Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 19, 2009

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $32.1100 (1.13%) ($31.7400 - $32.4500) on Tue. May. 19, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.23% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $32.1100(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(95%)    EWY(88%)    FXI(87%)    EWG(79%)    SPY(79%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -1.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-30%)    SHY(-10%)    TIP(-4%)    LQD(14%)    IGOV(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.615% (StdDev 3.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.85(4.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.97(3.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.81(7.72%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   61%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 5.74% (three month std-dev: 3.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 3.41%(43%) Average negative next day return: -2.25%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.86%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -5.77%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 5.79%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.27%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2009	25.25	29.81	30.97	30.85	30.96	31.73	32.11(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	180	23	44	73.78	70%	0.32	47.2	3.23%	0	1.3	70	0
2	May_18_2009	25.17	29.57	30.83	30.64	30.48	30.83	31.75(5.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	60	14	55	74.27	70%	0.32	43	3.24%	0	1.3	74	0
3	May_15_2009	25.09	29.32	30.75	30.46	30.41	30.18	30.08(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-60	-7	64	53.3	64%	0.24	38.2	3.27%	0	0.5	69	0
4	May_14_2009	25.03	29.22	30.68	30.76	30.58	30.13	30.36(1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-120	-11	81	44.9	64%	0.24	44.4	3.29%	0	0.7	63	0
5	May_13_2009	24.97	29.12	30.53	30.8	30.89	30.63	29.93(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-50	-14	90	67.09	64%	0.24	50.4	3.32%	0	0.5	64	0

6	May_12_2009	24.91	29.02	30.41	31.09	31.14	31.02	31.07(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	29	-20	-1	119	49.69	66%	0.28	60.9	3.27%	0	1.3	72	0
7	May_11_2009	24.84	28.85	30.02	31.04	31.17	31.14	30.85(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	28	10	-2	118	58.83	66%	0.24	65	3.28%	0	1.3	70	0
8	May_8_2009	24.78	28.7	29.66	31.09	31.13	31.25	31.59(3.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	30	12	131	75.77	62%	0.24	70.8	3.33%	0	1.9	76	0
9	May_7_2009	24.72	28.51	29.3	30.59	30.98	31.2	30.57(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	90	15	116	75.76	61%	0.2	71.7	3.33%	0	1.5	62	0
10	May_6_2009	24.67	28.31	28.99	30.21	30.42	31.02	31.35(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	160	22	103	73.78	61%	0.2	70.8	3.34%	0	2.3	64	0

11	May_5_2009	24.62	28.06	28.55	29.62	29.8	30.75	30.82(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	47	240	35	82	68.79	61%	0.29	71.7	3.38%	0	2.3	63	0
12	May_4_2009	24.55	27.86	28.19	28.85	29.14	29.83	31.1(6.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	44	200	40	55	98.25	61%	0.29	75.1	3.39%	0	3.1	67	0
13	May_1_2009	24.48	27.65	27.73	28.05	28.16	28.85	29.09(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	14	180	15	9	57.11	58%	0.16	90.1	3.25%	0	2.1	55	0
14	Apr_30_2009	24.44	27.54	27.61	27.83	27.72	28.44	28.67(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	170	22	5	98.17	58%	0.16	95.6	3.28%	0	1.8	54	0
15	Apr_29_2009	24.4	27.4	27.55	27.6	27.52	27.46	28.41(5.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	-20	15	2	74.38	58%	0.21	77.6	3.28%	0	1.4	61	0

16	Apr_28_2009	24.35	27.22	27.5	27.33	27.34	26.99	26.99(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-90	-11	-8	47.9	55%	0.12	52.9	3.29%	0	-0.3	57	0
17	Apr_27_2009	24.32	27.1	27.58	27.4	27.41	27.57	27.08(-3.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1	40	0	3	63.33	55%	0.21	36.2	3.35%	0	-0	52	0
18	Apr_24_2009	24.27	27.04	27.68	27.33	27.36	27.69	28.02(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	90	8	8	55.51	57%	0.29	40.6	3.29%	0	0.9	55	0
19	Apr_23_2009	24.2	26.95	27.67	27.35	27.13	27.26	27.5(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	10	-2	10	60.32	57%	0.25	51.5	3.31%	0	0.5	55	0
20	Apr_22_2009	24.14	26.86	27.61	27.51	27.33	27.04	27.08(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-90	-6	22	49.03	57%	0.21	60.4	3.31%	0	0.2	62	0

21	Apr_21_2009	24.09	26.78	27.56	27.71	27.6	27.01	27.31(2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-160	-13	37	78.96	57%	0.29	69.7	3.34%	0	0.5	68	0
22	Apr_20_2009	24.02	26.72	27.53	27.78	27.83	27.62	26.74(-4.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-50	-16	56	81.31	52%	0.17	83.6	3.4%	0	0	69	0
23	Apr_17_2009	23.98	26.59	27.61	28.06	28.03	28.2	28.11(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	40	3	84	53.67	55%	0.17	83.2	3.47%	0	1.2	65	0
24	Apr_16_2009	23.94	26.4	27.5	28.02	27.98	28.05	28.31(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	10	10	92	81.08	55%	0.21	85.2	3.5%	0	1.4	60	0
25	Apr_15_2009	23.89	26.21	27.24	27.72	27.88	27.87	28.07(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	10	9	82	54.94	55%		87.4	3.5%	0	1.4	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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