	-172	81.93	50%	0.05	-39.3	1.53%	0	-1.1	27	0
10	Jan_29_2010	40.41	41.33	40.07	38.98	38.72	38.83	38.28(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-57	-0	-17	-177	151.73	47%	0	-36.5	1.6%	0	-1.8	17	0

11	Jan_28_2010	40.41	41.51	40.48	39.25	39.05	38.89	38.7(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-45	-40	-7	-157	98.09	44%	0.02	-33.8	1.69%	0	-1.8	23	0
12	Jan_27_2010	40.4	41.65	40.87	39.61	39.29	38.61	38.97(-0.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-69	-150	-41	-152	91.63	42%	0.05	-27.8	1.79%	0	-1.9	23	0
13	Jan_26_2010	40.38	41.78	41.23	40.17	39.85	39.2	39.07(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-77	-140	-56	-140	89.83	42%	-0.02	-15.8	1.8%	0	-2.2	24	0
14	Jan_25_2010	40.39	41.91	41.64	40.92	40.71	39.97	39.9(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-52	-140	-36	-99	86.17	44%	0.1	5.1	1.79%	0	-1.9	31	0
15	Jan_22_2010	40.35	41.97	41.98	41.33	41.32	40.49	39.61(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-58	-140	-51	-77	108.17	44%	0.1	14.5	1.79%	0	-2.4	42	0

16	Jan_21_2010	40.31	42.03	42.32	41.89	41.87	41.46	40.51(-3.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-37	-70	-37	-37	116.1	46%	0.12	32.6	1.77%	0	-1.9	48	0
17	Jan_20_2010	40.26	42.04	42.6	42.3	42.23	42.15	41.77(-2.41%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-6	-20	-10	5	78.94	48%	0.2	41.4	1.73%	0	-0.3	59	0
18	Jan_19_2010	40.18	41.98	42.73	42.43	42.39	42.28	42.8(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	6	-20	-2	28	57.6	53%	0.3	36.7	1.71%	0	0.9	66	0
19	Jan_15_2010	40.06	41.86	42.72	42.49	42.4	42.3	41.95(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-20	-17	37	76.69	51%	0.15	30	1.7%	0	0.1	62	0
20	Jan_14_2010	40	41.83	42.7	42.74	42.68	42.3	42.44(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-40	-5	60	52.89	54%	0.15	37.5	1.7%	0	0.6	72	0

21	Jan_13_2010	39.94	41.77	42.61	42.83	42.81	42.49	42.55(0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-50	-15	68	48.04	54%	0.15	42.2	1.74%	0	0.7	77	0
22	Jan_12_2010	39.88	41.72	42.48	42.94	42.89	42.86	42.42(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-10	-13	82	65.9	54%	0.18	47.4	1.74%	0	0.7	77	0
23	Jan_11_2010	39.81	41.66	42.39	43.06	43.05	43.12	43.11(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	10	9	108	42.55	54%	0.18	49.4	1.73%	0	1.4	87	0
24	Jan_8_2010	39.74	41.56	42.2	42.98	42.98	42.92	43.2(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	-10	10	114	41.12	54%	0.18	49.4	1.73%	0	1.7	89	0
25	Jan_7_2010	39.67	41.44	41.96	42.64	42.84	42.98	42.86(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	40	11	95	41.8	54%		39.2	1.74%	0	1.6	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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