Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EEM: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $48.8900 (0.51%) ($47.3300 - $48.9600) on Mon. Apr. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $48.8900(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(89%)    FXI(89%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(82%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-19%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(14%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.12(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.49(2.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.72(4.64%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(69%) Average negative next day return: -1.38%(31%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.91%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -3.16%(38%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.52%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.02%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2008	47.25	46.72	47.49	48.12	48.19	48.49	48.89(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	50	21	45	39.23	45%	-0.04	89.5	2.26%	0	1.6	66	0
2	Apr_18_2008	47.27	46.5	47.33	47.61	47.79	48.22	48.64(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	70	23	44	43.18	45%	-0.06	87.7	2.27%	0	1.7	73	0
3	Apr_17_2008	47.3	46.22	47.15	47.17	47.22	47.88	47.92(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	100	18	41	35.45	43%	-0.08	63.2	2.28%	0	1.2	72	0
4	Apr_16_2008	47.34	45.94	47.06	47.03	46.91	47.35	48.27(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	60	26	53	52.37	40%	0	42.9	2.31%	0	1.5	74	0
5	Apr_15_2008	47.34	45.76	46.88	46.69	46.68	46.56	46.88(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	-20	0	41	34.59	34%	-0.02	34	2.35%	0	0.8	67	0

6	Apr_14_2008	47.35	45.56	46.85	46.77	46.69	46.47	46.34(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-40	-14	44	43.52	34%	-0.06	30.1	2.41%	0	0.5	60	0
7	Apr_11_2008	47.38	45.43	46.72	47.01	46.92	46.81	46.45(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-20	-7	57	45.48	32%	-0.02	32.2	2.42%	0	0.6	66	0
8	Apr_10_2008	47.39	45.37	46.55	47.11	47.19	46.92	47.22(1.44%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-30	-2	72	38.85	32%	0	35.4	2.43%	0	1.2	79	0
9	Apr_9_2008	47.39	45.28	46.3	47.11	47.18	47.03	46.55(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-20	-9	83	38.66	36%	-0.08	33.8	2.43%	0	0.8	80	0
10	Apr_8_2008	47.43	45.27	46.14	47.08	47.17	47.46	47.29(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	50	8	91	37.71	36%	-0.04	36.8	2.46%	0	1.3	61	0

11	Apr_7_2008	47.45	45.08	45.92	46.93	46.98	47.33	47.55(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	60	24	108	48.94	36%	-0.08	25.8	2.46%	0	1.6	70	0
12	Apr_4_2008	47.49	44.92	45.61	46.38	46.54	46.88	46.92(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	60	20	96	48.39	34%	-0.08	10	2.46%	0	1.4	62	0
13	Apr_3_2008	47.53	44.81	45.21	45.9	45.96	46.64	47.11(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	110	24	72	49.39	34%	-0.11	-11.3	2.49%	0	1.8	55	0
14	Apr_2_2008	47.58	44.76	44.73	45.4	45.45	46.19	46.55(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	120	29	42	48.96	34%	-0.1	-30.6	2.48%	0	1.4	52	0
15	Apr_1_2008	47.63	44.71	44.53	45.05	45.05	45.28	46.51(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	20	40	20	20	59.32	34%	-0.04	-50.2	2.49%	0	1.5	48	0

16	Mar_31_2008	47.65	44.7	44.14	44.79	44.78	44.7	44.79(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-2	-10	-2	-2	51.36	30%	-0.15	-59.3	2.46%	0	0.1	55	0
17	Mar_28_2008	47.72	44.78	44.02	44.73	44.84	44.83	44.53(-0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	10	7	-4	42.12	30%	-0.17	-60.4	2.46%	0	-0.2	51	0
18	Mar_27_2008	47.8	44.96	44.08	44.4	44.66	44.87	44.61(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	11	50	17	-9	45.65	30%	-0.17	-52.4	2.46%	0	-0.2	49	0
19	Mar_26_2008	47.88	45.16	44.17	43.91	44.03	44.85	44.83(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	140	13	-30	46.04	30%	-0.21	-49.2	2.48%	0	-0.2	45	0
20	Mar_25_2008	47.98	45.33	44.32	43.92	43.65	44.45	45.19(1.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	24	110	37	-17	49.84	30%	-0.15	-41.7	2.48%	0	-0.1	49	0

21	Mar_24_2008	48.05	45.46	44.16	43.4	43.47	43.2	44.51(3.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	-40	15	-56	63.31	30%	-0.31	-43.6	2.49%	0	-0.5	44	0
22	Mar_20_2008	48.2	45.58	44.15	43.24	43.05	42.85	42.87(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-50	-34	-93	83.45	29%	-0.27	-43.9	2.45%	0	-1.4	41	0
23	Mar_19_2008	48.33	45.77	44.38	43.73	43.57	43.75	42.16(-6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	20	-8	-86	98.3	29%	-0.27	-39.4	2.44%	0	-2	34	0
24	Mar_18_2008	48.46	46.04	44.83	44.45	43.97	43.26	44.85(5.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-150	-15	-84	82.06	35%	-0.23	-28.2	2.32%	0	-0.7	38	0
25	Mar_17_2008	48.57	46.13	44.91	44.8	44.43	43.39	42.63(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-60	-190	-45	-103	104.94	27%		-16.9	2.25%	0	-2.1	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.