Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 11, 2007

Trading Signals: EEM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 14, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF)
EEM latest price $52.2100 (-0.89%) ($51.1400 - $53.6000) on Thu. Oct. 11, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.17% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $52.2100(-0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EEM advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EEM advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EEM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(96%)    EWY(89%)    FXI(89%)    SPY(83%)    EWG(81%)
Factors Impacting EEM price   EEM will decline at least -1.085% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    SHY(-23%)    TIP(-12%)    PCY(0%)    GLD(15%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.085% (StdDev 2.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.33(-0.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.59(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.9(4.63%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   32.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EEM price fluctuates within 4.57% (three month std-dev: 2.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.34%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.79%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.2%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.59%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_11_2007	45.1	49.9	51.59	52.33	52.29	52.55	52.21(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	30	11	93	71.04	53%	0.22	85.3	2.17%	0	1	71	NAN
2	Oct_10_2007	45	49.57	51.39	52.02	52.11	52.44	52.68(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	50	26	104	36.83	52%	0.22	80	2.17%	0	1.3	76	NAN
3	Oct_9_2007	44.9	49.2	51.06	51.52	51.58	52.03	52.61(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	60	14	93	30.15	52%	0.25	74.2	2.19%	0	1.4	74	NAN
4	Oct_8_2007	44.79	48.82	50.68	51.35	51.22	51.77	51.8(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	70	16	97	32.79	52%	0.22	70.6	2.18%	0	1.2	73	NAN
5	Oct_5_2007	44.69	48.44	50.39	51.26	51.24	51.13	52.36(3.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	47	-20	23	118	64.11	53%	0.22	67.9	2.18%	0	1.6	82	NAN

6	Oct_4_2007	44.59	48.02	49.99	50.75	50.99	50.67	50.67(1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	18	-30	-12	106	23.24	51%	0.2	66.5	2.15%	0	1.1	77	NAN
7	Oct_3_2007	44.5	47.74	49.7	50.65	50.88	51.35	50.17(-3.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	36	80	7	124	49.25	51%	0.18	68.8	2.16%	0	1	77	NAN
8	Oct_2_2007	44.42	47.47	49.48	50.49	50.69	51.31	51.73(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	100	41	153	40.94	54%	0.25	74.5	2.13%	0	1.8	89	NAN
9	Oct_1_2007	44.31	47.14	49.06	49.9	50.08	50.41	51.38(3.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	55	60	25	144	38.41	54%	0.2	76.6	2.14%	0	1.9	89	NAN
10	Sep_28_2007	44.22	46.79	48.47	49.41	49.52	50.07	49.82(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	47	80	17	138	40.63	52%	0.2	79.8	2.11%	0	1.5	89	NAN

11	Sep_27_2007	44.13	46.47	48.07	49.11	49.29	49.75	50.13(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	64	80	35	149	32.8	53%	0.2	79	2.1%	0	1.9	92	NAN
12	Sep_26_2007	44.04	46.14	47.62	48.62	48.83	48.98	49.4(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	30	15	131	27.55	53%	0.18	81.2	2.1%	0	1.8	77	NAN
13	Sep_25_2007	43.96	45.78	47.19	48.31	48.46	48.84	48.75(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	60	10	124	28.05	53%	0.16	80	2.1%	0	1.6	76	NAN
14	Sep_24_2007	43.89	45.53	46.82	48.09	48.3	48.69	48.93(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	60	70	37	127	31.51	53%	0.18	89.7	2.11%	0	1.9	70	NAN
15	Sep_21_2007	43.81	45.25	46.33	47.39	47.68	48.08	48.33(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	43	80	25	97	30.38	53%	0.14	95.5	2.11%	0	1.9	72	NAN

16	Sep_20_2007	43.75	44.96	45.9	46.87	46.93	47.91	47.7(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	150	32	86	34.84	53%	0.16	101.5	2.11%	0	1.8	74	NAN
17	Sep_19_2007	43.68	44.7	45.62	46.45	46.35	47.28	47.85(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	61	130	51	89	63.01	53%	0.18	105.8	2.11%	0	2.2	73	NAN
18	Sep_18_2007	43.6	44.34	45.29	45.91	45.75	45.94	47.63(4.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	41	20	29	77	68.34	53%	0.16	89.9	2.11%	0	2.2	78	NAN
19	Sep_17_2007	43.53	44	45.04	45.38	45.34	45.43	45.43(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	10	4	61	22.87	50%	0.09	75.1	2.03%	0	1	58	NAN
20	Sep_14_2007	43.49	43.77	44.96	45.11	45.22	45.57	45.72(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	60	20	64	17.14	52%	0.12	60.7	2.04%	0	1.2	60	NAN

21	Sep_13_2007	43.44	43.47	44.74	44.77	44.89	45.26	45.63(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	70	17	57	22.94	54%	0.09	39.7	2.05%	0	1.2	65	NAN
22	Sep_12_2007	43.4	43.2	44.55	44.66	44.52	44.87	45.13(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	50	10	59	30.02	52%	0.12	24.7	2.06%	0	1.1	64	NAN
23	Sep_11_2007	43.35	43.03	44.26	44.58	44.53	44.52	44.97(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-0	7	65	32.63	52%	0.09	19.3	2.07%	0	1.1	70	NAN
24	Sep_10_2007	43.31	42.92	44.15	44.66	44.52	44.16	44.08(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-70	-15	80	32.35	52%	0.07	20.7	2.06%	0	0.7	67	NAN
25	Sep_7_2007	43.28	42.84	44.11	44.78	44.69	44.55	44.05(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-30	-8	108	48.95	52%		22.8	2.07%	0	0.7	67	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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