Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 17, 2008

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $47.4300 (0.42%) ($47.4000 - $47.8600) on Tue. Jun. 17, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $47.4300(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    FXI(90%)    EWY(89%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(82%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $41.74(-12%)
Resistance Level   $48.75
5 Day Moving Average   $46.92(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.61(-0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.75(-2.71%)
To recent high   -8.3%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.97% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.34%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080717

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_17_2008	47.27	48.75	47.61	46.92	47.07	47.38	47.43(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	60	17	-95	38.01	55%	0.04	-68.4	1.78%	0	-0.9	34	0
2	Jun_16_2008	47.25	48.96	47.75	46.83	47.07	46.98	47.23(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	20	2	-108	34.44	55%	0.04	-60.6	1.81%	0	-1.1	38	0
3	Jun_13_2008	47.23	49.18	47.99	47.01	46.86	46.76	47.07(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-20	-10	-103	42.62	50%	0.04	-49.5	1.87%	0	-1.3	37	0
4	Jun_12_2008	47.21	49.38	48.32	47.24	47.2	46.73	46.57(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-70	-31	-105	59.17	50%	0.06	-42.3	1.87%	0	-1.8	30	0
5	Jun_11_2008	47.18	49.57	48.69	47.94	47.73	46.97	46.3(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-120	-39	-85	72.15	57%	0.04	-30.4	1.88%	0	-2.4	30	0

6	Jun_10_2008	47.16	49.77	49.09	48.38	48.4	47.67	47(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-41	-100	-33	-66	67.03	57%	0	-28.3	2.05%	0	-2.4	30	0
7	Jun_9_2008	47.16	49.91	49.36	48.77	48.78	48.49	48.11(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-40	-27	-64	49.33	60%	0.06	-24.2	2.04%	0	-1.9	29	0
8	Jun_6_2008	47.13	49.97	49.52	49.11	49.08	49.14	48.24(-3.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	10	-11	-59	48.72	56%	0.08	-20	2.05%	0	-1.9	30	0
9	Jun_5_2008	47.09	50.05	49.75	49.55	49.38	49.06	50.05(3.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-15	-60	-4	-46	36.88	60%	0.11	-7.3	2.04%	0	0	43	0
10	Jun_4_2008	47.04	49.99	49.76	49.59	49.66	49.02	48.51(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-35	-90	-29	-54	46.61	54%	0.02	-5.8	2.02%	0	-1.7	42	0

11	Jun_3_2008	47.03	50.1	50	49.92	50.07	49.7	48.93(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-40	-18	-35	44.79	54%	-0.02	19.6	2.04%	0	-1.5	46	0
12	Jun_2_2008	47.04	50.1	50.27	50.03	50.17	50.29	49.83(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	30	0	-14	39.89	54%	0.02	31.3	2.02%	0	-0.4	54	0
13	May_30_2008	47.03	50.15	50.45	50.03	50	50.43	50.43(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	60	12	3	29.93	54%	0	36	2.03%	0	0.4	64	0
14	May_29_2008	47.03	50.11	50.51	49.98	49.81	50.05	50.26(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	20	11	11	36.03	50%	0.02	41.4	2.05%	0	0.2	58	0
15	May_28_2008	47.02	50.04	50.49	49.99	49.84	49.58	50.15(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-50	-5	11	31.08	50%	0.04	38.8	2.11%	0	0.1	61	0

16	May_27_2008	47	49.94	50.47	50.12	50.07	49.57	49.48(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-19	-70	-26	4	35.21	50%	0	35.9	2.11%	0	-0.5	45	0
17	May_23_2008	47	49.91	50.51	50.56	50.43	50.1	49.56(-1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-16	-50	-27	18	31.78	50%	-0.02	47.9	2.1%	0	-0.4	50	0
18	May_22_2008	47.01	49.88	50.48	50.99	50.96	50.57	50.44(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-60	-11	34	26.3	50%	0.04	59.6	2.1%	0	0.6	54	0
19	May_21_2008	46.99	49.79	50.39	51.11	51.22	50.77	50.3(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-60	-12	38	47.55	50%	0.06	66.3	2.11%	0	0.5	57	0
20	May_20_2008	46.96	49.73	50.26	51.05	51.2	51.35	50.81(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	30	-2	42	44.97	50%	0.02	67.3	2.11%	0	1.1	63	0

21	May_19_2008	46.95	49.61	50.21	50.86	51.04	51.68	51.71(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	100	30	63	45.43	50%	0.02	71.5	2.1%	0	2.1	75	0
22	May_16_2008	46.94	49.46	50.01	50.45	50.5	51.05	51.7(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	80	33	57	30.13	50%	0.02	81.5	2.11%	0	2.5	66	0
23	May_15_2008	46.93	49.3	49.81	49.91	49.95	50.4	51.05(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	70	23	41	41.98	50%	-0.02	87.2	2.12%	0	2.3	63	0
24	May_14_2008	46.94	49.14	49.63	49.58	49.53	49.95	49.99(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	60	18	35	27.88	48%	0.06	92.6	2.1%	0	1.3	61	0
25	May_13_2008	46.91	49.06	49.53	49.36	49.32	49.51	49.87(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	20	9	23	24.98	48%		81.4	2.11%	0	1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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