Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 13, 2008

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $40.3800 (-0.02%) ($39.6400 - $40.5200) on Wed. Aug. 13, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $40.3800(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    FXI(90%)    EWY(89%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(82%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-8%)    GLD(15%)    LQD(20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.69(-11.61%)
Resistance Level   $42.31
5 Day Moving Average   $40.74(-0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.38(-2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.31(-4.56%)
To recent high   -21.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.91% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.97%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 4.91%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -3.42%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 8.46%(29%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.63%(71%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080913

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_13_2008	46.37	42.31	41.38	40.74	40.56	40.26	40.38(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-70	-28	-104	52.15	33%	-0.09	-48.8	1.72%	0	-1.6	42	0
2	Aug_12_2008	46.41	42.47	41.71	41.17	40.86	40.61	40.39(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-70	-22	-84	39.54	33%	-0.11	-39.6	1.72%	0	-1.8	36	0
3	Aug_11_2008	46.46	42.58	42.08	41.43	41.28	40.85	40.73(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-80	-13	-68	43.44	33%	-0.13	-41.8	1.73%	0	-1.8	37	0
4	Aug_8_2008	46.52	42.7	42.22	41.52	41.43	41.12	41.16(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-41	-60	-27	-84	51.19	33%	-0.02	-43.2	1.73%	0	-1.6	39	0
5	Aug_7_2008	46.53	42.8	42.37	41.78	41.6	41.71	41.06(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	10	-16	-75	38.38	32%	-0.02	-38.9	1.74%	0	-2	42	0

6	Aug_6_2008	46.54	42.92	42.51	42.12	41.94	41.74	42.52(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-50	-3	-66	34.37	34%	-0.06	-31.2	1.73%	0	-0.5	45	0
7	Aug_5_2008	46.57	42.93	42.64	42.36	42.17	41.48	41.69(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-49	-130	-42	-69	42.55	31%	-0.02	-33.9	1.71%	0	-1.6	42	0
8	Aug_4_2008	46.58	43.02	42.85	42.86	42.67	42.15	41.16(-3.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-32	-100	-32	-32	55.6	31%	-0.04	-28.7	1.7%	0	-2.5	48	0
9	Aug_1_2008	46.6	43.12	43.13	43	43.04	42.87	42.46(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-20	-8	-10	36.37	33%	-0.06	-42.5	1.67%	0	-1	49	0
10	Jul_31_2008	46.63	43.15	43.22	43.03	42.92	43.19	42.75(-2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	3	40	4	-2	65.92	33%	-0.06	-52.8	1.68%	0	-0.6	50	0

11	Jul_30_2008	46.66	43.17	43.32	42.94	42.81	43.22	43.73(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	60	19	2	38.19	35%	-0.06	-78.7	1.67%	0	0.9	52	0
12	Jul_29_2008	46.69	43.2	43.28	42.97	42.68	42.64	44.19(5.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	4	-30	4	5	28.97	35%	0	-80.4	1.69%	0	1.5	59	0
13	Jul_28_2008	46.69	43.23	43.09	42.91	42.93	42.4	41.87(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-26	-90	-28	-20	22.92	25%	-0.04	-75.8	1.54%	0	-1.8	41	0
14	Jul_25_2008	46.71	43.38	43.22	43.3	43.25	42.72	42.59(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-26	-90	-34	-2	26.55	27%	-0.06	-66.1	1.53%	0	-1	49	0
15	Jul_24_2008	46.74	43.48	43.27	43.44	43.53	43.46	42.3(-3.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-13	-10	-21	10	33.79	27%	-0.09	-76.9	1.53%	0	-1.5	47	0

16	Jul_23_2008	46.78	43.66	43.38	43.72	43.65	43.77	43.92(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	10	10	40	47.46	29%	-0.04	-64	1.47%	0	0.3	56	0
17	Jul_22_2008	46.8	43.73	43.24	43.63	43.57	43.61	43.86(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	0	16	22	48	29%	-0.06	-69.3	1.49%	0	0.1	44	0
18	Jul_21_2008	46.83	43.82	43.19	43.3	43.4	43.54	43.83(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	30	13	-11	42.36	29%	-0.06	-77.1	1.49%	0	0	39	0
19	Jul_18_2008	46.86	43.91	43.09	43.13	43.04	43.53	43.3(-0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	70	12	-38	50.93	29%	-0.11	-81.8	1.48%	0	-0.5	39	0
20	Jul_17_2008	46.91	44.09	43.06	43.08	42.96	43.27	43.67(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	11	40	30	-46	88.66	29%	-0.13	-70.1	1.49%	0	-0.3	44	0

21	Jul_16_2008	46.97	44.26	43	43	42.8	42.55	43.47(2.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	-50	1	-87	72.72	35%	-0.11	-62.7	1.49%	0	-0.5	35	0
22	Jul_15_2008	47.02	44.44	43.08	42.82	42.87	42.66	42.25(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-47	-30	-24	-117	108.38	30%	-0.13	-60.7	1.5%	0	-1.3	30	0
23	Jul_14_2008	47.08	44.69	43.37	43.05	43.09	43.05	42.97(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-0	-1	-103	48.64	31%	-0.08	-59.3	1.49%	0	-1	31	0
24	Jul_11_2008	47.12	44.9	43.55	43.05	43.07	43.09	43.02(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	10	-2	-113	74.6	31%	-0.06	-62.6	1.49%	0	-1.1	33	0
25	Jul_10_2008	47.15	45.08	43.7	43.04	43.1	43.13	43.31(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	10	3	-134	82.66	31%		-73.4	1.5%	0	-1.1	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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