Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $50.3000 (-1%) ($50.1200 - $51.3900) on Wed. May. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.11% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $50.3000(-1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(89%)    FXI(89%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(82%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -1.055% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.055% (StdDev 2.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.11(-1.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.39(-0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.79(1.02%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   19.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 2.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080621

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_21_2008	46.99	49.79	50.39	51.11	51.22	50.77	50.3(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-60	-12	38	47.55	50%	0.06	66.3	2.11%	0	0.5	57	0
2	May_20_2008	46.96	49.73	50.26	51.05	51.2	51.35	50.81(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	9	30	-2	42	44.97	50%	0.02	67.3	2.11%	0	1.1	63	0
3	May_19_2008	46.95	49.61	50.21	50.86	51.04	51.68	51.71(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	100	30	63	45.43	50%	0.02	71.5	2.1%	0	2.1	75	0
4	May_16_2008	46.94	49.46	50.01	50.45	50.5	51.05	51.7(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	39	80	33	57	30.13	50%	0.02	81.5	2.11%	0	2.5	66	0
5	May_15_2008	46.93	49.3	49.81	49.91	49.95	50.4	51.05(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	70	23	41	41.98	50%	-0.02	87.2	2.12%	0	2.3	63	0

6	May_14_2008	46.94	49.14	49.63	49.58	49.53	49.95	49.99(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	60	18	35	27.88	48%	0.06	92.6	2.1%	0	1.3	61	0
7	May_13_2008	46.91	49.06	49.53	49.36	49.32	49.51	49.87(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	20	9	23	24.98	48%	-0.02	81.4	2.11%	0	1	54	0
8	May_12_2008	46.92	48.91	49.34	49.47	49.24	49.11	49.63(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-30	-4	19	31.89	48%	-0.04	71.1	2.13%	0	0.8	58	0
9	May_9_2008	46.94	48.76	49.26	49.51	49.43	49.13	49(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-50	-12	17	33.39	48%	-0.02	60.7	2.12%	0	0.2	51	0
10	May_8_2008	46.95	48.64	49.25	49.68	49.64	49.37	49.4(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-40	-11	25	34.32	48%	0	61.8	2.13%	0	0.7	55	0

11	May_7_2008	46.95	48.53	49.16	49.69	49.79	49.73	48.9(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-0	-3	32	52.25	48%	0	59.7	2.13%	0	0.3	58	0
12	May_6_2008	46.95	48.42	49.19	49.68	49.7	49.91	50.4(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	30	16	45	36.01	51%	0.06	59.6	2.1%	0	1.7	64	0
13	May_5_2008	46.92	48.26	48.98	49.18	49.34	49.85	49.84(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	80	19	39	22.73	45%	0	55	2.11%	0	1.5	70	0
14	May_2_2008	46.92	48.14	48.88	48.97	48.94	49.48	49.88(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	80	22	45	36.1	45%	-0.04	64.3	2.21%	0	1.7	72	0
15	May_1_2008	46.94	47.99	48.74	48.76	48.7	48.82	49.41(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	10	14	48	36.34	45%	-0.06	75.5	2.22%	0	1.5	70	0

16	Apr_30_2008	46.97	47.87	48.6	48.58	48.6	48.4	48.89(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-30	-5	39	56.74	45%	-0.04	84.9	2.23%	0	1.1	61	0
17	Apr_29_2008	46.99	47.75	48.53	48.63	48.64	48.58	47.9(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10	-10	48	43.11	45%	-0.13	95.9	2.22%	0	0.2	61	0
18	Apr_28_2008	47.05	47.69	48.46	48.74	48.81	48.81	48.76(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	0	3	57	28.09	45%	-0.11	89.6	2.21%	0	1	59	0
19	Apr_25_2008	47.1	47.5	48.23	48.76	48.71	48.7	48.86(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-0	-1	50	36.43	45%	-0.11	82.6	2.23%	0	1.1	58	0
20	Apr_24_2008	47.15	47.29	48	48.72	48.63	48.81	48.5(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	20	5	50	38.3	45%	-0.11	83.8	2.24%	0	0.9	60	0

21	Apr_23_2008	47.2	47.1	47.87	48.6	48.61	48.72	49.13(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	20	13	51	38.05	45%	-0.04	87.8	2.24%	0	1.5	62	0
22	Apr_22_2008	47.22	46.88	47.61	48.43	48.33	48.45	48.43(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	7	45	45.97	45%	-0.06	87.8	2.23%	0	1.2	62	0
23	Apr_21_2008	47.25	46.72	47.49	48.12	48.19	48.49	48.89(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	50	21	45	39.23	45%	-0.04	89.5	2.26%	0	1.6	66	0
24	Apr_18_2008	47.27	46.5	47.33	47.61	47.79	48.22	48.64(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	70	23	44	43.18	45%	-0.06	87.7	2.27%	0	1.7	73	0
25	Apr_17_2008	47.3	46.22	47.15	47.17	47.22	47.88	47.92(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	100	18	41	35.45	43%		63.2	2.28%	0	1.2	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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