Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 1, 2008

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $49.4100 (1.06%) ($48.5800 - $49.5100) on Thu. May. 1, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $49.4100(1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(89%)    FXI(89%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(82%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.76(1.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.74(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.99(2.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 0.29%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.39%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.95%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -1.68%(30%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 2.26%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.63%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_1_2008	46.94	47.99	48.74	48.76	48.7	48.82	49.41(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	10	14	48	36.34	45%	-0.06	75.5	2.22%	0	1.5	70	NAN
2	Apr_30_2008	46.97	47.87	48.6	48.58	48.6	48.4	48.89(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-30	-5	39	56.74	45%	-0.04	84.9	2.23%	0	1.1	61	NAN
3	Apr_29_2008	46.99	47.75	48.53	48.63	48.64	48.58	47.9(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10	-10	48	43.11	45%	-0.13	95.9	2.22%	0	0.2	61	NAN
4	Apr_28_2008	47.05	47.69	48.46	48.74	48.81	48.81	48.76(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	0	3	57	28.09	45%	-0.11	89.6	2.21%	0	1	59	NAN
5	Apr_25_2008	47.1	47.5	48.23	48.76	48.71	48.7	48.86(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	12	-0	-1	50	36.43	45%	-0.11	82.6	2.23%	0	1.1	58	NAN

6	Apr_24_2008	47.15	47.29	48	48.72	48.63	48.81	48.5(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	20	5	50	38.3	45%	-0.11	83.8	2.24%	0	0.9	60	NAN
7	Apr_23_2008	47.2	47.1	47.87	48.6	48.61	48.72	49.13(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	20	13	51	38.05	45%	-0.04	87.8	2.24%	0	1.5	62	NAN
8	Apr_22_2008	47.22	46.88	47.61	48.43	48.33	48.45	48.43(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	7	45	45.97	45%	-0.06	87.8	2.23%	0	1.2	62	NAN
9	Apr_21_2008	47.25	46.72	47.49	48.12	48.19	48.49	48.89(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	50	21	45	39.23	45%	-0.04	89.5	2.26%	0	1.6	66	NAN
10	Apr_18_2008	47.27	46.5	47.33	47.61	47.79	48.22	48.64(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	70	23	44	43.18	45%	-0.06	87.7	2.27%	0	1.7	73	NAN

11	Apr_17_2008	47.3	46.22	47.15	47.17	47.22	47.88	47.92(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	100	18	41	35.45	43%	-0.08	63.2	2.28%	0	1.2	72	NAN
12	Apr_16_2008	47.34	45.94	47.06	47.03	46.91	47.35	48.27(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	60	26	53	52.37	40%	0	42.9	2.31%	0	1.5	74	NAN
13	Apr_15_2008	47.34	45.76	46.88	46.69	46.68	46.56	46.88(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-20	0	41	34.59	34%	-0.02	34	2.35%	0	0.8	67	NAN
14	Apr_14_2008	47.35	45.56	46.85	46.77	46.69	46.47	46.34(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-40	-14	44	43.52	34%	-0.06	30.1	2.41%	0	0.5	60	NAN
15	Apr_11_2008	47.38	45.43	46.72	47.01	46.92	46.81	46.45(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-20	-7	57	45.48	32%	-0.02	32.2	2.42%	0	0.6	66	NAN

16	Apr_10_2008	47.39	45.37	46.55	47.11	47.19	46.92	47.22(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-30	-2	72	38.85	32%	0	35.4	2.43%	0	1.2	79	NAN
17	Apr_9_2008	47.39	45.28	46.3	47.11	47.18	47.03	46.55(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-20	-9	83	38.66	36%	-0.08	33.8	2.43%	0	0.8	80	NAN
18	Apr_8_2008	47.43	45.27	46.14	47.08	47.17	47.46	47.29(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	50	8	91	37.71	36%	-0.04	36.8	2.46%	0	1.3	61	NAN
19	Apr_7_2008	47.45	45.08	45.92	46.93	46.98	47.33	47.55(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	60	24	108	48.94	36%	-0.08	25.8	2.46%	0	1.6	70	NAN
20	Apr_4_2008	47.49	44.92	45.61	46.38	46.54	46.88	46.92(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	60	20	96	48.39	34%	-0.08	10	2.46%	0	1.4	62	NAN

21	Apr_3_2008	47.53	44.81	45.21	45.9	45.96	46.64	47.11(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	110	24	72	49.39	34%	-0.11	-11.3	2.49%	0	1.8	55	NAN
22	Apr_2_2008	47.58	44.76	44.73	45.4	45.45	46.19	46.55(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	120	29	42	48.96	34%	-0.1	-30.6	2.48%	0	1.4	52	NAN
23	Apr_1_2008	47.63	44.71	44.53	45.05	45.05	45.28	46.51(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	40	20	20	59.32	34%	-0.04	-50.2	2.49%	0	1.5	48	NAN
24	Mar_31_2008	47.65	44.7	44.14	44.79	44.78	44.7	44.79(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	-10	-2	-2	51.36	30%	-0.15	-59.3	2.46%	0	0.1	55	NAN
25	Mar_28_2008	47.72	44.78	44.02	44.73	44.84	44.83	44.53(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	10	7	-4	42.12	30%		-60.4	2.46%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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