Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 6, 2009

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $36.1700 (-0.82%) ($35.7900 - $36.7100) on Thu. Aug. 6, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $36.1700(-0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(87%)    EWG(79%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(14%)    LQD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.46(-0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.96(0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.73(4.15%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   20.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 5.41% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 7.73%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.86%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2009	30.91	34.73	35.96	36.46	36.58	36.35	36.17(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	-30	0	75	53.35	64%	0.42	70.1	2.1%	0	0.8	71	0
2	Aug_5_2009	30.78	34.49	35.9	36.35	36.44	36.54	36.47(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	30	5	91	47.8	64%	0.39	61.2	2.1%	0	1	75	0
3	Aug_4_2009	30.66	34.21	35.72	36.01	36.28	36.8	36.78(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	120	24	96	53.36	68%	0.46	52.4	2.1%	0	1.3	78	0
4	Aug_3_2009	30.52	33.93	35.51	35.76	35.83	36.35	37.12(3.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	45	110	25	104	78.1	68%	0.46	47.3	2.25%	0	1.6	86	0
5	Jul_31_2009	30.38	33.65	35.26	35.48	35.46	35.77	35.78(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	39	60	13	117	119.53	66%	0.43	45	2.23%	0	1.1	84	0

6	Jul_30_2009	30.25	33.46	35.05	35.48	35.39	35.31	35.61(2.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	37	-20	5	134	90.26	66%	0.43	44.6	2.24%	0	1.2	85	0
7	Jul_29_2009	30.12	33.31	34.82	35.4	35.27	35.15	34.75(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	31	-30	-8	148	53.11	67%	0.43	51.4	2.22%	0	0.8	78	0
8	Jul_28_2009	29.99	33.18	34.68	35.36	35.36	35.48	35.55(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	20	9	173	53.86	70%	0.5	56.6	2.28%	0	1.4	87	0
9	Jul_27_2009	29.84	33.02	34.29	35.19	35.12	35.4	35.71(0.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	50	11	174	42.83	66%	0.51	62.8	2.28%	0	1.6	83	0
10	Jul_24_2009	29.69	32.83	33.85	35	34.9	35.24	35.4(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	60	20	165	49.27	66%	0.51	67.2	2.33%	0	1.7	72	0

11	Jul_23_2009	29.54	32.66	33.41	34.63	34.73	34.85	35.57(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	54	30	23	147	79.88	66%	0.48	67.8	2.33%	0	2.1	73	0
12	Jul_22_2009	29.4	32.43	32.97	34.17	34.28	34.57	34.59(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	70	11	113	69.41	64%	0.51	64.1	2.32%	0	1.7	60	0
13	Jul_21_2009	29.25	32.23	32.59	33.88	33.94	34.62	34.67(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	53	150	36	102	68.86	64%	0.52	54.7	2.32%	0	2.1	64	0
14	Jul_20_2009	29.1	32.02	32.22	33.24	33.47	33.99	34.77(3.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	51	130	45	67	68.49	59%	0.48	35.3	2.33%	0	2.5	61	0
15	Jul_17_2009	28.96	31.85	31.9	32.52	32.69	33.26	33.57(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	140	28	24	56.9	57%	0.42	10.4	2.39%	0	1.9	57	0

16	Jul_16_2009	28.84	31.74	31.71	31.99	32.05	32.95	33.23(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	27	200	35	2	63.99	57%	0.42	-22.5	2.39%	0	1.9	57	0
17	Jul_15_2009	28.72	31.66	31.64	31.6	31.49	32.12	33.17(5.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	28	130	38	-3	91.65	57%	0.38	-51.1	2.39%	0	2.1	63	0
18	Jul_14_2009	28.61	31.59	31.52	31.11	31.13	31.16	31.48(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	10	10	-25	41.73	53%	0.39	-87.9	2.31%	0	-0.2	59	0
19	Jul_13_2009	28.5	31.64	31.62	31.04	30.98	30.86	31.14(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-30	-11	-24	70.11	53%	0.32	-91.4	2.31%	0	-0.8	57	0
20	Jul_10_2009	28.41	31.76	31.74	31.18	31.13	31.09	30.92(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10	-8	-12	74.32	53%	0.32	-71.5	2.31%	0	-1.1	45	0

21	Jul_9_2009	28.32	31.92	31.74	31.38	31.32	31.1	31.29(1.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-50	-12	-0	64.76	56%	0.35	-51.7	2.33%	0	-0.7	49	0
22	Jul_8_2009	28.22	32.03	31.87	31.69	31.51	31.17	30.74(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-15	-90	-22	6	92.05	56%	0.28	-38.5	2.38%	0	-1.3	44	0
23	Jul_7_2009	28.14	32.15	31.88	31.98	32.02	31.54	31.1(-2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-10	-100	-17	11	68.79	56%	0.11	-35.8	2.37%	0	-1.1	44	0
24	Jul_6_2009	28.11	32.25	31.85	32.28	32.24	31.85	31.85(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-12	-90	-19	10	52.12	56%	0.46	-35.6	2.37%	0	-0.4	44	0
25	Jul_2_2009	27.98	32.34	31.84	32.37	32.47	32.5	31.92(-2.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	20	-5	6	59.91	60%		-30.1	2.36%	0	-0.4	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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