Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 10, 2008

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $43.3100 (1.81%) ($42.6000 - $43.5200) on Thu. Jul. 10, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $43.3100(1.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    FXI(90%)    EWY(89%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(82%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $36.7(-15.26%)
Resistance Level   $45.08
5 Day Moving Average   $43.04(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.7(-0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.08(-3.93%)
To recent high   -16.2%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 3.64% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.42%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.09%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.72%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.75%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2008	47.15	45.08	43.7	43.04	43.1	43.13	43.31(1.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	10	3	-134	82.66	31%	-0.08	-73.4	1.5%	0	-1.1	28	0
2	Jul_9_2008	47.19	45.23	43.95	43.01	43.12	43.06	42.54(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-51	-0	-16	-154	89.47	27%	-0.08	-82.2	1.5%	0	-1.7	23	0
3	Jul_8_2008	47.23	45.46	44.27	43.39	43.32	43.07	43.42(1.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-54	-50	-21	-154	91.55	29%	-0.08	-87.6	1.49%	0	-1.4	24	0
4	Jul_7_2008	47.27	45.7	44.51	43.75	43.63	43.19	42.89(-0.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-66	-80	-36	-157	84.8	29%	-0.04	-85.6	1.48%	0	-1.8	22	0
5	Jul_3_2008	47.29	45.97	44.8	44.16	44.14	43.57	43.04(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-62	-90	-33	-149	51.49	29%	-0.08	-79.1	1.48%	0	-1.8	24	0

6	Jul_2_2008	47.33	46.31	45.22	44.44	44.53	44.06	43.17(-2.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-67	-70	-44	-135	77.36	29%	-0.04	-80.4	1.49%	0	-2	30	0
7	Jul_1_2008	47.35	46.59	45.63	45.02	44.78	44.71	44.43(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-43	-30	-25	-97	88.61	41%	0	-81.7	1.45%	0	-1.5	38	0
8	Jun_30_2008	47.35	46.81	45.93	45.26	45.18	44.99	45.24(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-30	-1	-71	52.76	44%	0.02	-77.7	1.5%	0	-1.1	38	0
9	Jun_27_2008	47.34	47.04	46.12	45.39	45.3	44.84	44.9(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-80	-29	-84	54.49	44%	0.02	-70.3	1.5%	0	-1.3	29	0
10	Jun_26_2008	47.33	47.31	46.35	45.56	45.58	45.38	44.47(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	-30	-35	-89	69.87	44%	0.02	-67	1.49%	0	-1.7	25	0

11	Jun_25_2008	47.32	47.6	46.58	46.12	45.88	45.76	46.05(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-30	-14	-85	64.86	50%	0.04	-61.3	1.43%	0	-1	22	0
12	Jun_24_2008	47.3	47.8	46.61	46.35	46.2	45.78	45.66(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-70	-26	-97	55.31	57%	-0.02	-60.2	1.44%	0	-1.4	35	0
13	Jun_23_2008	47.31	48	46.76	46.7	46.59	46	45.87(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-100	-37	-97	50.19	57%	-0.02	-62.6	1.51%	0	-1.4	34	0
14	Jun_20_2008	47.32	48.19	46.98	46.97	47.02	46.63	45.73(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-46	-50	-30	-95	94.4	57%	0	-67.6	1.53%	0	-1.7	29	0
15	Jun_19_2008	47.32	48.43	47.23	47.24	47.27	47.17	47.28(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-25	-10	-2	-92	53	52%	0.06	-67.6	1.48%	0	-0.8	31	0

16	Jun_18_2008	47.29	48.58	47.48	47.1	47.19	47.41	47.2(-0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	40	8	-86	48.61	59%	0.04	-69	1.66%	0	-1	32	0
17	Jun_17_2008	47.27	48.75	47.61	46.92	47.07	47.38	47.43(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	60	17	-95	38.01	55%	0.04	-68.4	1.78%	0	-0.9	34	0
18	Jun_16_2008	47.25	48.96	47.75	46.83	47.07	46.98	47.23(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	20	2	-108	34.44	55%	0.04	-60.6	1.81%	0	-1.1	38	0
19	Jun_13_2008	47.23	49.18	47.99	47.01	46.86	46.76	47.07(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-20	-10	-103	42.62	50%	0.04	-49.5	1.87%	0	-1.3	37	0
20	Jun_12_2008	47.21	49.38	48.32	47.24	47.2	46.73	46.57(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-70	-31	-105	59.17	50%	0.06	-42.3	1.87%	0	-1.8	30	0

21	Jun_11_2008	47.18	49.57	48.69	47.94	47.73	46.97	46.3(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-120	-39	-85	72.15	57%	0.04	-30.4	1.88%	0	-2.4	30	0
22	Jun_10_2008	47.16	49.77	49.09	48.38	48.4	47.67	47(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-100	-33	-66	67.03	57%	0	-28.3	2.05%	0	-2.4	30	0
23	Jun_9_2008	47.16	49.91	49.36	48.77	48.78	48.49	48.11(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-40	-27	-64	49.33	60%	0.06	-24.2	2.04%	0	-1.9	29	0
24	Jun_6_2008	47.13	49.97	49.52	49.11	49.08	49.14	48.24(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	10	-11	-59	48.72	56%	0.08	-20	2.05%	0	-1.9	30	0
25	Jun_5_2008	47.09	50.05	49.75	49.55	49.38	49.06	50.05(3.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-15	-60	-4	-46	36.88	60%		-7.3	2.04%	0	0	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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